Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Saturday 16th May, 14:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Ulinzi Stars average 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Tusker average 1 scored and 1 conceded in away fixtures. Ulinzi Stars have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Tusker have won 5/10 on the road (50%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Ulinzi Stars have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Tusker in 40% away (4/10). Ulinzi Stars average 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, Tusker 1 and 1 on the road.

Ulinzi Stars frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Tusker are lower on the road (40%, 4/10) — they've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Ulinzi Stars see 8+ in 70% of home games, Tusker in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Ulinzi Stars have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Tusker in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Ulinzi Stars (th) and Tusker (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 30 19 7 4 46:19 +27 64
2 Leopards 30 17 7 6 38:23 +15 58
3 Police 30 13 12 5 28:18 +10 51
4 Shabana 30 13 9 8 32:30 +2 48
5 Homeboyz 30 12 11 7 43:31 +12 47
6 Nairobi United 28 13 8 7 40:28 +12 47
7 Tusker A 30 12 5 13 24:28 -4 41
8 KCB 30 11 8 11 30:32 -2 41
9 Bandari 30 8 16 6 23:21 +2 40
10 Mara Sugar 30 9 13 8 28:27 +1 40
11 Murang'a SEAL 30 10 8 12 36:38 -2 38
12 Mathare United 31 9 8 14 28:33 -5 35
13 Posta Rangers 30 7 12 11 25:37 -12 33
14 APS Bomet 29 8 9 12 30:32 -2 33
15 Ulinzi Stars H 30 8 8 14 30:34 -4 32
16 Kariobangi Sharks 30 6 12 12 19:30 -11 30
17 Bidco United 30 4 12 14 17:34 -17 24
18 Sofapaka 30 3 9 18 17:39 -22 18

Team Form

Tusker have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Ulinzi Stars have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Lost 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Ulinzi Stars frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Tusker are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Ulinzi Stars have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Tusker in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Ulinzi Stars have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Tusker in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Ulinzi Stars (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Tusker (80% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Ulinzi Stars have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Tusker have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Tusker (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • San Lorenzo Res. vs Olimpia Res. 11:30 BST | Division Profesional Reserva, Paraguay San Lorenzo Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Olimpia Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    72% combined
  • Sharjah U23 vs Al Bataeh U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Sharjah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Al Bataeh U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    71% combined
  • Ajman U23 vs Dibba Al Fujairah U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Ajman U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Dibba Al Fujairah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    71% combined
  • Śląsk Wrocław vs ŁKS Łódź 17:30 BST | 1. Liga, Poland Śląsk Wrocław have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/14 home matches this season · ŁKS Łódź have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.65
    68% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.77
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Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker?

Under 3.5 Goals — Ulinzi Stars have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Tusker in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Ulinzi Stars or Tusker?

Tusker hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Ulinzi Stars at home (30% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Ulinzi Stars and Tusker?

Mixed — Ulinzi Stars have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Tusker in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Ulinzi Stars and Tusker?

Uncertain — Ulinzi Stars have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Tusker in 40% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Ulinzi Stars or Tusker?

Ulinzi Stars have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Tusker's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Ulinzi Stars and Tusker?

Ulinzi Stars have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Tusker in 60% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker

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Murang'a SEAL vs Gor Mahia

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Police vs Kariobangi Sharks

📍 Premier League, Kenya

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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