Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Thursday 12th March, 22:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Vasco da Gama (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Palmeiras on the road (50% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Vasco da Gama 40% Over 2.5 at home, Palmeiras 50% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

Both Vasco da Gama and Palmeiras frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

High corner counts are common for both teams (70% and 70%), making Over 9.5 Corners a strong choice. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Vasco da Gama have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Palmeiras in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with Vasco da Gama (20th) and Palmeiras (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras A 11 8 2 1 21:10 +11 26
2 Fluminense 11 6 2 3 18:13 +5 20
3 São Paulo 11 6 2 3 15:9 +6 20
4 Bahia 10 6 2 2 15:10 +5 20
5 Flamengo 10 6 2 2 18:10 +8 20
6 Athletico PR 11 6 1 4 17:13 +4 19
7 Coritiba 11 4 4 3 13:12 +1 16
8 Vitória 10 4 2 4 11:14 -3 14
9 Atlético Mineiro 11 4 2 5 14:13 +1 14
10 Bragantino 11 4 2 5 11:12 -1 14
11 Botafogo 10 4 1 5 18:21 -3 13
12 Vasco da Gama H 11 3 4 4 16:17 -1 13
13 Grêmio 11 3 4 4 14:14 0 13
14 Internacional 11 3 4 4 9:10 -1 13
15 Santos 11 3 4 4 14:16 -2 13
16 Corinthians 11 2 5 4 8:11 -3 11
17 Cruzeiro 11 2 4 5 14:21 -7 10
18 Chapecoense 10 1 5 4 10:18 -8 8
19 Remo 11 1 5 5 11:18 -7 8
20 Mirassol 10 1 3 6 11:16 -5 6

Team Form

Vasco da Gama have lost 30% of their home matches this season, while Palmeiras have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Vasco da Gama have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Palmeiras in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Vasco da Gama have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Palmeiras in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Vasco da Gama have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Palmeiras in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

Both Vasco da Gama (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Palmeiras (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Vasco da Gama win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Palmeiras have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Vasco da Gama and Palmeiras. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

01 Oct 2025
Palmeiras
3 – 0 HT: 3-0
Vasco da Gama
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 May 2025
Vasco da Gama
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Palmeiras
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Sep 2024
Vasco da Gama
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Palmeiras
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Jun 2024
Palmeiras
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Vasco da Gama
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Aug 2023
Palmeiras
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Vasco da Gama
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Apr 2023
Vasco da Gama
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
Palmeiras
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Jan 2021
Palmeiras
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Vasco da Gama
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Nov 2020
Vasco da Gama
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Palmeiras
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Nov 2019
Vasco da Gama
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Palmeiras
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Jul 2019
Palmeiras
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Vasco da Gama
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Vasco da Gama 3.1
Draw 3.32
Palmeiras 2.45

Half Time Result

Vasco da Gama 3.74
Draw 2.16
Palmeiras 2.95

Double Chance

Vasco da Gama or Draw 1.61
Vasco da Gama or Palmeiras 1.32
Draw or Palmeiras 1.36

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.86
No 2.12

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.39
Over 2.5 2.2
Over 3.5 4
Under 1.5 3.5
Under 2.5 1.83
Under 3.5 1.32

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.38
Over 1.5 2.85

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26
Over 9.5 1.47
Over 10.5 1.82
Over 11.5 2.2

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 1.34
Over 1.5 2.83

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 1.26
Over 1.5 2.37

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Atlético Madrid vs FC Barcelona 20:00 BST | Champions League, Europe Atlético Madrid have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · FC Barcelona have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    90% combined
  • Peterborough United U21 vs Brentford U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Peterborough United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · Brentford U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    88% combined
  • Hull City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Hull City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · AFC Bournemouth U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    88% combined
  • Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain 20:00 BST | Champions League, Europe Liverpool have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Paris Saint Germain have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    81% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
Explore all our tips & stats

Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras?

Under 3.5 Goals — Vasco da Gama have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Palmeiras in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Vasco da Gama or Palmeiras?

Palmeiras hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Vasco da Gama at home (40% wins) in Serie A. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Vasco da Gama and Palmeiras?

Mixed — Vasco da Gama have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Palmeiras in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Vasco da Gama and Palmeiras?

Uncertain — Vasco da Gama have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Palmeiras in 50% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Vasco da Gama or Palmeiras?

Palmeiras have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Vasco da Gama's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Vasco da Gama and Palmeiras?

Yes — both Vasco da Gama (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Palmeiras (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Serie A. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Chapecoense vs Botafogo

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 22:30 BST

Match Stats

Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 22:30 BST

Match Stats

Vitória vs Corinthians

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 00:00 BST

Match Stats

Cruzeiro vs Grêmio

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 00:30 BST

Match Stats

Internacional vs Mirassol

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 15:00 BST

Match Stats

Santos vs Fluminense

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 20:00 BST

Match Stats

Coritiba vs Atlético Mineiro

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 20:00 BST

Match Stats

Palmeiras vs Athletico PR

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 22:30 BST

Match Stats

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

Latest Blogs

View all posts →