Sassuolo vs AC Milan — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Italy
🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 14:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

AC Milan have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Sassuolo are less dominant at home (5/10, 50%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Sassuolo 60% Over 2.5 at home, AC Milan 30% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Sassuolo at 40% at home and AC Milan at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Sassuolo regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while AC Milan are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Sassuolo have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, AC Milan in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025/2026 season, with Sassuolo (th) and AC Milan (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Inter 34 25 4 5 80:31 +49 79
2 Napoli 34 21 6 7 52:33 +19 69
3 AC Milan A 34 19 10 5 48:27 +21 67
4 Juventus 34 18 10 6 57:29 +28 64
5 Roma 34 19 4 11 48:29 +19 61
6 Como 34 17 10 7 59:28 +31 61
7 Atalanta 34 14 12 8 47:32 +15 54
8 Bologna 34 14 6 14 42:41 +1 48
9 Lazio 33 12 11 10 34:30 +4 47
10 Sassuolo H 34 13 7 14 41:44 -3 46
11 Udinese 33 12 7 14 38:43 -5 43
12 Parma 34 10 12 12 25:40 -15 42
13 Torino 34 11 8 15 39:56 -17 41
14 Genoa 34 10 9 15 40:48 -8 39
15 Fiorentina 34 8 13 13 38:45 -7 37
16 Cagliari 34 9 9 16 36:49 -13 36
17 Lecce 34 7 8 19 22:46 -24 29
18 Cremonese 34 6 10 18 26:51 -25 28
19 Hellas Verona 34 3 10 21 23:56 -33 19
20 Pisa 34 2 12 20 24:61 -37 18

Team Form

AC Milan have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Sassuolo have been less dominant at home (50%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Sassuolo (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Sassuolo (40% BTTS at home) and AC Milan (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Sassuolo (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Sassuolo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, AC Milan in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Sassuolo (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Sassuolo (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Sassuolo have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, AC Milan in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Sassuolo (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Sassuolo (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Sassuolo (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 6 (0.6 avg)

Match Corners

Sassuolo regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while AC Milan are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Sassuolo (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Sassuolo have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

AC Milan have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Sassuolo (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Sassuolo (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Sassuolo vs AC Milan across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Sassuolo 4.5
Draw 3.8
AC Milan 1.67

Half Time Result

Sassuolo 4.6
Draw 2.38
AC Milan 2.25

Double Chance

Sassuolo or Draw 2.08
Sassuolo or AC Milan 1.25
Draw or AC Milan 1.18

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.7
No 2.05

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.26
Over 2.5 1.7
Over 3.5 2.85
Under 1.5 4.3
Under 2.5 2.1
Under 3.5 1.41

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.58

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26
Over 9.5 1.47
Over 10.5 1.77
Over 11.5 2.2

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 3.1

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.66

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Paris Saint Germain vs FC Bayern München 20:00 BST | Champions League, Europe Paris Saint Germain have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/7 home matches this season · FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    85% combined
  • Strabane Athletic vs Lisburn Distillery 19:00 BST | Premier Intermediate League, Northern Ireland Strabane Athletic have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Lisburn Distillery have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    85% combined
  • East Bengal vs Odisha FC 15:00 BST | Indian Super League, India East Bengal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/7 home matches this season · Odisha FC have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    75% combined
  • Al Gharafa U23 vs Al-Shahania U23 17:00 BST | U23 Olympic League, Qatar Al Gharafa U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Al-Shahania U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.9
    67% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.21
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Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Sassuolo vs AC Milan?

Under 3.5 Goals — Sassuolo have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, AC Milan in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Sassuolo or AC Milan?

AC Milan hold a slight form advantage away (60% wins) over Sassuolo at home (50% wins) in Serie A. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Sassuolo and AC Milan?

Unlikely — Sassuolo (40% BTTS at home) and AC Milan (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Serie A. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Sassuolo and AC Milan?

Uncertain — Sassuolo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, AC Milan in 30% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Sassuolo or AC Milan?

AC Milan have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Sassuolo's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Sassuolo and AC Milan?

Possibly — Sassuolo regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while AC Milan are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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