Tapatío vs Universidad Guadalajara — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Friday 30th January, 23:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

Tapatío hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Universidad Guadalajara are less consistent on the road (2/10, 20%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Tapatío consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Universidad Guadalajara are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Both Tapatío and Universidad Guadalajara frequently see both teams scoring (70% and 70% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 90%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes — Tapatío see both teams score in 70% of home games, Universidad Guadalajara in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tapatío (8th) and Universidad Guadalajara (9th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 33 17 10 6 45:32 +13 61
2 Cancún 29 15 8 6 49:27 +22 53
3 Atlante 29 14 8 7 56:28 +28 50
4 Morelia 31 13 9 9 42:35 +7 48
5 Tepatitlán de Morelos 32 12 12 8 44:29 +15 48
6 Irapuato 33 12 11 10 54:48 +6 47
7 Mineros de Zacatecas 28 10 10 8 45:46 -1 40
8 CA La Paz 27 9 11 7 46:41 +5 38
9 Tapatío H 27 10 5 12 47:39 +8 35
10 Universidad Guadalajara A 29 9 8 12 35:44 -9 35
11 Venados 27 9 6 12 52:53 -1 33
12 Tlaxcala 27 8 9 10 28:42 -14 33
13 Alebrijes 27 6 8 13 33:53 -20 26
14 Correcaminos UAT 26 5 7 14 28:56 -28 22
15 Dorados 27 3 6 18 22:53 -31 15

Team Form

Tapatío hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Universidad Guadalajara have been less consistent on the road (20%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Tapatío (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Tapatío have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Universidad Guadalajara in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Tapatío (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Tapatío frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Universidad Guadalajara are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Tapatío (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Tapatío (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Tapatío have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Universidad Guadalajara in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tapatío (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Tapatío (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Goal Totals

Tapatío (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 22 (2.2 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 24 (2.4 avg)

Match Corners

Universidad Guadalajara frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while Tapatío are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Tapatío (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Tapatío have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Universidad Guadalajara have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 70% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

Tapatío (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Tapatío (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Tapatío and Universidad Guadalajara. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23 Aug 2025
Universidad Guadalajara
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Tapatío
08 Jun 2025
Universidad Guadalajara
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Tapatío
01 Jun 2025
Tapatío
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Universidad Guadalajara
12 Jan 2025
Tapatío
2 – 3 HT: 2-1
Universidad Guadalajara
28 Dec 2024
Leones Negros UdeG
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tapatío
18 Nov 2024
Tapatío
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
Universidad Guadalajara
15 Nov 2024
Universidad Guadalajara
2 – 2 HT: 1-2
Tapatío
27 Jul 2024
Universidad Guadalajara
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Tapatío
23 Feb 2024
Universidad Guadalajara
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tapatío
12 Oct 2023
Tapatío
2 – 4 HT: 1-3
Universidad Guadalajara

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tapatío vs Universidad Guadalajara across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tapatío 2.28
Draw 3.65
Universidad Guadalajara 3.25

Half Time Result

Tapatío 2.79
Draw 2.35
Universidad Guadalajara 3.25

Double Chance

Tapatío or Draw 1.33
Tapatío or Universidad Guadalajara 1.28
Draw or Universidad Guadalajara 1.66

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.64
No 2.4

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.5 1.81
Over 3.5 2.84
Under 1.5 4.14
Under 2.5 2.16
Under 3.5 1.47

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.62

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.08
Over 9.5 1.24
Over 10.5 1.75
Over 11.5 1.93

Tapatío Goals

Over 0.5 1.18
Over 1.5 2.1

Universidad Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5 1.27
Over 1.5 2.48

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    76% combined
  • Alianza U20 vs FAS U20 02:00 BST | Reserve League, El Salvador Alianza U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 18/21 home matches this season · FAS U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/20 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    73% combined

Tapatío vs Universidad Guadalajara Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tapatío vs Universidad Guadalajara?

Both Teams to Score — Tapatío see BTTS in 70% of home games, Universidad Guadalajara in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, Tapatío or Universidad Guadalajara?

Tapatío hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Liga de Expansión MX this season, while Universidad Guadalajara have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Tapatío and Universidad Guadalajara?

Yes — both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Tapatío have seen BTTS in 70% of home games, Universidad Guadalajara in 70% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tapatío and Universidad Guadalajara?

Possibly — Tapatío frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Universidad Guadalajara are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tapatío or Universidad Guadalajara?

Tapatío have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Universidad Guadalajara's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tapatío and Universidad Guadalajara?

Possibly — Universidad Guadalajara frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while Tapatío are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Atlante vs CA La Paz

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 00:00 BST

Correcaminos UAT vs Alebrijes

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 02:00 BST

Dorados vs Tapatío

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 04:00 BST

Tlaxcala vs Venados

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 00:00 BST

Irapuato vs Mineros de Zacatecas

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 02:00 BST

Universidad Guadalajara vs Cancún

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 19:00 BST

Jaiba Brava vs Morelia

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Monday 20th April, 00:00 BST

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)