Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 La Liga, Spain
🕒 Saturday 14th February, 15:15 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Rayo Vallecano (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Atlético Madrid on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Rayo Vallecano frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Atlético Madrid are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Rayo Vallecano 50% at home, Atlético Madrid 40% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Atlético Madrid often produce high corner totals away (80%), while Rayo Vallecano are lower at home (60%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Rayo Vallecano see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full La Liga table for the 2025/2026 season, with Rayo Vallecano (18th) and Atlético Madrid (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

La Liga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 29 24 1 4 78:28 +50 73
2 Real Madrid 29 22 3 4 63:26 +37 69
3 Villarreal 29 18 4 7 54:34 +20 58
4 Atlético Madrid A 29 17 6 6 49:28 +21 57
5 Real Betis 29 11 11 7 44:37 +7 44
6 Celta de Vigo 29 10 11 8 41:35 +6 41
7 Real Sociedad 29 10 8 11 44:45 -1 38
8 Athletic Club 29 11 5 13 32:41 -9 38
9 Getafe 29 11 5 13 25:31 -6 38
10 Osasuna 29 10 7 12 34:35 -1 37
11 Espanyol 29 10 7 12 36:44 -8 37
12 Valencia 29 9 8 12 32:42 -10 35
13 Girona 29 8 10 11 31:44 -13 34
14 Rayo Vallecano H 29 7 11 11 28:35 -7 32
15 Deportivo Alavés 29 8 7 14 30:41 -11 31
16 Sevilla 29 8 7 14 37:49 -12 31
17 Elche 29 6 11 12 38:46 -8 29
18 Mallorca 29 7 7 15 34:47 -13 28
19 Levante 29 6 8 15 34:48 -14 26
20 Real Oviedo 29 4 9 16 20:48 -28 21

Team Form

Atlético Madrid have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Rayo Vallecano have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Rayo Vallecano (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Rayo Vallecano have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Rayo Vallecano (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Rayo Vallecano have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Rayo Vallecano (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Rayo Vallecano (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Rayo Vallecano have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Atlético Madrid in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Rayo Vallecano (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Rayo Vallecano (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Rayo Vallecano (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Both Rayo Vallecano (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Atlético Madrid (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Rayo Vallecano (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Rayo Vallecano have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atlético Madrid have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Rayo Vallecano (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Rayo Vallecano (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Rayo Vallecano and Atlético Madrid. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

24 Sep 2025
Atlético Madrid
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
Rayo Vallecano
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Apr 2025
Atlético Madrid
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Rayo Vallecano
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Sep 2024
Rayo Vallecano
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Atlético Madrid
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Jan 2024
Atlético Madrid
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Rayo Vallecano
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Aug 2023
Rayo Vallecano
0 – 7 HT: 0-3
Atlético Madrid
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Apr 2023
Rayo Vallecano
1 – 2 HT: 0-2
Atlético Madrid
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Oct 2022
Atlético Madrid
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Rayo Vallecano
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Mar 2022
Rayo Vallecano
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Atlético Madrid
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Jan 2022
Atlético Madrid
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Rayo Vallecano
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Feb 2019
Rayo Vallecano
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Atlético Madrid
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Rayo Vallecano 5.3
Draw 3.8
Atlético Madrid 1.8

Half Time Result

Rayo Vallecano 4.81
Draw 2.21
Atlético Madrid 2.38

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano or Draw 1.99
Rayo Vallecano or Atlético Madrid 1.34
Draw or Atlético Madrid 1.23

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2
No 1.98

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.38
Over 2.5 2.18
Over 3.5 4.12
Under 1.5 3.56
Under 2.5 1.82
Under 3.5 1.31

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.13

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26
Over 9.5 1.47
Over 10.5 1.77
Over 11.5 2.23

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 1.58
Over 1.5 3.6
Over 2.5 13

Atlético Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.85
Over 2.5 4

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Veszprém 2015 W vs Nagykanizsa W 13:00 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Veszprém 2015 W have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Nagykanizsa W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    90% combined
  • Ursus Warszawa vs Talent Warszawa 10:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland Ursus Warszawa have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Talent Warszawa have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    88% combined
  • FC Praha W vs Baník Ostrava W 14:00 BST | First League Women, Czech Republic FC Praha W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Baník Ostrava W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • NSA Sofia W vs Paldin W 14:00 BST | Women's League, Bulgaria NSA Sofia W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Paldin W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.18
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Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid?

Over 8.5 Corners — Rayo Vallecano see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Rayo Vallecano or Atlético Madrid?

Rayo Vallecano have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Atlético Madrid on the road (30% wins) in La Liga. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Rayo Vallecano and Atlético Madrid?

Mixed — Rayo Vallecano have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this La Liga fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Rayo Vallecano and Atlético Madrid?

Uncertain — Rayo Vallecano have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 60% of away games in La Liga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Rayo Vallecano or Atlético Madrid?

Rayo Vallecano have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Atlético Madrid's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Rayo Vallecano and Atlético Madrid?

Yes — both Rayo Vallecano (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Atlético Madrid (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in La Liga. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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