River Plate vs Sarmiento — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
🕒 Sunday 15th March, 22:45 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

River Plate hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Sarmiento are less consistent on the road (2/10, 20%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — River Plate at 40% at home and Sarmiento at 20% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — River Plate at 30% at home and Sarmiento at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (90% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — River Plate have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Sarmiento in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga Profesional de Fútbol table for the 2026 season, with River Plate (5th) and Sarmiento (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente Rivadavia 13 9 2 2 23:13 +10 29
2 River Plate H 13 8 2 3 19:9 +10 26
3 Vélez Sarsfield 13 7 4 2 15:9 +6 25
4 Estudiantes 13 7 3 3 16:7 +9 24
5 Argentinos Juniors 13 6 5 2 14:10 +4 23
6 Belgrano 13 6 4 3 13:12 +1 22
7 Lanús 13 6 4 3 18:14 +4 22
8 Boca Juniors 13 5 6 2 15:8 +7 21
9 Rosario Central 13 6 3 4 15:13 +2 21
10 Talleres Córdoba 13 6 3 4 14:12 +2 21
11 Huracán 13 5 5 3 15:10 +5 20
12 Barracas Central 13 5 4 4 13:12 +1 19
13 Defensa y Justicia 13 4 7 2 16:12 +4 19
14 Unión Santa Fe 13 5 4 4 19:14 +5 19
15 Racing Club 13 5 3 5 15:13 +2 18
16 Tigre 13 4 6 3 16:12 +4 18
17 Independiente 13 4 6 3 19:16 +3 18
18 San Lorenzo 13 4 6 3 12:12 0 18
19 Gimnasia La Plata 13 5 2 6 15:19 -4 17
20 Instituto 13 5 2 6 14:15 -1 17
21 Sarmiento A 13 5 1 7 11:14 -3 16
22 Platense 13 3 7 3 7:8 -1 16
23 Banfield 13 4 1 8 14:17 -3 13
24 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 13 3 4 6 10:16 -6 13
25 Central Cordoba SdE 13 3 3 7 6:16 -10 12
26 Atlético Tucumán 13 2 4 7 13:18 -5 10
27 Newell's Old Boys 13 2 4 7 10:23 -13 10
28 Deportivo Riestra 13 0 7 6 3:10 -7 7
29 Aldosivi 13 0 6 7 3:14 -11 6
30 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 13 1 2 10 4:19 -15 5

Team Form

River Plate hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Sarmiento have been less consistent on the road (20%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

River Plate (Home Form) Sarmiento (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

River Plate (30% BTTS at home) and Sarmiento (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

River Plate (Home Form) Sarmiento (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

River Plate have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Sarmiento in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

River Plate (Home Form) Sarmiento (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

River Plate (Home Form) Sarmiento (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

River Plate have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Sarmiento in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

River Plate (Home Form) Sarmiento (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

River Plate (Home Form) Sarmiento (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

River Plate (Home Form) Sarmiento (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 6 (0.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

River Plate regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Sarmiento are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

River Plate (Home Form) Sarmiento (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

River Plate win 6+ corners in 70% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Sarmiento have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

River Plate (Home Form) Sarmiento (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

River Plate (Home Form) Sarmiento (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between River Plate and Sarmiento. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

12 Oct 2025
River Plate
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Sarmiento
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Apr 2025
Sarmiento
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
River Plate
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Jul 2024
River Plate
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Sarmiento
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Mar 2023
Sarmiento
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
River Plate
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Jul 2022
River Plate
1 – 2 HT: 0-2
Sarmiento
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 May 2022
Sarmiento
0 – 7 HT: 0-3
River Plate
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Aug 2021
Sarmiento
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
River Plate
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Apr 2017
River Plate
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Sarmiento
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Feb 2015
Sarmiento
1 – 4 HT: 0-2
River Plate
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for River Plate vs Sarmiento across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

River Plate 1.45
Draw 4.4
Sarmiento 9

Half Time Result

River Plate 2.08
Draw 2.26
Sarmiento 8.54

Double Chance

River Plate or Draw 1.1
River Plate or Sarmiento 1.22
Draw or Sarmiento 2.79

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.76
No 1.54

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.52
Over 2.5 2.56
Over 3.5 5.3
Under 1.5 2.84
Under 2.5 1.62
Under 3.5 1.22

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.4

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.4
Over 9.5 1.66
Over 10.5 2.06
Over 11.5 2.65

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.7

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5 2.06
Over 1.5 6

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Santutxu U19 vs Real Sociedad U19 18:00 BST | División De Honor Juvenil - Group 2, Spain Santutxu U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 home matches this season · Real Sociedad U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.47
    80% combined
  • Sporting SM II vs Costa del Este 22:00 BST | Liga Prom, Panama Sporting SM II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Costa del Este have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.62
    75% combined
  • Al-Najma vs Al Budaiya 17:00 BST | Premier League, Bahrain Al-Najma have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/8 home matches this season · Al Budaiya have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 away matches this season · Odds: 2.05
    75% combined
  • Al Jazeera vs Al Buqa'a 16:00 BST | Premier League, Jordan Al Jazeera have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/11 home matches this season · Al Buqa'a have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 2
    73% combined
Acca odds (approx) 9.76
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River Plate vs Sarmiento Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for River Plate vs Sarmiento?

Under 2.5 Goals — River Plate have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Sarmiento in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, River Plate or Sarmiento?

River Plate hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Liga Profesional de Fútbol this season, while Sarmiento have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between River Plate and Sarmiento?

Unlikely — River Plate (30% BTTS at home) and Sarmiento (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between River Plate and Sarmiento?

Uncertain — River Plate have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Sarmiento in 20% of away games in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: River Plate or Sarmiento?

River Plate have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Sarmiento's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between River Plate and Sarmiento?

Possibly — River Plate regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Sarmiento are lower on the road (40%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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