Vitória Guimarães vs Casa Pia — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 10th May, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Vitória Guimarães to Win

Vitória Guimarães hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Casa Pia are less consistent on the road (1/10, 10%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Vitória Guimarães frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Casa Pia are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Vitória Guimarães often see both teams score at home (60%), while Casa Pia are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Casa Pia often produce high corner totals away (70%), while Vitória Guimarães are lower at home (50%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Vitória Guimarães to Win — Vitória Guimarães have won 6/10 home games this season (60%), while Casa Pia have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Vitória Guimarães (th) and Casa Pia (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 31 26 4 1 63:15 +48 82
2 Benfica 31 22 9 0 67:20 +47 75
3 Sporting CP 30 22 6 2 75:20 +55 72
4 Sporting Braga 31 16 8 7 59:31 +28 56
5 Famalicão 31 14 9 8 39:27 +12 51
6 Gil Vicente 31 13 10 8 46:32 +14 49
7 Vitória Guimarães H 31 12 6 13 38:43 -5 42
8 Moreirense 31 11 6 14 34:45 -11 39
9 Alverca 31 10 8 13 34:49 -15 38
10 Estoril 31 10 7 14 51:52 -1 37
11 Arouca 31 10 5 16 39:60 -21 35
12 Rio Ave 31 8 10 13 33:52 -19 34
13 Santa Clara 31 8 8 15 28:38 -10 32
14 Nacional 31 8 7 16 34:41 -7 31
15 Estrela Amadora 31 6 10 15 34:51 -17 28
16 Casa Pia A 31 5 11 15 29:55 -26 26
17 Tondela 30 4 9 17 21:50 -29 21
18 AVS 31 1 11 19 22:65 -43 14

Team Form

Vitória Guimarães hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Casa Pia have been less consistent on the road (10%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Vitória Guimarães frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Casa Pia are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Vitória Guimarães have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Casa Pia in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Vitória Guimarães have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Casa Pia in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)

Match Corners

Casa Pia frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while Vitória Guimarães are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Team Corners

Vitória Guimarães have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Casa Pia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Casa Pia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Tampines Rovers 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tampines Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Escola Varsovia U19 vs Lech Poznan U19 11:30 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Escola Varsovia U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Lech Poznan U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
  • Al Mesaimeer vs Al Mu'aidar 17:00 BST | Q League, Qatar Al Mesaimeer have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Al Mu'aidar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    83% combined
  • Wisla U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19 10:00 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Wisla U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Legia Warszawa U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    78% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Vitória Guimarães vs Casa Pia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Vitória Guimarães vs Casa Pia?

Vitória Guimarães to Win — they've won 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 home games, while Casa Pia have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Vitória Guimarães or Casa Pia?

Vitória Guimarães hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Liga Portugal this season, while Casa Pia have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Vitória Guimarães and Casa Pia?

Mixed — Vitória Guimarães have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Casa Pia in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Portugal fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Vitória Guimarães and Casa Pia?

Uncertain — Vitória Guimarães have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Casa Pia in 60% of away games in Liga Portugal. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Vitória Guimarães or Casa Pia?

Vitória Guimarães have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Casa Pia's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Vitória Guimarães and Casa Pia?

Possibly — Casa Pia frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while Vitória Guimarães are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente

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Arouca vs Santa Clara

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Match Stats

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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