León vs Toluca — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 5th October, 02:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

León (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Toluca on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both León and Toluca have been involved in high-scoring games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of León's home games and 70% of Toluca's away games. Expect an open, high-scoring contest.

Both León and Toluca frequently see both teams scoring (80% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

High corner counts are common for both teams (70% and 70%), making Over 9.5 Corners a strong choice. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — León have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Toluca in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with León (12th) and Toluca (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Toluca A 40 22 11 7 78:40 +38 77
2 Cruz Azul 38 20 14 4 68:42 +26 74
3 Tigres UANL 40 19 12 9 72:41 +31 69
4 Guadalajara 36 20 6 10 64:42 +22 66
5 América 36 18 8 10 55:38 +17 62
6 Pumas UNAM 35 15 12 8 59:45 +14 57
7 Pachuca 36 16 8 12 50:43 +7 56
8 Monterrey 38 16 7 15 61:58 +3 55
9 Tijuana 37 13 14 10 54:46 +8 53
10 Juárez 38 12 10 16 57:66 -9 46
11 Atlas 34 11 10 13 40:53 -13 43
12 Querétaro 34 10 10 14 36:50 -14 40
13 Necaxa 34 9 8 17 43:57 -14 35
14 León H 34 10 5 19 36:63 -27 35
15 Atlético San Luis 34 10 4 20 49:56 -7 34
16 Santos Laguna 34 9 5 20 42:66 -24 32
17 Mazatlán 34 6 11 17 42:66 -24 29
18 Puebla 34 6 7 21 34:68 -34 25

Team Form

Toluca have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while León have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

León have seen both teams score in 80% of home games this season, Toluca in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of León's home games and 70% of Toluca's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

Over Goals

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

León have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Toluca in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Both León (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Toluca (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

León have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Toluca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

León (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between León and Toluca. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

9th Feb, 2025
León
3 – 3 HT: 2-0
Toluca
Corners 1–5 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Nov, 2024
Toluca
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
León
Corners 4–6 Cards 6–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Feb, 2024
Toluca
4 – 1 HT: 3-0
León
Corners 6–3 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Oct, 2023
León
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Toluca
Corners 8–5 Cards 1–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Jan, 2023
Toluca
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
León
Corners 12–1 Cards 1–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Jul, 2022
León
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Toluca
Corners 4–5 Cards 7–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd May, 2022
León
4 – 4 HT: 3-3
Toluca
Corners 6–6 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Oct, 2021
Toluca
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
León
Corners 4–5 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th May, 2021
León
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Toluca
Corners 4–1 Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Apr, 2021
León
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Toluca
Corners 6–3 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for León vs Toluca across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

León 5
Draw 4.75
Toluca 1.55

Half Time Result

León 4.82
Draw 2.88
Toluca 1.95

Double Chance

León or Draw 2.31
León or Toluca 1.23
Draw or Toluca 1.16

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.4
No 2.88

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.08
Over 2.5 1.38
Over 3.5 1.94
Under 1.5 8.69
Under 2.5 3.5
Under 3.5 2.02

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 1.83

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.33
Over 9.5 1.57
Over 10.5 2.23
Over 11.5 2.45

León Goals

Over 0.5 1.29
Over 1.5 2.58

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.37

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Tampines Rovers 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tampines Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Escola Varsovia U19 vs Lech Poznan U19 11:30 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Escola Varsovia U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Lech Poznan U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
  • Al Mesaimeer vs Al Mu'aidar 17:00 BST | Q League, Qatar Al Mesaimeer have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Al Mu'aidar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    83% combined
  • Wisla U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19 10:00 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Wisla U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Legia Warszawa U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    78% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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León vs Toluca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for León vs Toluca?

Over 2.5 Goals — León have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Toluca in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, León or Toluca?

León have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Toluca on the road (30% wins) in Liga MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between León and Toluca?

Possibly — León frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Toluca are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between León and Toluca?

Yes, likely — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of León's home games and 70% of Toluca's away games in Liga MX. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: León or Toluca?

Toluca have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to León's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between León and Toluca?

Yes — both León (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Toluca (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga MX. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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