Norwich City vs Derby County — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Championship, England
🕒 Tuesday 21st April, 19:45 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Norwich City to Win

Norwich City have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Derby County have struggled on the road, winning only 4/10 away games (40%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Norwich City frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (100%), while Derby County are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Norwich City often see both teams score at home (60%), while Derby County are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Norwich City regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Derby County are lower on the road (30%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Norwich City to Win — Norwich City have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Derby County have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Championship table for the 2025/2026 season, with Norwich City (th) and Derby County (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Championship 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Coventry City 42 25 10 7 84:42 +42 85
2 Ipswich Town 40 21 12 7 71:40 +31 75
3 Millwall 42 21 10 11 56:47 +9 73
4 Middlesbrough 42 20 12 10 62:42 +20 72
5 Southampton 41 19 12 10 70:50 +20 69
6 Hull City 42 20 8 14 64:60 +4 68
7 Wrexham 42 17 13 12 63:60 +3 64
8 Derby County A 42 18 9 15 61:53 +8 63
9 Norwich City H 42 17 7 18 55:50 +5 58
10 Bristol City 42 16 10 16 52:51 +1 58
11 Queens Park Rangers 42 16 10 16 58:63 -5 58
12 Preston North End 42 14 15 13 50:53 -3 57
13 Swansea City 42 16 9 17 50:54 -4 57
14 Watford 42 14 15 13 52:51 +1 57
15 Birmingham City 42 15 11 16 51:52 -1 56
16 Stoke City 42 15 10 17 49:46 +3 55
17 Sheffield United 42 16 6 20 59:59 0 54
18 Charlton Athletic 42 12 13 17 39:51 -12 49
19 Blackburn Rovers 42 12 12 18 38:50 -12 48
20 Leicester City 42 11 14 17 54:64 -10 47
21 West Bromwich Albion 42 11 13 18 42:56 -14 46
22 Portsmouth 41 11 12 18 41:57 -16 45
23 Oxford United 42 10 14 18 41:54 -13 44
24 Sheffield Wednesday 42 1 11 30 25:82 -57 14

Team Form

Norwich City have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Derby County's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Norwich City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Lost 2 (20%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Norwich City frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Derby County are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Norwich City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Norwich City have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Derby County in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Norwich City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Norwich City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Norwich City have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Derby County in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Norwich City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Norwich City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Norwich City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 20 (2 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Norwich City regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Derby County are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Norwich City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Norwich City have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Derby County have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Norwich City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Norwich City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Fiľakovo vs Rimavská Sobota 15:00 BST | 3. Liga - Center, Slovakia Fiľakovo have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Rimavská Sobota have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 vs Ninh Bình 12:00 BST | V-League, Vietnam Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Ninh Bình have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    94% combined
  • Sham Shui Po vs Supreme 08:00 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Sham Shui Po have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Supreme have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    90% combined
  • Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21 13:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Stoke City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Southampton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    88% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.14
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Norwich City vs Derby County Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Norwich City vs Derby County?

Norwich City to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Derby County have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Norwich City or Derby County?

Norwich City hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Championship this season, while Derby County have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Norwich City and Derby County?

Mixed — Norwich City have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Derby County in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Championship fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Norwich City and Derby County?

Uncertain — Norwich City have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Derby County in 60% of away games in Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Norwich City or Derby County?

Norwich City have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Derby County's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Norwich City and Derby County?

Possibly — Norwich City regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Derby County are lower on the road (30%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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