Toluca vs América — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 9th November, 01:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Toluca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). América have struggled on the road, winning only 4/10 away games (40%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Toluca frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while América are more variable on the road (50%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Toluca often see both teams score at home (60%), while América are less consistent on the road (20%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Toluca at 60% BTTS in home games and América at 20% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Toluca (2nd) and América (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Toluca H 35 21 10 4 69:31 +38 73
2 Cruz Azul 33 19 11 3 60:36 +24 68
3 Tigres UANL 35 17 10 8 62:37 +25 61
4 Guadalajara 31 19 3 9 56:36 +20 60
5 América A 31 16 6 9 48:32 +16 54
6 Monterrey 33 15 6 12 57:49 +8 51
7 Pachuca 31 13 8 10 40:34 +6 47
8 Pumas UNAM 30 11 11 8 46:40 +6 44
9 Tijuana 32 10 12 10 47:43 +4 42
10 Juárez 32 11 8 13 49:54 -5 41
11 Atlas 29 9 8 12 38:51 -13 35
12 Necaxa 29 8 6 15 38:48 -10 30
13 Santos Laguna 29 8 4 17 36:58 -22 28
14 Querétaro 28 7 7 14 27:45 -18 28
15 Atlético San Luis 29 8 3 18 43:50 -7 27
16 León 29 7 5 17 27:55 -28 26
17 Mazatlán 29 5 10 14 34:52 -18 25
18 Puebla 29 6 6 17 31:57 -26 24

Team Form

Toluca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to América's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Toluca (Home Form) América (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 0 (0%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Toluca frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while América are less consistent on the road (20%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Toluca (Home Form) América (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 2 (20%)

Match Goals

Toluca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, América in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Toluca (Home Form) América (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Toluca (Home Form) América (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Toluca have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, América in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Toluca (Home Form) América (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) América (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Toluca (Home Form) América (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 20 (2 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Toluca (60% Over 7.5 at home) and América (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Toluca (Home Form) América (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Toluca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

América have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Toluca (Home Form) América (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) América (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Toluca and América. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21st Jul, 2025
América
1 – 3 HT: 1-2
Toluca
Corners 3–3 Cards 4–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th May, 2025
Toluca
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
América
Corners 4–2 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd May, 2025
América
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Toluca
Corners 2–2 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Mar, 2025
América
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Toluca
Corners 4–11 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Nov, 2024
Toluca
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
América
Corners 4–2 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Nov, 2024
América
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Toluca
Corners 4–2 Cards 0–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th Nov, 2024
Toluca
4 – 0 HT: 1-0
América
Corners 4–5 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Apr, 2024
América
5 – 1 HT: 3-1
Toluca
Corners 3–8 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Sep, 2023
Toluca
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
América
Corners 4–3 Cards 2–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Jan, 2023
Toluca
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
América
Corners 8–3 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Toluca vs América across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Toluca 2.45
Draw 3.65
América 3.06

Half Time Result

Toluca 2.75
Draw 2.38
América 3.15

Double Chance

Toluca or Draw 1.37
Toluca or América 1.22
Draw or América 1.57

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.54
No 2.56

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.66
Over 3.5 2.63
Under 1.5 4.8
Under 2.5 2.31
Under 3.5 1.54

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.46

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.28
Over 9.5 1.5
Over 10.5 1.84
Over 11.5 2.33

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.95

América Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Wisla U19 vs Gornik Z. U19 11:00 BST Wisla U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Gornik Z. U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    85% combined
  • Sportivo Trinidense Res. vs Olimpia Res. 11:30 BST Sportivo Trinidense Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Olimpia Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    83% combined
  • Hearts W vs Celtic W 19:00 BST Hearts W have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Celtic W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.9
    81% combined
  • Puebla W vs Querétaro W 22:45 BST Puebla W have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 home matches this season · Querétaro W have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.9
    76% combined
Acca odds (approx) 7.51
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Toluca vs América Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Toluca vs América?

BTTS – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Toluca at 60% BTTS at home and América at 20% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Toluca or América?

Toluca hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga MX this season, while América have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Toluca and América?

Mixed — Toluca have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, América in 20% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Toluca and América?

Uncertain — Toluca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, América in 30% of away games in Liga MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Toluca or América?

Toluca have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to América's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Toluca and América?

Toluca have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, América in 50% of away games in Liga MX. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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