Birmingham City vs Derby County

๐Ÿ“ Championship, England
๐Ÿ•’ Friday 26th December, 12:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Birmingham City sit 14th in the table after 18 games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Derby County are 12th after 18 games, averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. Birmingham City have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Derby County have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Derby County have featured in high-scoring away games this season โ€” Over 2.5 Goals in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Birmingham City are lower at home (40%, 4/10), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.9 conceded.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season โ€” Birmingham City in 60% of home games (6/10), Derby County in 60% away (6/10). Birmingham City have scored in 80% of home fixtures; Derby County in 80% of away games.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed โ€” Birmingham City see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Derby County in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals โ€” Birmingham City see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Derby County in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Todayโ€™s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for todayโ€™s games.

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League Table

The full Championship table for the 2025/2026 season, with Birmingham City (14th) and Derby County (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Championship 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Coventry City 46 28 11 7 97:45 +52 95
2 Ipswich Town 46 23 15 8 80:47 +33 84
3 Millwall 48 24 12 12 64:51 +13 84
4 Southampton 48 23 15 10 84:57 +27 84
5 Middlesbrough 48 22 15 11 73:49 +24 81
6 Hull City 48 22 11 15 72:66 +6 77
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 +4 71
8 Derby County A 46 20 9 17 67:59 +8 69
9 Norwich City 46 19 8 19 63:56 +7 65
10 Birmingham City H 46 17 13 16 57:56 +1 64
11 Swansea City 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
13 Sheffield United 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
14 Preston North End 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
15 Queens Park Rangers 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
17 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
18 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
19 Charlton Athletic 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
20 West Bromwich Albion 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 53
21 Leicester City 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 52
22 Blackburn Rovers 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
23 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 18

Team Form

Derby County have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Birmingham City have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Birmingham City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Lost 2 (20%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Birmingham City have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Derby County in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net โ€” the stats support a goal at each end.

Birmingham City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Derby County regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Birmingham City are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Birmingham City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Birmingham City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Birmingham City have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Derby County in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Birmingham City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Birmingham City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Birmingham City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Birmingham City regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Derby County are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Birmingham City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Birmingham City win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Derby County have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Birmingham City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Birmingham City (Home Form) Derby County (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Birmingham City and Derby County. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up โ€” use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

26 Dec 2025
Birmingham City
1 โ€“ 1 HT: 0-1
Derby County
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Jan 2022
Derby County
2 โ€“ 2 HT: 0-1
Birmingham City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Sep 2021
Birmingham City
2 โ€“ 0 HT: 1-0
Derby County
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Apr 2021
Derby County
1 โ€“ 2 HT: 1-0
Birmingham City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Dec 2020
Birmingham City
0 โ€“ 4 HT: 0-3
Derby County
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Jul 2020
Birmingham City
1 โ€“ 3 HT: 0-1
Derby County
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Sep 2019
Derby County
3 โ€“ 2 HT: 1-0
Birmingham City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Apr 2019
Birmingham City
2 โ€“ 2 HT: 2-2
Derby County
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Nov 2018
Derby County
3 โ€“ 1 HT: 0-1
Birmingham City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Jan 2018
Birmingham City
0 โ€“ 3 HT: 0-1
Derby County
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Birmingham City vs Derby County across a range of markets โ€” full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change โ€” always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Birmingham City 1.91
Draw 3.47
Derby County 4.3

Half Time Result

Birmingham City 2.6
Draw 2.16
Derby County 4.5

Double Chance

Birmingham City or Draw 1.22
Birmingham City or Derby County 1.33
Draw or Derby County 1.8

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2
No 1.72

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.4
Over 2.5 2.22
Over 3.5 4.07
Under 1.5 2.8
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 3.5 1.21

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.29

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26
Over 9.5 1.46
Over 10.5 1.74
Over 11.5 2.15

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 1.21
Over 1.5 2.18

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 1.59
Over 1.5 3.9

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

โšฝ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Ironi Ramat HaSharon W vs Maccabi Kishronot Hadera W 16:10 BST | Ligat Al Women, Israel Ironi Ramat HaSharon W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Maccabi Kishronot Hadera W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    86% combined
  • Deportivo Riestra Res. vs San Martรญn San Juan Res. 19:00 BST | Reserve League, Argentina Deportivo Riestra Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · San Martรญn San Juan Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    75% combined
  • Maccabi Holon W vs Hapoel Jerusalem W 16:10 BST | Ligat Al Women, Israel Maccabi Holon W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Hapoel Jerusalem W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    73% combined
  • Thun vs Young Boys 15:30 BST | Super League, Switzerland Thun have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/18 home matches this season · Young Boys have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.04
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Birmingham City vs Derby County Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Birmingham City vs Derby County?

Over 1.5 Goals โ€” Birmingham City see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Derby County in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Birmingham City or Derby County?

Birmingham City have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Derby County on the road (40% wins) in Championship. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Birmingham City and Derby County?

Mixed โ€” Birmingham City have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Derby County in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Championship fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Birmingham City and Derby County?

Possibly โ€” Derby County regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Birmingham City are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Birmingham City or Derby County?

Derby County have the stronger away scoring record โ€” 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Birmingham City's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Birmingham City and Derby County?

Possibly โ€” Birmingham City regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Derby County are lower on the road (30%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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