Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Friday 2nd January, 20:45 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Vitória Guimarães (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Nacional on the road (0% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Nacional tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (80%), while Vitória Guimarães are lower (60%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Both Vitória Guimarães and Nacional frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 70% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Vitória Guimarães regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Nacional are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Vitória Guimarães have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Nacional in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Vitória Guimarães (7th) and Nacional (13th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 27 23 3 1 54:11 +43 72
2 Benfica 27 19 8 0 58:17 +41 65
3 Sporting CP 26 20 5 1 68:15 +53 65
4 Sporting Braga 26 13 7 6 53:27 +26 46
5 Famalicão 27 13 6 8 33:22 +11 45
6 Gil Vicente 27 11 9 7 39:28 +11 42
7 Estoril 27 10 7 10 48:44 +4 37
8 Moreirense 27 10 5 12 31:39 -8 35
9 Vitória Guimarães H 27 9 5 13 29:42 -13 32
10 Rio Ave 27 7 9 11 28:46 -18 30
11 Arouca 27 8 5 14 34:55 -21 29
12 Alverca 27 7 8 12 27:45 -18 29
13 Santa Clara 27 7 7 13 24:31 -7 28
14 Estrela Amadora 27 6 10 11 33:45 -12 28
15 Casa Pia 26 5 9 12 26:48 -22 24
16 Nacional A 27 5 7 15 29:39 -10 22
17 Tondela 26 4 8 14 19:39 -20 20
18 AVS 27 1 8 18 18:58 -40 11

Team Form

Nacional have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Vitória Guimarães have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 4 (40%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Vitória Guimarães have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Nacional in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Vitória Guimarães have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Nacional in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Vitória Guimarães have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Nacional in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)

Match Corners

Vitória Guimarães regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Nacional are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Vitória Guimarães have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Nacional have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Vitória Guimarães and Nacional. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

02 Jan 2026
Vitória Guimarães
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 May 2025
Nacional
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Vitória SC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Dec 2024
Vitória SC
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Apr 2021
Nacional
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Vitória SC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Jan 2021
Vitória SC
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 May 2019
Vitória SC
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Jan 2019
Nacional
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Vitória SC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Mar 2017
Nacional
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Vitória SC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Nov 2016
Vitória SC
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Mar 2016
Nacional
3 – 2 HT: 1-2
Vitória SC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Vitória Guimarães 1.92
Draw 3.2
Nacional 4.33

Half Time Result

Vitória Guimarães 2.6
Draw 2.05
Nacional 4.84

Double Chance

Vitória Guimarães or Draw 1.2
Vitória Guimarães or Nacional 1.35
Draw or Nacional 1.91

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.96
No 1.88

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.4
Over 2.5 2.26
Over 3.5 4.11
Under 1.5 3.04
Under 2.5 1.69
Under 3.5 1.25

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.33

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.23
Over 9.5 1.42
Over 10.5 1.9
Over 11.5 2.04

Vitória Guimarães Goals

Over 0.5 1.24
Over 1.5 2.18

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.63
Over 1.5 4.06

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Bulle vs Lugano II 17:00 BST | 1.Liga Promotion, Switzerland Bulle have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Lugano II have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    91% combined
  • Espanyol U19 vs Damm U19 15:00 BST | División De Honor Juvenil - Group 3, Spain Espanyol U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Damm U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    83% combined
  • Roda U19 vs Talavera U19 16:00 BST | División De Honor Juvenil - Group 7, Spain Roda U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Talavera U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    82% combined
  • FC Košice U19 vs Spartak Trnava U19 10:00 BST | Youth League, Slovakia FC Košice U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · Spartak Trnava U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    81% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.9
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Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional?

Under 3.5 Goals — Vitória Guimarães have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Nacional in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Vitória Guimarães or Nacional?

Vitória Guimarães have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Nacional on the road (0% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Vitória Guimarães and Nacional?

Possibly — Nacional regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Vitória Guimarães are lower at home (60%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Vitória Guimarães and Nacional?

Uncertain — Vitória Guimarães have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Nacional in 60% of away games in Liga Portugal. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Vitória Guimarães or Nacional?

Nacional have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Vitória Guimarães's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Vitória Guimarães and Nacional?

Possibly — Vitória Guimarães regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Nacional are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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