León vs Toluca — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 5th October, 02:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

León (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Toluca on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

León consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Toluca are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

León often see both teams score at home (80%), while Toluca are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (90% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — León see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Toluca in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with León (12th) and Toluca (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Toluca A 38 21 11 6 71:35 +36 74
2 Cruz Azul 36 19 13 4 63:40 +23 70
3 Tigres UANL 38 18 11 9 67:40 +27 65
4 Guadalajara 34 20 4 10 64:42 +22 64
5 América 34 17 8 9 52:35 +17 59
6 Pachuca 34 16 8 10 49:38 +11 56
7 Monterrey 36 15 7 14 59:54 +5 52
8 Pumas UNAM 33 13 12 8 53:43 +10 51
9 Tijuana 35 12 13 10 51:45 +6 49
10 Juárez 36 11 10 15 53:61 -8 43
11 Querétaro 32 9 9 14 33:48 -15 36
12 Atlas 31 9 9 13 38:53 -15 36
13 León H 32 10 5 17 33:56 -23 35
14 Necaxa 32 9 7 16 42:53 -11 34
15 Atlético San Luis 32 9 4 19 46:54 -8 31
16 Santos Laguna 31 8 5 18 39:63 -24 29
17 Mazatlán 32 5 11 16 37:58 -21 26
18 Puebla 32 6 7 19 32:64 -32 25

Team Form

León have lost 40% of their home matches this season, while Toluca have been more resilient on the road (30% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

León frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Toluca are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

León frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Toluca are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

León have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Toluca in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 16 (1.6 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

León regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Toluca are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

León have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Toluca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between León and Toluca. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

9th Feb, 2025
León
3 – 3 HT: 2-0
Toluca
Corners 1–5 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Nov, 2024
Toluca
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
León
Corners 4–6 Cards 6–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Feb, 2024
Toluca
4 – 1 HT: 3-0
León
Corners 6–3 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Oct, 2023
León
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Toluca
Corners 8–5 Cards 1–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Jan, 2023
Toluca
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
León
Corners 12–1 Cards 1–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Jul, 2022
León
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Toluca
Corners 4–5 Cards 7–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd May, 2022
León
4 – 4 HT: 3-3
Toluca
Corners 6–6 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Oct, 2021
Toluca
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
León
Corners 4–5 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th May, 2021
León
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Toluca
Corners 4–1 Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Apr, 2021
León
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Toluca
Corners 6–3 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for León vs Toluca across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

León 5
Draw 4.75
Toluca 1.55

Half Time Result

León 4.82
Draw 2.88
Toluca 1.95

Double Chance

León or Draw 2.31
León or Toluca 1.23
Draw or Toluca 1.16

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.4
No 2.88

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.08
Over 2.5 1.38
Over 3.5 1.94
Under 1.5 8.69
Under 2.5 3.5
Under 3.5 2.02

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 1.83

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.33
Over 9.5 1.57
Over 10.5 2.23
Over 11.5 2.45

León Goals

Over 0.5 1.29
Over 1.5 2.58

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.37

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Eger W vs Kazincbarcika W 17:30 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Eger W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Kazincbarcika W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    91% combined
  • Watford U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Watford U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · Charlton Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    85% combined
  • SK Artis Brno vs Táborsko 16:00 BST | Chance Národní Liga, Czech Republic SK Artis Brno have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Táborsko have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 2
    82% combined
  • Westerlo U21 vs Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 19:00 BST | Reserve Pro League, Belgium Westerlo U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.95
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León vs Toluca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for León vs Toluca?

Over 8.5 Corners — León see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Toluca in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, León or Toluca?

León have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Toluca on the road (40% wins) in Liga MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between León and Toluca?

Possibly — León frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Toluca are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between León and Toluca?

Possibly — León frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Toluca are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: León or Toluca?

Toluca have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to León's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between León and Toluca?

Possibly — León regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Toluca are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

Querétaro vs Cruz Azul

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Wednesday 22nd April, 02:00 BST

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Pumas UNAM vs Juárez

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Wednesday 22nd April, 02:00 BST

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Monterrey vs Puebla

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Wednesday 22nd April, 04:00 BST

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León vs América

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Wednesday 22nd April, 04:06 BST

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Atlas vs Tigres UANL

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Thursday 23rd April, 02:00 BST

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Mazatlán vs Toluca

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Thursday 23rd April, 02:00 BST

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Atlético San Luis vs Santos Laguna

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Thursday 23rd April, 02:00 BST

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Necaxa vs Guadalajara

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Thursday 23rd April, 04:00 BST

Match Stats

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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