Casa Pia vs Nacional — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Saturday 30th August, 15:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Casa Pia (20% home wins) hold a slight edge over Nacional on the road (0% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Casa Pia 90% at home, Nacional 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Both Casa Pia and Nacional frequently see both teams scoring (80% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Nacional often produce high corner totals away (70%), while Casa Pia are lower at home (40%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Casa Pia see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Nacional in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Casa Pia (10th) and Nacional (16th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 28 23 4 1 56:13 +43 73
2 Sporting CP 28 22 5 1 73:17 +56 71
3 Benfica 29 20 9 0 61:18 +43 69
4 Sporting Braga 28 15 7 6 55:27 +28 52
5 Famalicão 29 13 8 8 36:25 +11 47
6 Gil Vicente 28 12 9 7 42:28 +14 45
7 Estoril 28 10 7 11 50:47 +3 37
8 Moreirense 29 10 6 13 32:41 -9 36
9 Vitória Guimarães 29 10 6 13 35:43 -8 36
10 Alverca 29 9 8 12 32:47 -15 35
11 Rio Ave 29 8 9 12 31:48 -17 33
12 Arouca 29 9 5 15 37:58 -21 32
13 Santa Clara 29 7 7 15 26:37 -11 28
14 Estrela Amadora 29 6 10 13 33:48 -15 28
15 Nacional A 29 6 7 16 31:41 -10 25
16 Casa Pia H 28 5 10 13 28:52 -24 25
17 Tondela 27 4 8 15 19:44 -25 20
18 AVS 29 1 9 19 19:62 -43 12

Team Form

Nacional have lost 80% of their away matches this season, while Casa Pia have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Casa Pia (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 8 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Casa Pia have seen both teams score in 80% of home games this season, Nacional in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Casa Pia (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Casa Pia 90% at home, Nacional 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Casa Pia (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Casa Pia (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Casa Pia have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Nacional in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Casa Pia (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Casa Pia (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Casa Pia (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 18 (1.8 avg) 20 (2 avg)

Match Corners

Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Casa Pia are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Casa Pia (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Casa Pia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Nacional have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

Casa Pia (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Casa Pia (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Casa Pia and Nacional. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

16th Mar, 2025
Nacional
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Casa Pia
25th Oct, 2024
Casa Pia
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nacional
25th Nov, 2023
Nacional
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Casa Pia
28th Sep, 2023
Casa Pia
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Nacional
9th Feb, 2023
Casa Pia
2 – 5 HT: 0-1
Nacional
19th Feb, 2022
Casa Pia
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nacional
19th Sep, 2021
Nacional
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Casa Pia
25th Nov, 2020
Casa Pia
2 – 3 HT: 0-1
Nacional
1st Dec, 2019
Casa Pia
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Nacional

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Casa Pia vs Nacional across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Casa Pia 2.28
Draw 3.2
Nacional 3.5

Half Time Result

Casa Pia 2.98
Draw 2.05
Nacional 4.19

Double Chance

Casa Pia or Draw 1.28
Casa Pia or Nacional 1.35
Draw or Nacional 1.66

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2
No 1.75

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.5
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 3.5 4.51
Under 1.5 2.89
Under 2.5 1.61
Under 3.5 1.18

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.49
Over 1.5 3.2

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22
Over 9.5 1.35
Over 10.5 2.02
Over 11.5 2.1

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.37
Over 2.5 6.6

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.5
Over 2.5 11

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    76% combined
  • Alianza U20 vs FAS U20 02:00 BST | Reserve League, El Salvador Alianza U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 18/21 home matches this season · FAS U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/20 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    73% combined

Casa Pia vs Nacional Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Casa Pia vs Nacional?

Over 8.5 Corners — Casa Pia see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Nacional in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Casa Pia or Nacional?

Casa Pia have a slight form edge at home (20% wins) over Nacional on the road (0% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Casa Pia and Nacional?

Possibly — Casa Pia frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Nacional are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Casa Pia and Nacional?

Uncertain — Casa Pia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Nacional in 60% of away games in Liga Portugal. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Casa Pia or Nacional?

Casa Pia have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Nacional's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Casa Pia and Nacional?

Possibly — Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Casa Pia are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Tondela vs Gil Vicente

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Monday 13th April, 20:15 BST

Rio Ave vs AVS

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Friday 17th April, 20:45 BST

Nacional vs Alverca

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 15:30 BST

Casa Pia vs Santa Clara

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 18:00 BST

Gil Vicente vs Vitória Guimarães

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 20:30 BST

Arouca vs Estrela Amadora

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 15:30 BST

Sporting CP vs Benfica

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 18:00 BST

Porto vs Tondela

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 20:30 BST

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