Southampton vs Middlesbrough

📍 Championship, England
🕒 Tuesday 12th May, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Southampton sit 1st in the table after 46 games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Middlesbrough are 2nd after 46 games, averaging 2.1 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. Southampton have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Middlesbrough side who've won 5/10 away (50%).

Goals look likely from both ends. Southampton have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home fixtures this season (7/10), and Middlesbrough in 90% of away games (9/10). Southampton average 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded at home; Middlesbrough 2.1 and 1.4 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Southampton in 60% of home games (6/10), Middlesbrough in 80% away (8/10). Southampton have scored in 100% of home fixtures; Middlesbrough in 90% of away games.

Southampton regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Middlesbrough are lower on the road (40%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Southampton have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Middlesbrough in 90% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full Championship table for the 2025/2026 season, with Southampton (1st) and Middlesbrough (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Championship 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Coventry City 46 28 11 7 97:45 +52 95
2 Ipswich Town 46 23 15 8 80:47 +33 84
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 64:49 +15 83
4 Middlesbrough A 46 22 14 10 72:47 +25 80
5 Southampton H 46 22 14 10 82:56 +26 80
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 70:66 +4 73
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 +4 71
8 Derby County 46 20 9 17 67:59 +8 69
9 Norwich City 46 19 8 19 63:56 +7 65
10 Birmingham City 46 17 13 16 57:56 +1 64
11 Swansea City 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
13 Sheffield United 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
14 Preston North End 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
15 Queens Park Rangers 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
17 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
18 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
19 Charlton Athletic 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
20 West Bromwich Albion 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 53
21 Leicester City 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 52
22 Blackburn Rovers 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
23 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 18

Team Form

Southampton hold a clear edge in home form this season (70% wins), while Middlesbrough have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Southampton (Home Form) Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Lost 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Southampton have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Middlesbrough in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Southampton (Home Form) Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 8 (80%)

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Southampton's home games and 90% of Middlesbrough's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

Over Goals

Southampton (Home Form) Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 7 (70%)

Under Goals

Southampton (Home Form) Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 3 (30%)

Team Goals

Both sides regularly get on the scoresheet — Southampton have scored 1+ in 80% of home games, Middlesbrough in 80% of away games. Goals from both sides look likely even if the totals stay modest.

Goals Scored

Southampton (Home Form) Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Southampton (Home Form) Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Southampton (Home Form) Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 22 (2.2 avg) 21 (2.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Both Southampton (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Middlesbrough (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Southampton (Home Form) Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Southampton have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Middlesbrough have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Southampton (Home Form) Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Southampton (Home Form) Middlesbrough (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Hang Sai SC vs Cheng Fung 14:00 BST | Primeira Division, Macau Hang Sai SC have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Cheng Fung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    100% combined
  • Lommel U21 vs RFC de Liege U21 19:00 BST | Reserve Pro League, Belgium Lommel U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · RFC de Liege U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    91% combined
  • Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong Thunder 11:15 BST | Npl Victoria, Australia Oakleigh Cannons have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Dandenong Thunder have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Brunswick City vs North Sunshine Eagles 10:30 BST | Victoria Premier League 2, Australia Brunswick City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · North Sunshine Eagles have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.48
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Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Southampton vs Middlesbrough?

Over 2.5 Goals — Southampton have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Middlesbrough in 90% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Southampton or Middlesbrough?

Southampton have a slight form edge at home (70% wins) over Middlesbrough on the road (50% wins) in Championship. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Southampton and Middlesbrough?

Possibly — Middlesbrough regularly see both teams score away (80%), while Southampton are lower at home (60%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Southampton and Middlesbrough?

Yes, likely — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Southampton's home games and 90% of Middlesbrough's away games in Championship. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Southampton or Middlesbrough?

Middlesbrough have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Southampton's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Southampton and Middlesbrough?

Yes — both Southampton (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Middlesbrough (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Championship. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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