Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Saturday 14th March, 15:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

AFC Bournemouth Over 1.5 Team Goals

Burnley (10% home wins) hold a slight edge over AFC Bournemouth on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Burnley 80% at home, AFC Bournemouth 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Both Burnley and AFC Bournemouth frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 70% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

AFC Bournemouth often produce high corner totals away (80%), while Burnley are lower at home (50%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: AFC Bournemouth Over 1.5 Team Goals — the visitors have scored 2+ in 60% of away games, while Burnley have conceded 2+ in 70% of home games. The stats back a productive away attacking display.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Burnley (19th) and AFC Bournemouth (9th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 34 22 7 5 64:26 +38 73
2 Manchester City 33 21 7 5 66:29 +37 70
3 Manchester United 34 17 10 7 60:46 +14 61
4 Liverpool 34 17 7 10 57:44 +13 58
5 Aston Villa 34 17 7 10 47:42 +5 58
6 Brighton & Hove Albion 34 13 11 10 48:39 +9 50
7 AFC Bournemouth A 34 11 16 7 52:52 0 49
8 Brentford 34 13 9 12 49:46 +3 48
9 Fulham 34 14 6 14 44:46 -2 48
10 Chelsea 34 13 9 12 53:45 +8 48
11 Everton 34 13 8 13 41:41 0 47
12 Sunderland 34 12 10 12 36:45 -9 46
13 Crystal Palace 33 11 10 12 36:39 -3 43
14 Newcastle United 34 12 6 16 46:50 -4 42
15 Leeds United 34 9 13 12 44:51 -7 40
16 Nottingham Forest 34 10 9 15 41:45 -4 39
17 West Ham United 34 9 9 16 42:58 -16 36
18 Tottenham Hotspur 34 8 10 16 43:53 -10 34
19 Burnley H 34 4 8 22 34:68 -34 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 34 3 8 23 24:62 -38 17

Team Form

Burnley have lost 60% of their home matches this season, while AFC Bournemouth have been more resilient on the road (10% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Lost 6 (60%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Burnley have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, AFC Bournemouth in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Burnley 80% at home, AFC Bournemouth 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Burnley have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, AFC Bournemouth in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 19 (1.9 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

AFC Bournemouth frequently reach high corner counts away from home (90%), while Burnley are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 8 (80%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Team Corners

Burnley have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

AFC Bournemouth have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Burnley (Home Form) AFC Bournemouth (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Burnley and AFC Bournemouth. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20 Dec 2025
AFC Bournemouth
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Mar 2024
Burnley
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
AFC Bournemouth
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Oct 2023
AFC Bournemouth
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Jan 2023
AFC Bournemouth
2 – 4 HT: 1-3
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Feb 2021
Burnley
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
AFC Bournemouth
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Feb 2020
Burnley
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
AFC Bournemouth
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Dec 2019
AFC Bournemouth
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Apr 2019
AFC Bournemouth
1 – 3 HT: 1-2
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Sep 2018
Burnley
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
AFC Bournemouth
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 May 2018
Burnley
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
AFC Bournemouth
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Burnley 3.9
Draw 4.1
AFC Bournemouth 1.9

Half Time Result

Burnley 4.45
Draw 2.51
AFC Bournemouth 2.41

Double Chance

Burnley or Draw 2.05
Burnley or AFC Bournemouth 1.29
Draw or AFC Bournemouth 1.26

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.64
No 2.54

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 3.5 2.62
Under 1.5 5.5
Under 2.5 2.52
Under 3.5 1.6

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.49

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.18
Over 9.5 1.49
Over 10.5 1.87
Over 11.5 1.89

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 1.39
Over 1.5 2.96

AFC Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.5 1.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Tampines Rovers 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tampines Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Escola Varsovia U19 vs Lech Poznan U19 11:30 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Escola Varsovia U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Lech Poznan U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
  • Al Mesaimeer vs Al Mu'aidar 17:00 BST | Q League, Qatar Al Mesaimeer have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Al Mu'aidar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    83% combined
  • Wisla U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19 10:00 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Wisla U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Legia Warszawa U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    78% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth?

AFC Bournemouth Over 1.5 Goals — the visitors have scored 2+ in 60% of away games, while Burnley have conceded 2+ in 70% of home games. The stats back a productive away display.

Which team is likely to win, Burnley or AFC Bournemouth?

AFC Bournemouth hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Burnley at home (10% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Burnley and AFC Bournemouth?

Possibly — AFC Bournemouth regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Burnley are lower at home (60%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Burnley and AFC Bournemouth?

Uncertain — Burnley have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, AFC Bournemouth in 60% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Burnley or AFC Bournemouth?

Burnley have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to AFC Bournemouth's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Burnley and AFC Bournemouth?

Possibly — AFC Bournemouth frequently reach high corner counts away (90%), while Burnley are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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