Toluca vs Atlas — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 15th March, 01:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Toluca to Win

Toluca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Atlas have struggled on the road, winning only 1/10 away games (10%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Toluca 90% at home, Atlas 90% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Toluca often see both teams score at home (70%), while Atlas are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 80%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Toluca to Win — Toluca have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Atlas have lost 8/10 away (80%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Toluca (2nd) and Atlas (7th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Toluca H 37 21 11 5 70:33 +37 74
2 Cruz Azul 35 19 12 4 62:39 +23 69
3 Tigres UANL 37 18 10 9 66:39 +27 64
4 Guadalajara 33 19 4 10 59:42 +17 61
5 América 33 16 8 9 50:34 +16 56
6 Pachuca 33 15 8 10 46:37 +9 53
7 Monterrey 35 15 7 13 58:51 +7 52
8 Pumas UNAM 32 12 12 8 51:43 +8 48
9 Tijuana 34 12 12 10 50:44 +6 48
10 Juárez 35 11 10 14 52:58 -6 43
11 Atlas A 31 9 9 13 38:53 -15 36
12 Querétaro 31 9 8 14 32:47 -15 35
13 Necaxa 31 9 6 16 41:52 -11 33
14 León 31 9 5 17 30:55 -25 32
15 Atlético San Luis 31 9 4 18 46:52 -6 31
16 Santos Laguna 31 8 5 18 39:63 -24 29
17 Mazatlán 31 5 10 16 36:57 -21 25
18 Puebla 31 6 7 18 32:59 -27 25

Team Form

Toluca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Atlas's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Toluca (Home Form) Atlas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Lost 0 (0%) 8 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Toluca frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Atlas are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Toluca (Home Form) Atlas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Toluca 90% at home, Atlas 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Toluca (Home Form) Atlas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Toluca (Home Form) Atlas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Toluca have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Atlas in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Toluca (Home Form) Atlas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) Atlas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Toluca (Home Form) Atlas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 22 (2.2 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 21 (2.1 avg)

Match Corners

Atlas frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Toluca are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Toluca (Home Form) Atlas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Toluca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Atlas have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

Toluca (Home Form) Atlas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) Atlas (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Toluca and Atlas. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

01 Nov 2025
Atlas
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Apr 2025
Atlas
2 – 3 HT: 2-2
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Sep 2024
Toluca
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
Atlas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Apr 2024
Toluca
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
Atlas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Aug 2023
Atlas
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Feb 2023
Atlas
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Jul 2022
Toluca
3 – 2 HT: 3-1
Atlas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Apr 2022
Toluca
2 – 4 HT: 1-2
Atlas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Aug 2021
Atlas
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Feb 2021
Toluca
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Toluca vs Atlas across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Toluca 1.6
Draw 4.5
Atlas 6.2

Half Time Result

Toluca 1.9
Draw 2.58
Atlas 7.04

Double Chance

Toluca or Draw 1.05
Toluca or Atlas 1.14
Draw or Atlas 3.02

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2
No 1.74

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.31
Over 2.5 1.94
Over 3.5 3.5
Under 1.5 4.03
Under 2.5 2.06
Under 3.5 1.39

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.34
Over 1.5 2.67

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.33
Over 9.5 1.52
Over 10.5 1.9
Over 11.5 2.54

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.51

Atlas Goals

Over 0.5 1.88
Over 1.5 5.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Alphense Boys U21 vs Roda JC U21 10:30 BST | U21 Divisie 4, Netherlands Alphense Boys U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Roda JC U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    91% combined
  • Zagłębie Lubin II vs Górnik Zabrze II 11:00 BST | 3. Liga - Group 3, Poland Zagłębie Lubin II have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Górnik Zabrze II have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Lausanne-Sport U19 vs Servette U19 13:00 BST | U19 Elite, Switzerland Lausanne-Sport U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Servette U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    86% combined
  • Mendrisio vs Widnau 15:00 BST | 1.Liga Classic, Switzerland Mendrisio have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Widnau have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.85
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Toluca vs Atlas Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Toluca vs Atlas?

Toluca to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Atlas have lost 8/10 (80%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Toluca or Atlas?

Toluca hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga MX this season, while Atlas have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Toluca and Atlas?

Possibly — Toluca frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Atlas are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Toluca and Atlas?

Uncertain — Toluca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Atlas in 30% of away games in Liga MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Toluca or Atlas?

Toluca have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Atlas's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Toluca and Atlas?

Possibly — Atlas frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Toluca are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

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Querétaro vs Cruz Azul

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"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

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