Metz vs Toulouse — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Ligue 1, France
🕒 Sunday 15th March, 16:15 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

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Metz (10% home wins) hold a slight edge over Toulouse on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Toulouse tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (80%), while Metz are lower (60%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Toulouse regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Metz are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Ligue 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Metz (18th) and Toulouse (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Ligue 1 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 27 20 3 4 61:23 +38 63
2 Lens 28 19 2 7 54:27 +27 59
3 LOSC Lille 29 16 5 8 49:34 +15 53
4 Olympique Marseille 29 16 4 9 58:38 +20 52
5 Olympique Lyonnais 29 15 6 8 43:29 +14 51
6 Rennes 29 14 8 7 49:41 +8 50
7 Monaco 29 15 4 10 50:43 +7 49
8 Strasbourg 28 12 7 9 46:34 +12 43
9 Lorient 29 9 11 9 38:44 -6 38
10 Toulouse A 29 10 7 12 39:39 0 37
11 Brest 28 10 6 12 37:43 -6 36
12 Paris 29 8 11 10 37:45 -8 35
13 Angers SCO 29 9 6 14 25:39 -14 33
14 Le Havre 29 6 11 12 24:37 -13 29
15 Nice 29 7 7 15 34:56 -22 28
16 Auxerre 29 5 9 15 23:37 -14 24
17 Nantes 28 4 7 17 24:45 -21 19
18 Metz H 29 3 6 20 26:63 -37 15

Team Form

Metz have lost 70% of their home matches this season, while Toulouse have been more resilient on the road (40% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 7 (70%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Toulouse regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Metz are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Metz have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Toulouse in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Metz have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Toulouse in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 22 (2.2 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Both Metz (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Toulouse (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Metz have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Toulouse have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Metz (Home Form) Toulouse (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Metz and Toulouse. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19 Oct 2025
Toulouse
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Metz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Jan 2024
Metz
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Toulouse
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Oct 2023
Toulouse
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Metz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Sep 2019
Metz
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Toulouse
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Mar 2018
Metz
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Toulouse
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Nov 2017
Toulouse
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Metz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 May 2017
Metz
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Toulouse
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Dec 2016
Metz
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Toulouse
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Nov 2016
Toulouse
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Metz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Apr 2015
Metz
3 – 2 HT: 2-1
Toulouse
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Metz vs Toulouse across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Metz 4
Draw 3.5
Toulouse 2.04

Half Time Result

Metz 4.25
Draw 2.07
Toulouse 2.63

Double Chance

Metz or Draw 1.73
Metz or Toulouse 1.28
Draw or Toulouse 1.24

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 1.94

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3
Over 2.5 2.26
Over 3.5 3.5
Under 1.5 3.5
Under 2.5 1.76
Under 3.5 1.3

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 3.04

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.51
Over 9.5 1.71
Over 10.5 2.47
Over 11.5 2.65

Metz Goals

Over 0.5 1.48
Over 1.5 3.35

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.12

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Alphense Boys U21 vs Roda JC U21 10:30 BST | U21 Divisie 4, Netherlands Alphense Boys U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Roda JC U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    91% combined
  • Zagłębie Lubin II vs Górnik Zabrze II 11:00 BST | 3. Liga - Group 3, Poland Zagłębie Lubin II have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Górnik Zabrze II have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Lausanne-Sport U19 vs Servette U19 13:00 BST | U19 Elite, Switzerland Lausanne-Sport U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Servette U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    86% combined
  • Mendrisio vs Widnau 15:00 BST | 1.Liga Classic, Switzerland Mendrisio have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Widnau have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.85
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Metz vs Toulouse Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Metz vs Toulouse?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Metz or Toulouse?

Toulouse hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Metz at home (10% wins) in Ligue 1. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Metz and Toulouse?

Mixed — Metz have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Toulouse in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Metz and Toulouse?

Uncertain — Metz have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Toulouse in 60% of away games in Ligue 1. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Metz or Toulouse?

Toulouse have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Metz's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Metz and Toulouse?

Metz have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Toulouse in 40% of away games in Ligue 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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