AC Milan vs Atalanta — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Italy
🕒 Sunday 10th May, 19:45 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

See Stats Below

AC Milan (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Atalanta on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Atalanta tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (90%), while AC Milan are lower (60%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Atalanta regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while AC Milan are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025/2026 season, with AC Milan (th) and Atalanta (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Inter 34 25 4 5 80:31 +49 79
2 Napoli 34 21 6 7 52:33 +19 69
3 AC Milan H 34 19 10 5 48:27 +21 67
4 Juventus 34 18 10 6 57:29 +28 64
5 Roma 34 19 4 11 48:29 +19 61
6 Como 34 17 10 7 59:28 +31 61
7 Atalanta A 34 14 12 8 47:32 +15 54
8 Lazio 34 12 12 10 37:33 +4 48
9 Bologna 34 14 6 14 42:41 +1 48
10 Sassuolo 34 13 7 14 41:44 -3 46
11 Udinese 34 12 8 14 41:46 -5 44
12 Parma 34 10 12 12 25:40 -15 42
13 Torino 34 11 8 15 39:56 -17 41
14 Genoa 34 10 9 15 40:48 -8 39
15 Fiorentina 34 8 13 13 38:45 -7 37
16 Cagliari 34 9 9 16 36:49 -13 36
17 Lecce 34 7 8 19 22:46 -24 29
18 Cremonese 34 6 10 18 26:51 -25 28
19 Hellas Verona 34 3 10 21 23:56 -33 19
20 Pisa 34 2 12 20 24:61 -37 18

Team Form

Atalanta have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while AC Milan have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

AC Milan (Home Form) Atalanta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Lost 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atalanta regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while AC Milan are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

AC Milan (Home Form) Atalanta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

AC Milan have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Atalanta in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

AC Milan (Home Form) Atalanta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

AC Milan (Home Form) Atalanta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

AC Milan have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Atalanta in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

AC Milan (Home Form) Atalanta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

AC Milan (Home Form) Atalanta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

AC Milan (Home Form) Atalanta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Both AC Milan (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Atalanta (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

AC Milan (Home Form) Atalanta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

AC Milan have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Atalanta have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

AC Milan (Home Form) Atalanta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

AC Milan (Home Form) Atalanta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for AC Milan vs Atalanta across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

AC Milan 2.1
Draw 3.4
Atalanta 3.6

Half Time Result

AC Milan 2.62
Draw 2.25
Atalanta 3.75

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.67
No 2.1

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.83
Over 3.5 3
Under 1.5 4
Under 2.5 2.03
Under 3.5 1.42

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.62

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 1.2
Over 1.5 1.9

Atalanta Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Tampines Rovers 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tampines Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Escola Varsovia U19 vs Lech Poznan U19 11:30 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Escola Varsovia U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Lech Poznan U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
  • Al Mesaimeer vs Al Mu'aidar 17:00 BST | Q League, Qatar Al Mesaimeer have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Al Mu'aidar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    83% combined
  • Wisla U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19 10:00 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Wisla U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Legia Warszawa U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    78% combined

AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for AC Milan vs Atalanta?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, AC Milan or Atalanta?

AC Milan have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Atalanta on the road (20% wins) in Serie A. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between AC Milan and Atalanta?

Mixed — AC Milan have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Atalanta in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between AC Milan and Atalanta?

Uncertain — AC Milan have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Atalanta in 50% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: AC Milan or Atalanta?

AC Milan have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Atalanta's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between AC Milan and Atalanta?

AC Milan have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Atalanta in 50% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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