Nacional vs Moreirense — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Saturday 4th October, 15:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

See Stats Below

Nacional (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Moreirense on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Moreirense tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (80%), while Nacional are lower (60%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Moreirense regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Nacional are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Nacional regularly reach high corner totals at home (80%), while Moreirense are lower on the road (40%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Nacional (14th) and Moreirense (4th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 31 26 4 1 63:15 +48 82
2 Benfica 31 22 9 0 67:20 +47 75
3 Sporting CP 31 22 7 2 77:22 +55 73
4 Sporting Braga 31 16 8 7 59:31 +28 56
5 Famalicão 31 14 9 8 39:27 +12 51
6 Gil Vicente 31 13 10 8 46:32 +14 49
7 Vitória Guimarães 31 12 6 13 38:43 -5 42
8 Moreirense A 31 11 6 14 34:45 -11 39
9 Alverca 31 10 8 13 34:49 -15 38
10 Estoril 31 10 7 14 51:52 -1 37
11 Arouca 31 10 5 16 39:60 -21 35
12 Rio Ave 31 8 10 13 33:52 -19 34
13 Santa Clara 31 8 8 15 28:38 -10 32
14 Nacional H 31 8 7 16 34:41 -7 31
15 Estrela Amadora 31 6 10 15 34:51 -17 28
16 Casa Pia 31 5 11 15 29:55 -26 26
17 Tondela 31 4 10 17 23:52 -29 22
18 AVS 31 1 11 19 22:65 -43 14

Team Form

Nacional have won 40% of home games this season, Moreirense 20% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Nacional (Home Form) Moreirense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Lost 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Moreirense regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Nacional are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Nacional (Home Form) Moreirense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Moreirense in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Moreirense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Moreirense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Moreirense in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nacional (Home Form) Moreirense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Moreirense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Nacional (Home Form) Moreirense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Nacional regularly reach high corner counts at home (100%), while Moreirense are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Nacional (Home Form) Moreirense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 10 (100%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Moreirense have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nacional (Home Form) Moreirense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Moreirense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nacional and Moreirense. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27th Apr, 2025
Moreirense
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional
Corners 2–5 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Dec, 2024
Nacional
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Moreirense
Corners 10–2 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Mar, 2023
Nacional
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Moreirense
Corners 5–9 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Oct, 2022
Moreirense
3 – 1 HT: 3-1
Nacional
Corners 7–4 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th May, 2021
Moreirense
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
Nacional
Corners 3–7 Cards 5–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Jan, 2021
Nacional
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Moreirense
Corners 5–6 Cards 4–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Jan, 2019
Moreirense
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Nacional
Corners 4–5 Cards 1–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Aug, 2018
Nacional
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Moreirense
Corners 9–2 Cards 0–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Apr, 2017
Nacional
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Moreirense
Corners 8–10 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Dec, 2016
Moreirense
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Nacional
Corners 8–8 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional vs Moreirense across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nacional 2.25
Draw 3.2
Moreirense 3.61

Half Time Result

Nacional 3.06
Draw 2.09
Moreirense 4.24

Double Chance

Nacional or Draw 1.28
Nacional or Moreirense 1.38
Draw or Moreirense 1.69

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.02
No 1.77

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.3
Over 3.5 4.53
Under 1.5 2.87
Under 2.5 1.6
Under 3.5 1.22

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.52
Over 1.5 3.28

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.43
Over 9.5 1.64
Over 10.5 2.38
Over 11.5 2.47

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.34
Over 1.5 2.6
Over 2.5 6.2

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 1.53
Over 1.5 3.5
Over 2.5 8.9

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Dacia Unirea Brăila vs Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat 16:00 BST | 3. Liga: Series 2, Romania Dacia Unirea Brăila have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    92% combined
  • Mounties Wanderers vs Stanmore Hawks 11:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 3, Australia Mounties Wanderers have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Stanmore Hawks have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    83% combined
  • Prestice vs Petřín Plzeň II 15:00 BST | 4. Liga Division A, Czech Republic Prestice have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Petřín Plzeň II have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    82% combined
  • Louny vs Olympie Brezova 09:15 BST | 4. Liga Division B, Czech Republic Louny have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Olympie Brezova have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    82% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.47
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Nacional vs Moreirense Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Moreirense?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Moreirense?

Nacional have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Moreirense on the road (20% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Moreirense?

Mixed — Nacional have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Moreirense in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Portugal fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Moreirense?

Uncertain — Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Moreirense in 50% of away games in Liga Portugal. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Moreirense?

Nacional have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Moreirense's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Moreirense?

Possibly — Nacional regularly reach high corner counts at home (100%), while Moreirense are lower on the road (40%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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