Millwall vs Derby County — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Championship, England
🕒 Tuesday 10th March, 19:45 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Millwall (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Derby County on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Millwall consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Derby County are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Millwall often see both teams score at home (60%), while Derby County are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Millwall usually generate 8+ corners at home (80%), while Derby County are less consistent on the road (50%). Over 8.5 Corners may still be viable with the home side driving the count.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Millwall have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Derby County in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full Championship table for the 2025/2026 season, with Millwall (3rd) and Derby County (7th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Championship 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Coventry City 42 25 10 7 84:42 +42 85
2 Ipswich Town 40 21 12 7 71:40 +31 75
3 Millwall H 42 21 10 11 56:47 +9 73
4 Middlesbrough 42 20 12 10 62:42 +20 72
5 Southampton 41 19 12 10 70:50 +20 69
6 Hull City 42 20 8 14 64:60 +4 68
7 Wrexham 42 17 13 12 63:60 +3 64
8 Derby County A 42 18 9 15 61:53 +8 63
9 Norwich City 42 17 7 18 55:50 +5 58
10 Bristol City 42 16 10 16 52:51 +1 58
11 Queens Park Rangers 42 16 10 16 58:63 -5 58
12 Preston North End 42 14 15 13 50:53 -3 57
13 Swansea City 42 16 9 17 50:54 -4 57
14 Watford 42 14 15 13 52:51 +1 57
15 Birmingham City 42 15 11 16 51:52 -1 56
16 Stoke City 42 15 10 17 49:46 +3 55
17 Sheffield United 42 16 6 20 59:59 0 54
18 Charlton Athletic 42 12 13 17 39:51 -12 49
19 Blackburn Rovers 42 12 12 18 38:50 -12 48
20 Leicester City 42 11 14 17 54:64 -10 47
21 West Bromwich Albion 42 11 13 18 42:56 -14 46
22 Portsmouth 41 11 12 18 41:57 -16 45
23 Oxford United 42 10 14 18 41:54 -13 44
24 Sheffield Wednesday 42 1 11 30 25:82 -57 14

Team Form

Derby County have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Millwall have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Millwall (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Lost 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Millwall frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Derby County are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Millwall (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Millwall frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Derby County are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Millwall (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Millwall (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Millwall have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Derby County in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Millwall (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Millwall (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Millwall (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Millwall regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Derby County are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Millwall (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Millwall have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Derby County have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Millwall (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Millwall (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Millwall and Derby County. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

10 Dec 2025
Derby County
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Millwall
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Feb 2025
Derby County
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Millwall
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Oct 2024
Millwall
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Derby County
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Feb 2022
Derby County
1 – 2 HT: 0-2
Millwall
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Nov 2021
Millwall
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Derby County
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Mar 2021
Derby County
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Millwall
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Dec 2020
Millwall
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Derby County
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Jun 2020
Millwall
2 – 3 HT: 1-1
Derby County
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Dec 2019
Derby County
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Millwall
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Feb 2019
Derby County
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Millwall
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Millwall vs Derby County across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Millwall 1.94
Draw 3.4
Derby County 3.9

Half Time Result

Millwall 2.55
Draw 2.27
Derby County 4.25

Double Chance

Millwall or Draw 1.31
Millwall or Derby County 1.28
Draw or Derby County 1.79

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.79
No 1.92

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.32
Over 2.5 1.98
Over 3.5 3.7
Under 1.5 3.8
Under 2.5 1.91
Under 3.5 1.35

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.39
Over 1.5 2.75

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.2
Over 9.5 1.37
Over 10.5 1.6
Over 11.5 1.94

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 1.2
Over 1.5 2.04

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.25

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Atlético Madrid vs FC Barcelona 20:00 BST | Champions League, Europe Atlético Madrid have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · FC Barcelona have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    90% combined
  • Peterborough United U21 vs Brentford U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Peterborough United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · Brentford U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    88% combined
  • Hull City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Hull City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · AFC Bournemouth U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    88% combined
  • Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain 20:00 BST | Champions League, Europe Liverpool have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Paris Saint Germain have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    81% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Millwall vs Derby County Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Millwall vs Derby County?

Over 2.5 Goals — Millwall have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Derby County in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Millwall or Derby County?

Millwall have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Derby County on the road (40% wins) in Championship. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Millwall and Derby County?

Mixed — Millwall have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Derby County in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Championship fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Millwall and Derby County?

Possibly — Millwall frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Derby County are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Millwall or Derby County?

Millwall have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Derby County's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Millwall and Derby County?

Possibly — Millwall regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Derby County are lower on the road (30%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Match Stats

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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