Premiership · Scotland 🕒 Saturday 31st January, 15:00 GMT

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Kilmarnock Home · 11th 6W 1D 3L last 10 home
VS
Aberdeen Away · 7th 0W 2D 8L last 10 away
Win Probability
Kilmarnock 42% Draw 25% Aberdeen 33%
⭐ Our Prediction Kilmarnock to Win See why ↓

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Kilmarnock to Win

High confidence

Kilmarnock have won 6/10 home games this season (60%), while Aberdeen have lost 8/10 away (80%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

What the model says
42% Kilmarnock win 25% Draw 33% Aberdeen win 55% BTTS 50% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
74% Over 1.5 Goals 71% Under 3.5 Goals

Kilmarnock sit 11th in the table after 22 games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Aberdeen are 7th after 21 games, averaging 0.5 scored and 2.2 conceded on the road. Kilmarnock have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Aberdeen side who've won 0/10 away (0%).

Kilmarnock have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their home fixtures (8/10). Aberdeen are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 0.5 scored and 2.2 conceded away from home.

Kilmarnock frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Aberdeen are lower on the road (30%, 3/10) — they've scored in 30% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Kilmarnock see 8+ in 80% of home games, Aberdeen in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Kilmarnock (11th) and Aberdeen (7th) sit in the Premiership table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
9 Aberdeen A 38 11 7 20 40:55 -15 40
10 Kilmarnock H 38 10 10 18 50:68 -18 40
View the full Premiership 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Celtic 38 26 4 8 73:41 +32 82
2 Hearts 38 24 8 6 67:34 +33 80
3 Rangers 38 20 12 6 76:43 +33 72
4 Motherwell 38 16 13 9 59:36 +23 61
5 Hibernian 38 15 12 11 58:44 +14 57
6 Falkirk 38 14 7 17 50:62 -12 49
7 Dundee United 38 10 15 13 49:60 -11 45
8 Dundee 38 11 9 18 42:61 -19 42
9 Aberdeen A 38 11 7 20 40:55 -15 40
10 Kilmarnock H 38 10 10 18 50:68 -18 40
11 St. Mirren 38 8 10 20 30:55 -25 34
12 Livingston 38 2 15 21 40:75 -35 21

Team Form

Kilmarnock hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Aberdeen have been less consistent on the road (0%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Kilmarnock — last 10 home A Aberdeen — last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Kilmarnock frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Aberdeen are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Kilmarnock — last 10 home A Aberdeen — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 55% · BTTS No 45%

Match Goals

Kilmarnock frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Aberdeen are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Kilmarnock — last 10 home A Aberdeen — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Kilmarnock have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Aberdeen in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Kilmarnock 2.2 scored · 1.4 conceded per home game Aberdeen 0.5 scored · 2.2 conceded per away game
H Kilmarnock — last 10 home A Aberdeen — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Kilmarnock 22 scored / 14 conceded at home · Aberdeen 5 scored / 22 conceded away

Match Corners

Aberdeen frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while Kilmarnock are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Kilmarnock — last 10 home A Aberdeen — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Kilmarnock have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Aberdeen have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

H Kilmarnock — last 10 home A Aberdeen — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Kilmarnock and Aberdeen. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

14 Dec 2025
Aberdeen
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Kilmarnock
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Oct 2025
Kilmarnock
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Aberdeen
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Feb 2025
Aberdeen
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Kilmarnock
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Dec 2024
Kilmarnock
4 – 0 HT: 1-0
Aberdeen
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
25 Aug 2024
Aberdeen
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Kilmarnock
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Mar 2024
Aberdeen
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Kilmarnock
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Feb 2024
Kilmarnock
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Aberdeen
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Dec 2023
Aberdeen
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Kilmarnock
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Oct 2023
Kilmarnock
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Aberdeen
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Apr 2023
Aberdeen
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Kilmarnock
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Kilmarnock 3.1 Model: 42%
Draw 3.55 Model: 25%
Aberdeen 2.3 Model: 33%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.73 Model: 55%
Value No 2.32 Model: 45%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.29 Model: 74%
Over 2.5 1.82 Model: 50%
Over 3.5 3.4 Model: 29%
Value Under 1.5 4.2 Model: 26%
Under 2.5 2.02 Model: 50%
Under 3.5 1.33 Model: 71%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.39 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 2.95

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.2 Model: 59%
Over 9.5 1.38 Model: 47%
Over 10.5 1.83 Model: 36%
Over 11.5 1.9 Model: 26%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Kilmarnock 3.72 Model: 33%
Draw 2.2 Model: 44%
Aberdeen 2.75 Model: 24%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock or Draw 1.53 Model: 67%
Kilmarnock or Aberdeen 1.36 Model: 75%
Draw or Aberdeen 1.36 Model: 58%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 1.33 Model: 73%
Value Over 1.5 2.76 Model: 40%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 1.3 Model: 66%
Over 1.5 2.38 Model: 33%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?

Kilmarnock to Win — Kilmarnock have won 6/10 home games this season (60%), while Aberdeen have lost 8/10 away (80%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Kilmarnock or Aberdeen?

Kilmarnock hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Premiership this season, while Aberdeen have won only 0% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Kilmarnock and Aberdeen?

Mixed — Kilmarnock have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Aberdeen in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premiership fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Kilmarnock and Aberdeen?

Possibly — Kilmarnock frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Aberdeen are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Kilmarnock or Aberdeen?

Kilmarnock have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Aberdeen's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Kilmarnock and Aberdeen?

Possibly — Aberdeen frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while Kilmarnock are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

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