Nairobi United vs Tusker — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 14:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Tusker have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Nairobi United are less dominant at home (3/10, 30%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Nairobi United frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (90%), while Tusker are more variable on the road (50%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Nairobi United 50% at home, Tusker 30% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 80%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Nairobi United have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Tusker in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Nairobi United (6th) and Tusker (8th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 29 18 7 4 45:19 +26 61
2 Leopards 29 16 7 6 36:22 +14 55
3 Police 29 12 12 5 26:17 +9 48
4 Homeboyz 29 12 11 6 43:30 +13 47
5 Shabana 29 13 8 8 32:30 +2 47
6 Nairobi United H 27 12 8 7 39:28 +11 44
7 Tusker A 29 12 5 12 24:27 -3 41
8 KCB 29 11 8 10 30:31 -1 41
9 Mara Sugar 29 9 13 7 27:25 +2 40
10 Bandari 29 8 15 6 22:20 +2 39
11 Murang'a SEAL 29 10 8 11 35:36 -1 38
12 Mathare United 29 9 7 13 26:29 -3 34
13 Posta Rangers 29 7 11 11 24:36 -12 32
14 Ulinzi Stars 29 8 7 14 30:34 -4 31
15 Kariobangi Sharks 29 6 11 12 19:30 -11 29
16 APS Bomet 27 6 9 12 27:32 -5 27
17 Bidco United 29 4 11 14 17:34 -17 23
18 Sofapaka 29 3 8 18 15:37 -22 17

Team Form

Tusker have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Nairobi United have been less dominant at home (30%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Nairobi United (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Lost 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nairobi United have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Tusker in 30% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Nairobi United (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Nairobi United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Tusker in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Nairobi United (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Nairobi United (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Nairobi United have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Tusker in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nairobi United (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nairobi United (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Nairobi United (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 20 (2 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Nairobi United (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Tusker (80% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Nairobi United (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Nairobi United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Tusker have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nairobi United (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Nairobi United (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Austria Lustenau II vs Rotenberg 18:30 BST | Landesliga: Vorarlberg, Austria Austria Lustenau II have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 home matches this season · Rotenberg have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    75% combined
  • Kalsdorf vs LASK II 18:00 BST | Regionalliga: Mitte, Austria Kalsdorf have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · LASK II have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    74% combined
  • Traiskirchen vs TWL Elektra 18:30 BST | Regionalliga: Ost, Austria Traiskirchen have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/14 home matches this season · TWL Elektra have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    70% combined
  • Bleiburg vs Klagenfurter AC 1909 16:30 BST | Landesliga: Kärnten, Austria Bleiburg have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Klagenfurter AC 1909 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    70% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.5
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Nairobi United vs Tusker Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nairobi United vs Tusker?

Under 3.5 Goals — Nairobi United have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Tusker in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Nairobi United or Tusker?

Tusker arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Premier League this season compared to Nairobi United's 30% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Nairobi United and Tusker?

Mixed — Nairobi United have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Tusker in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nairobi United and Tusker?

Uncertain — Nairobi United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Tusker in 30% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nairobi United or Tusker?

Nairobi United have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Tusker's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nairobi United and Tusker?

Nairobi United have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Tusker in 50% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

Sofapaka vs Mathare United

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Friday 1st May, 11:00 BST

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Bidco United vs Kariobangi Sharks

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Friday 1st May, 12:00 BST

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Police vs Murang'a SEAL

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Friday 1st May, 13:00 BST

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Mara Sugar vs Shabana

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 12:00 BST

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Bandari vs Posta Rangers

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 13:00 BST

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Ulinzi Stars vs Leopards

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 14:00 BST

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Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 12:00 BST

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APS Bomet vs KCB

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 13:00 BST

Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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