La Liga · Spain 🕒 Sunday 17th May, 01:00 BST

Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Sevilla Home · 11th 4W 3D 3L last 10 home
VS
Real Madrid Away · 2nd 5W 1D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Sevilla 27% Draw 24% Real Madrid 49%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Sevilla have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Real Madrid in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
27% Sevilla win 24% Draw 49% Real Madrid win 53% BTTS 53% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Over 1.5 Goals

Sevilla sit 11th in the table after 33 games, averaging 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Real Madrid are 2nd after 33 games, averaging 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Sevilla have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Real Madrid have won 5/10 on the road (50%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Sevilla have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games this season (3/10); Real Madrid in 50% away (5/10). Sevilla average 1 scored and 1 conceded at home, Real Madrid 1.4 and 1.3 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season: Sevilla in 60% of home games (6/10), Real Madrid in 60% away (6/10). Sevilla have scored in 70% of home fixtures; Real Madrid in 90% of away games.

Real Madrid are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Sevilla are lower at home (40%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Sevilla (11th) and Real Madrid (2nd) sit in the La Liga table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
2 Real Madrid A 38 27 5 6 77:35 +42 86
15 Sevilla H 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
View the full La Liga 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 38 31 1 6 95:36 +59 94
2 Real Madrid A 38 27 5 6 77:35 +42 86
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 72:46 +26 72
4 Atlético de Madrid 38 21 6 11 62:44 +18 69
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 59:48 +11 60
6 Celta de Vigo 38 14 12 12 53:48 +5 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
13 Elche 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
14 Deportivo Alavés 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
15 Sevilla H 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
16 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
17 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
18 Levante 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
20 Real Oviedo 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29

Team Form

Real Madrid have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Sevilla have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Sevilla: last 10 home A Real Madrid: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Sevilla have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Real Madrid in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net. The stats support a goal at each end.

H Sevilla: last 10 home A Real Madrid: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 53% · BTTS No 47%

Match Goals

Sevilla have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Real Madrid in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Sevilla: last 10 home A Real Madrid: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Sevilla have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Real Madrid in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Sevilla 1 scored · 1 conceded per home game Real Madrid 1.4 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game
H Sevilla: last 10 home A Real Madrid: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Sevilla 10 scored / 10 conceded at home · Real Madrid 14 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Real Madrid frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while Sevilla are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Sevilla: last 10 home A Real Madrid: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Sevilla have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Real Madrid have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Sevilla: last 10 home A Real Madrid: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Sevilla and Real Madrid. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20 Dec 2025
Real Madrid
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Sevilla
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 May 2025
Sevilla
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Real Madrid
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Dec 2024
Real Madrid
4 – 2 HT: 3-1
Sevilla
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Feb 2024
Real Madrid
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Sevilla
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
21 Oct 2023
Sevilla
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Real Madrid
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 May 2023
Sevilla
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Real Madrid
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Oct 2022
Real Madrid
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Sevilla
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Apr 2022
Sevilla
2 – 3 HT: 2-0
Real Madrid
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Nov 2021
Real Madrid
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Sevilla
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 May 2021
Real Madrid
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
Sevilla
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Sevilla vs Real Madrid across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Sevilla 3.6 Model: 27%
Draw 3.35 Model: 24%
Real Madrid 2.07 Model: 49%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.61 Model: 53%
Value No 2.35 Model: 47%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.23 Model: 76%
Over 2.5 1.72 Model: 53%
Over 3.5 2.75 Model: 31%
Value Under 1.5 5 Model: 24%
Under 2.5 2.1 Model: 47%
Under 3.5 1.44 Model: 69%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.34 Model: 80%
Over 1.5 2.49

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26 Model: 59%
Over 9.5 1.46 Model: 47%
Over 10.5 2.05 Model: 36%
Over 11.5 2.28 Model: 26%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Sevilla 3.86 Model: 26%
Draw 2.45 Model: 41%
Real Madrid 2.62 Model: 33%

Double Chance

Sevilla or Draw 1.77 Model: 51%
Sevilla or Real Madrid 1.32 Model: 76%
Draw or Real Madrid 1.28 Model: 73%

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5 1.32 Model: 61%
Over 1.5 2.58 Model: 30%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 1.16 Model: 78%
Over 1.5 1.95 Model: 47%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • GIF Sundsvall vs Öster 18:00 BST | Superettan, Sweden GIF Sundsvall have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Öster have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
    90% combined
  • Ranheim II vs Kvik Trondheim 18:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 2, Norway Ranheim II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Kvik Trondheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Staal Jørpeland vs Odd II 17:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 4, Norway Staal Jørpeland have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Odd II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    80% combined
  • Vänersborgs IF vs Herrestads 18:30 BST | Division 2: Norra Gotaland, Sweden Vänersborgs IF have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Herrestads have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    80% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.72
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Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Sevilla vs Real Madrid?

Under 3.5 Goals: Sevilla have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Real Madrid in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Sevilla or Real Madrid?

Real Madrid hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Sevilla at home (40% wins) in La Liga. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Sevilla and Real Madrid?

Mixed. Sevilla have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Real Madrid in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this La Liga fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Sevilla and Real Madrid?

Uncertain. Sevilla have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Real Madrid in 50% of away games in La Liga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Sevilla or Real Madrid?

Real Madrid have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Sevilla's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Sevilla and Real Madrid?

Possibly. Real Madrid frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while Sevilla are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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