Arouca vs Nacional — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Saturday 21st February, 15:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Arouca (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Nacional on the road (0% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Arouca consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Nacional are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Both Arouca and Nacional frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Nacional often produce high corner totals away (70%), while Arouca are lower at home (50%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Arouca have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Nacional in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Arouca (12th) and Nacional (14th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 29 24 4 1 59:14 +45 76
2 Sporting CP 28 22 5 1 73:17 +56 71
3 Benfica 29 20 9 0 61:18 +43 69
4 Sporting Braga 28 15 7 6 55:27 +28 52
5 Famalicão 29 13 8 8 36:25 +11 47
6 Gil Vicente 29 12 10 7 44:30 +14 46
7 Estoril 29 10 7 12 51:50 +1 37
8 Moreirense 29 10 6 13 32:41 -9 36
9 Vitória Guimarães 29 10 6 13 35:43 -8 36
10 Alverca 29 9 8 12 32:47 -15 35
11 Rio Ave 29 8 9 12 31:48 -17 33
12 Arouca H 29 9 5 15 37:58 -21 32
13 Santa Clara 29 7 7 15 26:37 -11 28
14 Estrela Amadora 29 6 10 13 33:48 -15 28
15 Nacional A 29 6 7 16 31:41 -10 25
16 Casa Pia 28 5 10 13 28:52 -24 25
17 Tondela 28 4 9 15 21:46 -25 21
18 AVS 29 1 9 19 19:62 -43 12

Team Form

Nacional have lost 80% of their away matches this season, while Arouca have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Arouca (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 8 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Arouca have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Nacional in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Arouca (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Arouca frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Nacional are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Arouca (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Arouca (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Arouca have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Nacional in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Arouca (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Arouca (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Arouca (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 17 (1.7 avg) 20 (2 avg)

Match Corners

Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Arouca are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Arouca (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Arouca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Nacional have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

Arouca (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Arouca (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Arouca and Nacional. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20 Sep 2025
Nacional
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Arouca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Feb 2025
Nacional
1 – 2 HT: 1-2
Arouca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Aug 2024
Arouca
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 May 2018
Arouca
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Dec 2017
Nacional
2 – 2 HT: 0-2
Arouca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Jan 2017
Nacional
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Arouca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Aug 2016
Arouca
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 May 2016
Arouca
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Jan 2016
Nacional
2 – 2 HT: 1-2
Arouca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Feb 2015
Arouca
3 – 3 HT: 1-2
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Arouca vs Nacional across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Arouca 2.22
Draw 3.5
Nacional 3.46

Half Time Result

Arouca 2.87
Draw 2.26
Nacional 4.01

Double Chance

Arouca or Draw 1.34
Arouca or Nacional 1.35
Draw or Nacional 1.71

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.74
No 2.1

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.31
Over 2.5 2.06
Over 3.5 3.39
Under 1.5 3.62
Under 2.5 1.83
Under 3.5 1.34

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 2.98

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.3
Over 9.5 1.46
Over 10.5 2.16
Over 11.5 2.3

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 1.24
Over 1.5 2.22

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.38
Over 1.5 2.82

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Blacktown Spartans vs Prospect United 11:15 BST | New South Wales NPL 2, Australia Blacktown Spartans have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Prospect United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    91% combined
  • Thalgau vs SV Schwarzach 16:30 BST | Landesliga: Salzburg, Austria Thalgau have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · SV Schwarzach have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    90% combined
  • Tahiti United vs Vanuatu United 08:00 BST | OFC Professional League, Asia Tahiti United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Vanuatu United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.95
    83% combined
  • Kalsdorf vs Lafnitz 18:00 BST | Regionalliga: Mitte, Austria Kalsdorf have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Lafnitz have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    81% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.66
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Arouca vs Nacional Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Arouca vs Nacional?

Over 2.5 Goals — Arouca have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Nacional in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Arouca or Nacional?

Arouca have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Nacional on the road (0% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Arouca and Nacional?

Mixed — Arouca have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Nacional in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Portugal fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Arouca and Nacional?

Possibly — Arouca frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Nacional are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Arouca or Nacional?

Arouca have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Nacional's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Arouca and Nacional?

Possibly — Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Arouca are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Casa Pia vs Santa Clara

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

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Gil Vicente vs Vitória Guimarães

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Arouca vs Estrela Amadora

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 15:30 BST

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Sporting CP vs Benfica

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

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Porto vs Tondela

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 20:30 BST

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Sporting Braga vs Famalicão

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

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Match Stats

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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