Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Saturday 9th May, 12:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Kariobangi Sharks (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Nairobi United on the road (50% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Kariobangi Sharks at 40% at home and Nairobi United at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Kariobangi Sharks at 40% at home and Nairobi United at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Kariobangi Sharks have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Nairobi United in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Kariobangi Sharks (th) and Nairobi United (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 30 19 7 4 46:19 +27 64
2 Leopards 29 16 7 6 36:22 +14 55
3 Police 29 12 12 5 26:17 +9 48
4 Homeboyz 30 12 11 7 43:31 +12 47
5 Shabana 29 13 8 8 32:30 +2 47
6 Nairobi United A 27 12 8 7 39:28 +11 44
7 Tusker 29 12 5 12 24:27 -3 41
8 KCB 29 11 8 10 30:31 -1 41
9 Mara Sugar 29 9 13 7 27:25 +2 40
10 Bandari 29 8 15 6 22:20 +2 39
11 Murang'a SEAL 29 10 8 11 35:36 -1 38
12 Mathare United 30 9 8 13 28:31 -3 35
13 Posta Rangers 29 7 11 11 24:36 -12 32
14 Ulinzi Stars 29 8 7 14 30:34 -4 31
15 Kariobangi Sharks H 30 6 12 12 19:30 -11 30
16 APS Bomet 27 6 9 12 27:32 -5 27
17 Bidco United 30 4 12 14 17:34 -17 24
18 Sofapaka 30 3 9 18 17:39 -22 18

Team Form

Kariobangi Sharks have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while Nairobi United have been more resilient on the road (30% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Kariobangi Sharks (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Kariobangi Sharks (40% BTTS at home) and Nairobi United (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Kariobangi Sharks (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Kariobangi Sharks have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Nairobi United in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Kariobangi Sharks (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Kariobangi Sharks (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Kariobangi Sharks have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Nairobi United in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Kariobangi Sharks (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Kariobangi Sharks (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Kariobangi Sharks (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Nairobi United frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Kariobangi Sharks are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Kariobangi Sharks (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Kariobangi Sharks have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Nairobi United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Kariobangi Sharks (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Kariobangi Sharks (Home Form) Nairobi United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Almería vs Mirandés 19:30 BST | La Liga 2, Spain Almería have seen over 2.5 goals in 16/18 home matches this season · Mirandés have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    75% combined
  • Spalding United vs Real Bedford 15:00 BST | Non League Premier: Southern Central, England Spalding United have seen over 2.5 goals in 18/22 home matches this season · Real Bedford have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/21 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    74% combined
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Young Lions 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Young Lions have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    72% combined
  • Brighton U21 vs West Ham United U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Brighton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/10 home matches this season · West Ham United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    70% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.02
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Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United?

Under 2.5 Goals — Kariobangi Sharks have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Nairobi United in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Kariobangi Sharks or Nairobi United?

Nairobi United hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Kariobangi Sharks at home (40% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Kariobangi Sharks and Nairobi United?

Unlikely — Kariobangi Sharks (40% BTTS at home) and Nairobi United (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Kariobangi Sharks and Nairobi United?

Uncertain — Kariobangi Sharks have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Nairobi United in 30% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Kariobangi Sharks or Nairobi United?

Nairobi United have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Kariobangi Sharks's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Kariobangi Sharks and Nairobi United?

Possibly — Nairobi United frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Kariobangi Sharks are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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