Nacional vs Estrela Amadora — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Saturday 4th April, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Nacional (30% home wins) hold a slight edge over Estrela Amadora on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Estrela Amadora have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Nacional are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Estrela Amadora regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Nacional are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Nacional regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Estrela Amadora are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Nacional have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Nacional (th) and Estrela Amadora (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Porto	27	23	3	1	54:11	+43	72
2	Benfica	27	19	8	0	58:17	+41	65
3	Sporting CP	26	20	5	1	68:15	+53	65
4	Sporting Braga	26	13	7	6	53:27	+26	46
5	Famalicão	27	13	6	8	33:22	+11	45
6	Gil Vicente	27	11	9	7	39:28	+11	42
7	Estoril	27	10	7	10	48:44	+4	37
8	Moreirense	27	10	5	12	31:39	-8	35
9	Vitória Guimarães	27	9	5	13	29:42	-13	32
10	Rio Ave	27	7	9	11	28:46	-18	30
11	Arouca	27	8	5	14	34:55	-21	29
12	Alverca	27	7	8	12	27:45	-18	29
13	Santa Clara	27	7	7	13	24:31	-7	28
14	Estrela Amadora A	27	6	10	11	33:45	-12	28
15	Casa Pia	26	5	9	12	26:48	-22	24
16	Nacional H	27	5	7	15	29:39	-10	22
17	Tondela	26	4	8	14	19:39	-20	20
18	AVS	27	1	8	18	18:58	-40	11

Team Form

Estrela Amadora have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Nacional have been more solid at home (50% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

	Nacional (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Won	3 (30%)	2 (20%)
Drawn	2 (20%)	2 (20%)
Lost	5 (50%)	6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Estrela Amadora regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Nacional are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

	Nacional (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)	5 (50%)	7 (70%)

Match Goals

Estrela Amadora regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Nacional are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

	Nacional (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals	9 (90%)	9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals	6 (60%)	9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals	6 (60%)	8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals	4 (40%)	6 (60%)

Under Goals

	Nacional (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Under 0.5 Goals	1 (10%)	1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals	4 (40%)	1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals	4 (40%)	2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals	6 (60%)	4 (40%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Estrela Amadora in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

	Nacional (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored	6 (60%)	7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored	4 (40%)	2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored	4 (40%)	2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored	1 (10%)	1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

	Nacional (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded	8 (80%)	9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded	4 (40%)	8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded	1 (10%)	5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded	0 (0%)	2 (20%)

Goal Totals

	Nacional (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Total Goals Scored	15 (1.5 avg)	13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded	13 (1.3 avg)	24 (2.4 avg)

Match Corners

Nacional regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Estrela Amadora are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

	Nacional (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 7.5 Corners	9 (90%)	6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners	9 (90%)	6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners	7 (70%)	6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners	5 (50%)	6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners	5 (50%)	4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners	5 (50%)	4 (40%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Estrela Amadora have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

	Nacional (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners For	4 (40%)	1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For	1 (10%)	1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For	1 (10%)	1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For	1 (10%)	1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For	1 (10%)	1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

	Nacional (Home Form)	Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners Against	7 (70%)	9 (90%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against	6 (60%)	7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against	5 (50%)	6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against	5 (50%)	5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against	3 (30%)	5 (50%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional vs Estrela Amadora across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nacional 2.03

Draw 3.46

Estrela Amadora 3.72

Half Time Result

Nacional 2.62

Draw 2.2

Estrela Amadora 4.33

Double Chance

Nacional or Draw 1.28

Nacional or Estrela Amadora 1.3

Draw or Estrela Amadora 1.8

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8

No 1.95

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3

Over 2.5 2

Over 3.5 3.5

Under 1.5 3.4

Under 2.5 1.8

Under 3.5 1.28

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4

Over 1.5 3

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.44

Over 9.5 1.72

Over 10.5 2.2

Over 11.5 2.75

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.22

Over 1.5 2.1

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 1.44

Over 1.5 3.25

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca

Hradec Kralove W vs Prague Raptors W 11:30 BST Hradec Kralove W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 home matches this season · Prague Raptors W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
100% combined
Milutinac W vs Radnički 1923 W 12:30 BST Milutinac W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Radnički 1923 W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
94% combined
Szeged-Csanád II vs Tiszaföldvár 10:00 BST Szeged-Csanád II have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Tiszaföldvár have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
90% combined
Wolfsburg W vs Union Berlin W 15:00 BST Wolfsburg W have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Union Berlin W have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
90% combined

