Nacional vs Estrela Amadora Football Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Saturday 4th April, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Nacional sit 16th in the table after 25 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Estrela Amadora are 14th after 25 games, averaging 1 scored and 1.9 conceded on the road. Nacional have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Estrela Amadora have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games this season (4/10); Estrela Amadora in 60% away (6/10). Nacional average 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Estrela Amadora 1 and 1.9 on the road.

Estrela Amadora regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Nacional are lower at home (30%, 3/10) — they've conceded in 50% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Nacional regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Estrela Amadora are lower on the road (60%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Nacional see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Nacional (16th) and Estrela Amadora (14th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 34 28 4 2 66:18 +48 88
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89:24 +65 82
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 74:25 +49 80
4 Sporting Braga 34 16 11 7 64:36 +28 59
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42:29 +13 56
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47:38 +9 50
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
8 Vitória Guimarães 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
9 Arouca 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
14 Nacional H 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
15 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
16 Estrela Amadora A 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21

Team Form

Estrela Amadora have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Nacional have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Nacional (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Estrela Amadora regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Nacional are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Nacional (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Estrela Amadora in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nacional (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Nacional (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)

Match Corners

Nacional regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Estrela Amadora are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Nacional (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Estrela Amadora have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

Nacional (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Estrela Amadora (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nacional and Estrela Amadora. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

09 Nov 2025
Estrela Amadora
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Apr 2025
Nacional
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Estrela Amadora
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Nov 2024
Estrela Amadora
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 May 2023
Estrela Amadora
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Jan 2023
Nacional
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Estrela Amadora
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Apr 2022
Estrela Amadora
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Dec 2021
Nacional
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
Estrela Amadora
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Feb 2009
Estrela Amadora
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Sep 2008
Nacional
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Estrela Amadora
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Jan 2008
Estrela Amadora
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional vs Estrela Amadora across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nacional 1.9
Draw 3.85
Estrela Amadora 4.5

Half Time Result

Nacional 2.62
Draw 2.25
Estrela Amadora 4.09

Double Chance

Nacional or Draw 1.28
Nacional or Estrela Amadora 1.3
Draw or Estrela Amadora 1.7

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 2.18

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3
Over 2.5 1.89
Over 3.5 3.32
Under 1.5 4.2
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 3.5 1.41

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.39
Over 1.5 2.62

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.25
Over 9.5 1.36
Over 10.5 1.74
Over 11.5 2.11

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.21
Over 1.5 2.14

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Nacional vs Estrela Amadora Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Estrela Amadora?

Over 8.5 Corners — Nacional see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Estrela Amadora?

Nacional have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Estrela Amadora on the road (10% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Estrela Amadora?

Mixed — Nacional have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Portugal fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Estrela Amadora?

Uncertain — Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 60% of away games in Liga Portugal. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Estrela Amadora?

Nacional have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Estrela Amadora's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Estrela Amadora?

Possibly — Nacional regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Estrela Amadora are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

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