Metz vs Toulouse — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Ligue 1, France
🕒 Sunday 15th March, 16:15 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 3.5 Goals

Metz (0% home wins) hold a slight edge over Toulouse on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Toulouse tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (80%), while Metz are lower (60%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Toulouse regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Metz are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Metz usually generate 8+ corners at home (80%), while Toulouse are less consistent on the road (50%). Over 8.5 Corners may still be viable with the home side driving the count.

Our Prediction: Over 3.5 Goals — Metz have seen 4+ goals in 60% of home games, Toulouse in 50% of away games. Both sides have featured in high-scoring matches regularly this season.

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League Table

The full Ligue 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Metz (18th) and Toulouse (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Ligue 1 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 30 22 3 5 68:25 +43 69
2 Lens 30 20 3 7 60:32 +28 63
3 Olympique Lyonnais 31 17 6 8 48:32 +16 57
4 LOSC Lille 31 17 6 8 50:34 +16 57
5 Rennes 31 16 8 7 54:42 +12 56
6 Olympique Marseille 31 16 5 10 59:41 +18 53
7 Monaco 31 15 6 10 54:47 +7 51
8 Strasbourg 30 13 7 10 49:39 +10 46
9 Lorient 31 10 11 10 42:47 -5 41
10 Toulouse A 31 10 8 13 43:44 -1 38
11 Paris 31 9 11 11 40:47 -7 38
12 Brest 30 10 8 12 41:47 -6 38
13 Angers SCO 31 9 7 15 26:43 -17 34
14 Le Havre 31 6 13 12 29:42 -13 31
15 Nice 31 7 9 15 35:57 -22 30
16 Auxerre 31 5 10 16 27:42 -15 25
17 Nantes 31 4 8 19 26:51 -25 20
18 Metz H 31 3 7 21 31:70 -39 16

Team Form

Metz have lost 80% of their home matches this season, while Toulouse have been more resilient on the road (60% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Toulouse regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Metz are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Metz have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Toulouse in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Metz have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Toulouse in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 9 (0.9 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 24 (2.4 avg) 20 (2 avg)

Match Corners

Metz have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Toulouse in 30% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Metz have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Toulouse have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Metz and Toulouse. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19 Oct 2025
Toulouse
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Metz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Jan 2024
Metz
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Toulouse
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Oct 2023
Toulouse
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Metz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Sep 2019
Metz
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Toulouse
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Mar 2018
Metz
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Toulouse
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Nov 2017
Toulouse
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Metz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 May 2017
Metz
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Toulouse
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Dec 2016
Metz
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Toulouse
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Nov 2016
Toulouse
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Metz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Apr 2015
Metz
3 – 2 HT: 2-1
Toulouse
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Metz vs Toulouse across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Metz 4
Draw 3.5
Toulouse 2.04

Half Time Result

Metz 4.25
Draw 2.07
Toulouse 2.63

Double Chance

Metz or Draw 1.73
Metz or Toulouse 1.28
Draw or Toulouse 1.24

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 1.94

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3
Over 2.5 2.26
Over 3.5 3.5
Under 1.5 3.5
Under 2.5 1.76
Under 3.5 1.3

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 3.04

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.51
Over 9.5 1.71
Over 10.5 2.47
Over 11.5 2.65

Metz Goals

Over 0.5 1.48
Over 1.5 3.35

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.12

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Tampines Rovers 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tampines Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Escola Varsovia U19 vs Lech Poznan U19 11:30 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Escola Varsovia U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Lech Poznan U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
  • Al Mesaimeer vs Al Mu'aidar 17:00 BST | Q League, Qatar Al Mesaimeer have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Al Mu'aidar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    83% combined
  • Wisla U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19 10:00 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Wisla U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Legia Warszawa U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    78% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Metz vs Toulouse Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Metz vs Toulouse?

Over 3.5 Goals — Metz have seen 4+ goals in 60% of home games, Toulouse in 50% of away games. Both sides have featured in high-scoring matches regularly this season.

Which team is likely to win, Metz or Toulouse?

Toulouse hold a slight form advantage away (20% wins) over Metz at home (0% wins) in Ligue 1. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Metz and Toulouse?

Possibly — Toulouse regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Metz are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Metz and Toulouse?

Uncertain — Metz have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Toulouse in 60% of away games in Ligue 1. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Metz or Toulouse?

Toulouse have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Metz's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Metz and Toulouse?

Metz have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Toulouse in 30% of away games in Ligue 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

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