Penafiel vs Marítimo — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 10th May, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Marítimo have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Penafiel are less dominant at home (4/10, 40%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Marítimo have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Penafiel are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Marítimo regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Penafiel are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Penafiel see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Marítimo in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal 2 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Penafiel (15th) and Marítimo (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Marítimo A 32 20 6 6 49:25 +24 66
2 Academico Viseu 32 16 7 9 56:33 +23 55
3 Torreense 31 15 5 11 37:30 +7 50
4 União de Leiria 31 13 10 8 50:40 +10 49
5 Vizela 32 13 9 10 38:36 +2 48
6 Feirense 32 12 9 11 34:36 -2 45
7 Leixões 32 13 5 14 42:53 -11 44
8 Benfica II 32 11 11 10 43:40 +3 44
9 Lusitania FC Lourosa 32 11 10 11 42:48 -6 43
10 Chaves 32 12 6 14 38:37 +1 42
11 Porto II 31 12 6 13 37:42 -5 42
12 Sporting CP II 32 13 2 17 41:33 +8 41
13 Felgueiras 1932 31 10 10 11 28:35 -7 40
14 Penafiel H 31 10 8 13 33:34 -1 38
15 Farense 31 9 9 13 27:35 -8 36
16 Portimonense SAD 32 10 6 16 37:48 -11 36
17 Paços de Ferreira 32 8 11 13 31:46 -15 35
18 UD Oliveirense 32 7 10 15 31:43 -12 31

Team Form

Marítimo have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Penafiel have been less dominant at home (40%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Penafiel (Home Form) Marítimo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Marítimo regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Penafiel are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Penafiel (Home Form) Marítimo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Marítimo regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Penafiel are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Penafiel (Home Form) Marítimo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Penafiel (Home Form) Marítimo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Penafiel have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Marítimo in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Penafiel (Home Form) Marítimo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Penafiel (Home Form) Marítimo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Penafiel (Home Form) Marítimo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 13 (1.3 avg) 20 (2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Penafiel have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Marítimo in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Penafiel (Home Form) Marítimo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Penafiel have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Marítimo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Penafiel (Home Form) Marítimo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Penafiel (Home Form) Marítimo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Almería vs Mirandés 19:30 BST | La Liga 2, Spain Almería have seen over 2.5 goals in 16/18 home matches this season · Mirandés have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    75% combined
  • Spalding United vs Real Bedford 15:00 BST | Non League Premier: Southern Central, England Spalding United have seen over 2.5 goals in 18/22 home matches this season · Real Bedford have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/21 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    74% combined
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Young Lions 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Young Lions have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    72% combined
  • Brighton U21 vs West Ham United U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Brighton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/10 home matches this season · West Ham United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    70% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.02
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Penafiel vs Marítimo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Penafiel vs Marítimo?

Over 1.5 Goals — Penafiel see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Marítimo in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Penafiel or Marítimo?

Marítimo arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Liga Portugal 2 this season compared to Penafiel's 40% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Penafiel and Marítimo?

Mixed — Penafiel have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Marítimo in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Portugal 2 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Penafiel and Marítimo?

Possibly — Marítimo regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Penafiel are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Penafiel or Marítimo?

Marítimo have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to Penafiel's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Penafiel and Marítimo?

Penafiel have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Marítimo in 40% of away games in Liga Portugal 2. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Home Win

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Vizela vs União de Leiria

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Farense vs Paços de Ferreira

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Feirense vs UD Oliveirense

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Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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