Mara Sugar vs Gor Mahia

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Sunday 24th May, 13:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Mara Sugar average 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Gor Mahia average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded in away fixtures. Gor Mahia carry the better away form into this fixture (7/10, 70%), while Mara Sugar have won 5/10 at home (50%).

Mara Sugar have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games this season (3/10); Gor Mahia in 50% away (5/10). Mara Sugar average 1 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, Gor Mahia 1.7 and 0.7 on the road.

Gor Mahia regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Mara Sugar are lower at home (30%, 3/10) — they've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Mara Sugar see 8+ in 60% of home games, Gor Mahia in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Mara Sugar at 30% BTTS in home games and Gor Mahia at 60% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Mara Sugar (th) and Gor Mahia (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia A 32 20 8 4 50:21 +29 68
2 Leopards 32 19 7 6 42:24 +18 64
3 Police 31 13 13 5 29:19 +10 52
4 Shabana 32 14 9 9 33:31 +2 51
5 Nairobi United 30 13 9 8 42:32 +10 48
6 Homeboyz 32 12 11 9 44:34 +10 47
7 Tusker 31 13 5 13 26:28 -2 44
8 Mara Sugar H 32 10 13 9 29:28 +1 43
9 KCB 31 11 9 11 32:34 -2 42
10 Bandari 31 8 17 6 25:23 +2 41
11 Murang'a SEAL 32 11 8 13 38:41 -3 41
12 Mathare United 32 10 8 14 29:33 -4 38
13 Posta Rangers 32 8 13 11 30:39 -9 37
14 Kariobangi Sharks 31 7 12 12 21:30 -9 33
15 APS Bomet 29 8 9 12 30:32 -2 33
16 Ulinzi Stars 31 8 8 15 30:36 -6 32
17 Bidco United 32 4 12 16 17:37 -20 24
18 Sofapaka 31 3 9 19 17:42 -25 18

Team Form

Gor Mahia have shown strong away form this season (70% wins), while Mara Sugar have been less dominant at home (50%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Gor Mahia regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Mara Sugar are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Mara Sugar have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Gor Mahia in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Mara Sugar have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Gor Mahia in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

Both Mara Sugar (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Gor Mahia (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Mara Sugar have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Gor Mahia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang United 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Tanjong Pagar have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Hougang United have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    80% combined
  • Bahia U20 vs Atletico-PR U20 19:00 BST | Brasileiro U20, Brazil Bahia U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Atletico-PR U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    73% combined
  • Farul Constanța vs Metaloglobus 18:30 BST | Superliga, Romania Farul Constanța have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/19 home matches this season · Metaloglobus have seen over 2.5 goals in 16/19 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    68% combined
  • Arsenal vs Burnley 20:00 BST | Premier League, England Arsenal have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/18 home matches this season · Burnley have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    66% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.08
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Mara Sugar vs Gor Mahia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Mara Sugar vs Gor Mahia?

BTTS – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Mara Sugar at 30% BTTS at home and Gor Mahia at 60% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Mara Sugar or Gor Mahia?

Gor Mahia hold a slight form advantage away (70% wins) over Mara Sugar at home (50% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Mara Sugar and Gor Mahia?

Mixed — Mara Sugar have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Gor Mahia in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Mara Sugar and Gor Mahia?

Uncertain — Mara Sugar have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Gor Mahia in 50% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Mara Sugar or Gor Mahia?

Gor Mahia have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Mara Sugar's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Mara Sugar and Gor Mahia?

Mara Sugar have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Gor Mahia in 60% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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