Necaxa vs Pachuca — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Saturday 4th October, 02:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Necaxa (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Pachuca on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Necaxa 50% Over 2.5 at home, Pachuca 50% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

Pachuca regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Necaxa are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Necaxa regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Pachuca are lower on the road (30%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Necaxa see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Pachuca in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Necaxa (15th) and Pachuca (8th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Toluca 37 21 11 5 70:33 +37 74
2 Cruz Azul 35 19 12 4 62:39 +23 69
3 Tigres UANL 37 18 10 9 66:39 +27 64
4 Guadalajara 33 19 4 10 59:42 +17 61
5 América 33 16 8 9 50:34 +16 56
6 Pachuca A 33 15 8 10 46:37 +9 53
7 Monterrey 35 15 7 13 58:51 +7 52
8 Pumas UNAM 32 12 12 8 51:43 +8 48
9 Tijuana 34 12 12 10 50:44 +6 48
10 Juárez 35 11 10 14 52:58 -6 43
11 Atlas 31 9 9 13 38:53 -15 36
12 Querétaro 31 9 8 14 32:47 -15 35
13 Necaxa H 31 9 6 16 41:52 -11 33
14 León 31 9 5 17 30:55 -25 32
15 Atlético San Luis 31 9 4 18 46:52 -6 31
16 Santos Laguna 31 8 5 18 39:63 -24 29
17 Mazatlán 31 5 10 16 36:57 -21 25
18 Puebla 31 6 7 18 32:59 -27 25

Team Form

Necaxa have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while Pachuca have been more resilient on the road (40% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Necaxa (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Lost 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Pachuca regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Necaxa are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Necaxa (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Necaxa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Pachuca in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Necaxa (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Necaxa (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Necaxa have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Pachuca in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Necaxa (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Necaxa (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Necaxa (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Necaxa regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Pachuca are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Necaxa (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Necaxa have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Pachuca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Necaxa (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Necaxa (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Necaxa and Pachuca. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

12th Apr, 2025
Necaxa
3 – 5 HT: 1-2
Pachuca
Corners 8–4 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Nov, 2024
Pachuca
6 – 2 HT: 2-0
Necaxa
Corners 3–5 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th May, 2024
Pachuca
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Necaxa
Corners 9–4 Cards 6–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Feb, 2024
Necaxa
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Pachuca
Corners 1–6 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Sep, 2023
Pachuca
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Necaxa
Corners 6–4 Cards 6–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Jan, 2023
Pachuca
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Necaxa
Corners 9–4 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Jul, 2022
Necaxa
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Pachuca
Corners 3–9 Cards 5–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Feb, 2022
Necaxa
1 – 3 HT: 0-2
Pachuca
Corners 8–3 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Sep, 2021
Pachuca
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Necaxa
Corners 3–8 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Mar, 2021
Necaxa
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Pachuca
Corners 4–5 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Necaxa vs Pachuca across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Necaxa 2.5
Draw 3.58
Pachuca 2.62

Half Time Result

Necaxa 3
Draw 2.47
Pachuca 3.2

Double Chance

Necaxa or Draw 1.48
Necaxa or Pachuca 1.32
Draw or Pachuca 1.5

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.53
No 2.61

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.66
Over 3.5 2.59
Under 1.5 4.82
Under 2.5 2.31
Under 3.5 1.54

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.46

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.24
Over 9.5 1.45
Over 10.5 2.02
Over 11.5 2.24

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5 1.19
Over 1.5 2.09
Over 2.5 5

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.06
Over 2.5 4.3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Santutxu U19 vs Real Sociedad U19 18:00 BST | División De Honor Juvenil - Group 2, Spain Santutxu U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 home matches this season · Real Sociedad U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.47
    80% combined
  • Al-Najma vs Al Budaiya 17:00 BST | Premier League, Bahrain Al-Najma have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/8 home matches this season · Al Budaiya have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 away matches this season · Odds: 2.05
    75% combined
  • Sporting SM II vs Costa del Este 22:00 BST | Liga Prom, Panama Sporting SM II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Costa del Este have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.62
    75% combined
  • Al Jazeera vs Al Buqa'a 16:00 BST | Premier League, Jordan Al Jazeera have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/11 home matches this season · Al Buqa'a have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 2
    73% combined
Acca odds (approx) 9.76
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Necaxa vs Pachuca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Necaxa vs Pachuca?

Over 1.5 Goals — Necaxa see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Pachuca in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Necaxa or Pachuca?

Necaxa have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Pachuca on the road (20% wins) in Liga MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Necaxa and Pachuca?

Mixed — Necaxa have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Pachuca in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Necaxa and Pachuca?

Uncertain — Necaxa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Pachuca in 50% of away games in Liga MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Necaxa or Pachuca?

Necaxa have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Pachuca's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Necaxa and Pachuca?

Possibly — Necaxa regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Pachuca are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Match Stats

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James T. (London, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

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