Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Saturday 14th March, 15:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

AFC Bournemouth Over 1.5 Team Goals

Burnley (10% home wins) hold a slight edge over AFC Bournemouth on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Burnley 80% at home, AFC Bournemouth 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Both Burnley and AFC Bournemouth frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 70% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

AFC Bournemouth often produce high corner totals away (80%), while Burnley are lower at home (50%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: AFC Bournemouth Over 1.5 Team Goals — the visitors have scored 2+ in 60% of away games, while Burnley have conceded 2+ in 70% of home games. The stats back a productive away attacking display.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Burnley (19th) and AFC Bournemouth (9th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 62:24 +38 70
2 Manchester City 31 19 7 5 63:28 +35 64
3 Manchester United 32 15 10 7 57:45 +12 55
4 Aston Villa 32 16 7 9 43:38 +5 55
5 Liverpool 32 15 7 10 52:42 +10 52
6 Chelsea 32 13 9 10 53:41 +12 48
7 Brentford 32 13 8 11 48:44 +4 47
8 Everton 32 13 8 11 39:37 +2 47
9 Sunderland 32 12 10 10 33:36 -3 46
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 32 12 10 10 43:37 +6 46
11 AFC Bournemouth A 32 10 15 7 48:49 -1 45
12 Fulham 32 13 5 14 43:46 -3 44
13 Newcastle United 32 12 6 14 45:47 -2 42
14 Crystal Palace 31 11 9 11 35:36 -1 42
15 Leeds United 32 8 12 12 39:49 -10 36
16 Nottingham Forest 32 8 9 15 32:44 -12 33
17 West Ham United 32 8 8 16 40:57 -17 32
18 Tottenham Hotspur 32 7 9 16 40:51 -11 30
19 Burnley H 32 4 8 20 33:63 -30 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 32 3 8 21 24:58 -34 17

Team Form

Burnley have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while AFC Bournemouth have been more resilient on the road (10% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Lost 5 (50%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Burnley have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, AFC Bournemouth in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Burnley 80% at home, AFC Bournemouth 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Burnley have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, AFC Bournemouth in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 18 (1.8 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

AFC Bournemouth frequently reach high corner counts away from home (100%), while Burnley are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 10 (100%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 10 (100%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 8 (80%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Team Corners

Burnley have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

AFC Bournemouth have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 9 (90%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Burnley and AFC Bournemouth. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20 Dec 2025
AFC Bournemouth
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Burnley
03 Mar 2024
Burnley
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
AFC Bournemouth
28 Oct 2023
AFC Bournemouth
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Burnley
07 Jan 2023
AFC Bournemouth
2 – 4 HT: 1-3
Burnley
09 Feb 2021
Burnley
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
AFC Bournemouth
22 Feb 2020
Burnley
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
AFC Bournemouth
21 Dec 2019
AFC Bournemouth
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Burnley
06 Apr 2019
AFC Bournemouth
1 – 3 HT: 1-2
Burnley
22 Sep 2018
Burnley
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
AFC Bournemouth
13 May 2018
Burnley
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
AFC Bournemouth

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Burnley 3.9
Draw 4.1
AFC Bournemouth 1.9

Half Time Result

Burnley 4.45
Draw 2.51
AFC Bournemouth 2.41

Double Chance

Burnley or Draw 2.05
Burnley or AFC Bournemouth 1.29
Draw or AFC Bournemouth 1.26

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.64
No 2.54

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 3.5 2.62
Under 1.5 5.5
Under 2.5 2.52
Under 3.5 1.6

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.49

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.18
Over 9.5 1.49
Over 10.5 1.87
Over 11.5 1.89

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 1.39
Over 1.5 2.96

AFC Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.5 1.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Alphense Boys U21 vs Roda JC U21 10:30 BST | U21 Divisie 4, Netherlands Alphense Boys U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Roda JC U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    91% combined
  • Zagłębie Lubin II vs Górnik Zabrze II 11:00 BST | 3. Liga - Group 3, Poland Zagłębie Lubin II have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Górnik Zabrze II have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Lausanne-Sport U19 vs Servette U19 13:00 BST | U19 Elite, Switzerland Lausanne-Sport U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Servette U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    86% combined
  • Mendrisio vs Widnau 15:00 BST | 1.Liga Classic, Switzerland Mendrisio have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Widnau have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.85
    85% combined

Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth?

AFC Bournemouth Over 1.5 Goals — the visitors have scored 2+ in 60% of away games, while Burnley have conceded 2+ in 70% of home games. The stats back a productive away display.

Which team is likely to win, Burnley or AFC Bournemouth?

AFC Bournemouth hold a slight form advantage away (30% wins) over Burnley at home (10% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Burnley and AFC Bournemouth?

Possibly — AFC Bournemouth regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Burnley are lower at home (60%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Burnley and AFC Bournemouth?

Uncertain — Burnley have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, AFC Bournemouth in 60% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Burnley or AFC Bournemouth?

AFC Bournemouth have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Burnley's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Burnley and AFC Bournemouth?

Possibly — AFC Bournemouth frequently reach high corner counts away (100%), while Burnley are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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