Lugo II vs Gran Pena — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain
🕒 Sunday 12th April, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Lugo II (30% home wins) hold a slight edge over Gran Pena on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Lugo II at 40% at home and Gran Pena at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both Lugo II and Gran Pena frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 70% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Lugo II have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Gran Pena in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Tercera - Group 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Lugo II (th) and Gran Pena (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 1 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arosa 29 16 10 3 51:31 +20 58
2 Compostela 29 16 9 4 47:24 +23 57
3 Atlético Arteixo 29 13 9 7 43:33 +10 48
4 Somozas 29 12 9 8 30:25 +5 45
5 Barco 29 13 6 10 32:30 +2 45
6 Villalbés 29 10 13 6 30:21 +9 43
7 Atlético Coruña 29 11 10 8 41:35 +6 43
8 Lugo II H 29 10 11 8 31:30 +1 41
9 Estradense 29 10 11 8 37:29 +8 41
10 Boiro 29 10 11 8 32:25 +7 41
11 Gran Pena A 29 10 11 8 44:38 +6 41
12 Alondras 29 10 8 11 39:41 -2 38
13 Céltiga 29 10 8 11 39:35 +4 38
14 Viveiro 29 8 9 12 24:36 -12 33
15 Juventud Cambados 29 4 14 11 23:31 -8 26
16 Silva 29 6 7 16 22:42 -20 25
17 Noia 29 4 7 18 19:45 -26 19
18 Barbadás 29 3 7 19 20:53 -33 16

Team Form

Gran Pena have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Lugo II have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Lugo II (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lugo II have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Gran Pena in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Lugo II (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Lugo II have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Gran Pena in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Lugo II (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Lugo II (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Lugo II have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Gran Pena in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Lugo II (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Lugo II (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Lugo II (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Lugo II have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Gran Pena in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Lugo II (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Lugo II have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Gran Pena have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Lugo II (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Lugo II (Home Form) Gran Pena (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Stirling University W vs East Fife W 14:00 BST | SWPL 2, Scotland Stirling University W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 home matches this season · East Fife W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    100% combined
  • III. Kerületi TUE vs Dunaharaszti MTK 12:00 BST | NB 3: Southeast, Hungary III. Kerületi TUE have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Dunaharaszti MTK have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    91% combined
  • Vojvodina U19 vs Spartak Subotica U19 10:00 BST | U19 League, Serbia Vojvodina U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Spartak Subotica U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    86% combined
  • Flora vs Transvaal 21:30 BST | Major League, Suriname Flora have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Transvaal have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    84% combined

Lugo II vs Gran Pena Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lugo II vs Gran Pena?

Under 2.5 Goals — Lugo II have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Gran Pena in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Lugo II or Gran Pena?

Lugo II have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Gran Pena on the road (20% wins) in Tercera - Group 1. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Lugo II and Gran Pena?

Possibly — Gran Pena regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Lugo II are lower at home (60%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lugo II and Gran Pena?

Uncertain — Lugo II have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Gran Pena in 30% of away games in Tercera - Group 1. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lugo II or Gran Pena?

Gran Pena have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Lugo II's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lugo II and Gran Pena?

Lugo II have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Gran Pena in 40% of away games in Tercera - Group 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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Somozas vs Viveiro

📍 Tercera - Group 1, Spain

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Villalbés vs Juventud Cambados

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