Virsliga · Latvia 🕒 Thursday 25th June, 18:00 BST

Super Nova vs FS Jelgava Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Super Nova Home 2W 3D 5L last 10 home
VS
FS Jelgava Away 1W 6D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
Super Nova 37% Draw 27% FS Jelgava 37%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Super Nova vs FS Jelgava Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Super Nova see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, FS Jelgava in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
37% Super Nova win 27% Draw 37% FS Jelgava win 53% BTTS 48% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
74% Under 3.5 Goals

Super Nova average 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per home match this season. FS Jelgava average 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded in away fixtures. Super Nova have won 2/10 home games (20%) this season; FS Jelgava have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Super Nova have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). FS Jelgava are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home.

Super Nova frequently see both teams score at home (90%, 9/10). FS Jelgava are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Super Nova regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 90% of fixtures, 9/10). FS Jelgava are lower on the road (30%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

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League Table

Where Super Nova and FS Jelgava sit in the Virsliga table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
5 Super Nova H 16 6 2 8 18:23 -5 20
7 FS Jelgava A 16 3 6 7 12:30 -18 15
View the full Virsliga 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Rīgas FS 16 14 1 1 38:11 +27 43
2 Riga 16 12 3 1 50:17 +33 39
3 Auda 16 11 1 4 32:20 +12 34
4 Liepāja 16 6 4 6 21:23 -2 22
5 Super Nova H 16 6 2 8 18:23 -5 20
6 FC Daugavpils 17 5 4 8 20:25 -5 19
7 FS Jelgava A 16 3 6 7 12:30 -18 15
8 Tukums 17 2 8 7 30:31 -1 14
9 Grobiņa 16 2 7 7 10:26 -16 13
10 Ogre United 16 0 4 12 13:38 -25 4

Team Form

Super Nova have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while FS Jelgava have been more resilient on the road (30% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H Super Nova — last 10 home A FS Jelgava — last 10 away
Won
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Lost
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Super Nova frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while FS Jelgava are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Super Nova — last 10 home A FS Jelgava — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 53% · BTTS No 47%

Match Goals

Super Nova frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while FS Jelgava are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Super Nova — last 10 home A FS Jelgava — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Super Nova have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, FS Jelgava in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Super Nova 1.4 scored · 1.7 conceded per home game FS Jelgava 0.8 scored · 1.7 conceded per away game
H Super Nova — last 10 home A FS Jelgava — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: Super Nova 14 scored / 17 conceded at home · FS Jelgava 8 scored / 17 conceded away

Match Corners

Super Nova regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while FS Jelgava are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Super Nova — last 10 home A FS Jelgava — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Super Nova have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), but also concede 7+ corners in 70% of home matches, giving opponents significant set-piece opportunities.

FS Jelgava have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Super Nova — last 10 home A FS Jelgava — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
9/10 (90%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
9/10 (90%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
7/10 (70%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Österlen vs Nosaby 18:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Österlen have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nosaby have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    90% combined
  • Cerrado U20 vs Grêmio Anápolis U20 19:00 BST | Goiano U20, Brazil Cerrado U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Grêmio Anápolis U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 2.05
    84% combined
  • Campbelltown City vs West Torrens Birkalla 11:00 BST | Npl South Australian, Australia Campbelltown City have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · West Torrens Birkalla have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    83% combined
  • Brunswick City vs Eltham Redbacks 10:30 BST | Victoria Premier League 2, Australia Brunswick City have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Eltham Redbacks have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 6.49
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Super Nova vs FS Jelgava Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?

Over 1.5 Goals — Super Nova see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, FS Jelgava in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Super Nova or FS Jelgava?

Super Nova have a slight form edge at home (20% wins) over FS Jelgava on the road (10% wins) in Virsliga. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Super Nova and FS Jelgava?

Possibly — Super Nova frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while FS Jelgava are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Super Nova and FS Jelgava?

Possibly — Super Nova frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while FS Jelgava are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Super Nova or FS Jelgava?

Super Nova have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to FS Jelgava's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Super Nova and FS Jelgava?

Possibly — Super Nova regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while FS Jelgava are lower on the road (30%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

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🕒 Saturday 13th June, 12:00 BST

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Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS

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🕒 Saturday 13th June, 14:00 BST

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Auda vs FS Jelgava

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🕒 Saturday 13th June, 16:00 BST

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FC Daugavpils vs Super Nova

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🕒 Tuesday 16th June, 16:00 BST

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Grobiņa vs Liepāja

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🕒 Tuesday 16th June, 17:00 BST

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FS Jelgava vs Ogre United

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Wednesday 17th June, 16:00 BST

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Tukums vs Auda

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Wednesday 17th June, 16:00 BST

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Riga vs Rīgas FS

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Wednesday 17th June, 17:00 BST

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