Carrick Rangers U20 vs Crusaders U20 20:00 BST Carrick Rangers U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Crusaders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
87% combined
Sunderland U21 vs Reading U21 19:00 BST Sunderland U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Reading U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
83% combined

Wolfsburg W vs Union Berlin W 15:00 BST Wolfsburg W have seen BTTS in 10/10 home matches this season · Union Berlin W have seen BTTS in 7/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
85% combined
Central Coast Mariners W vs Canberra United W 06:00 BST Central Coast Mariners W have seen BTTS in 7/8 home matches this season · Canberra United W have seen BTTS in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.66
83% combined
Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United 14:30 BST Connah's Quay have seen BTTS in 12/14 home matches this season · Barry Town United have seen BTTS in 8/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
71% combined
West Ham W vs London City Lionesses W 12:00 BST West Ham W have seen BTTS in 6/9 home matches this season · London City Lionesses W have seen BTTS in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.66
67% combined

Llaneros vs Once Caldas 02:30 BST Llaneros have seen BTTS in 5/7 home matches this season · Once Caldas have seen BTTS in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
77% combined
JS Kabylie vs ES Ben Aknoun 17:45 BST JS Kabylie have seen BTTS in 6/10 home matches this season · ES Ben Aknoun have seen BTTS in 6/11 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
57% combined
Casertana vs Sorrento 19:30 BST Casertana have seen BTTS in 10/16 home matches this season · Sorrento have seen BTTS in 7/16 away matches this season · Odds: 1.9
53% combined
Chelmsford City vs AFC Totton 19:45 BST Chelmsford City have seen BTTS in 10/19 home matches this season · AFC Totton have seen BTTS in 10/20 away matches this season · Odds: 1.66
51% combined

Kamenica Sasa W vs ASS United W 13:00 BST Kamenica Sasa W have won in 7/10 home matches this season · ASS United W have lost in 5/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.27
89.71% combined
Makedonikos U19 vs Athens Kallithea U19 10:00 BST Makedonikos U19 have won in 7/8 home matches this season · Athens Kallithea U19 have lost in 2/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
82.54% combined
Montpellier U19 vs Colomiers U19 14:00 BST Montpellier U19 have won in 7/9 home matches this season · Colomiers U19 have lost in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
76.35% combined
Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W 12:00 BST Chelsea W have won in 7/9 home matches this season · Aston Villa W have lost in 4/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
76.05% combined

Suchitepéquez vs Coatepeque 02:00 BST Suchitepéquez have won in 11/17 home matches this season · Coatepeque have lost in 12/16 away matches this season · Odds: 1.42
87.52% combined
Casertana vs Sorrento 19:30 BST Casertana have won in 10/16 home matches this season · Sorrento have lost in 10/16 away matches this season · Odds: 1.85
56.68% combined
MC Alger vs USM Alger 20:00 BST MC Alger have won in 9/10 home matches this season · USM Alger have lost in 1/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.65
53.61% combined
Deportivo Pasto vs Atlético Nacional 00:20 BST Deportivo Pasto have won in 5/7 home matches this season · Atlético Nacional have lost in 3/6 away matches this season · Odds: 3.3
38.06% combined

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Nacional vs Estrela Amadora Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Estrela Amadora?

Over 2.5 Goals — Nacional have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Estrela Amadora?

Nacional have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Estrela Amadora on the road (20% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Estrela Amadora?

Possibly — Estrela Amadora regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Nacional are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Estrela Amadora?

Possibly — Estrela Amadora regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Nacional are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Estrela Amadora?

Nacional have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Estrela Amadora's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Estrela Amadora?

Possibly — Nacional regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Estrela Amadora are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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