Chelsea vs Newcastle United — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Saturday 14th March, 17:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Both teams are evenly matched — Chelsea have won 40% of home games, Newcastle United 40% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Newcastle United have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Chelsea are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Newcastle United regularly see both teams score in away matches (90%), while Chelsea are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Chelsea regularly reach high corner totals at home (80%), while Newcastle United are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Chelsea have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Newcastle United in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Chelsea (5th) and Newcastle United (13th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 62:24 +38 70
2 Manchester City 31 19 7 5 63:28 +35 64
3 Manchester United 32 15 10 7 57:45 +12 55
4 Aston Villa 32 16 7 9 43:38 +5 55
5 Liverpool 32 15 7 10 52:42 +10 52
6 Chelsea H 32 13 9 10 53:41 +12 48
7 Brentford 32 13 8 11 48:44 +4 47
8 Everton 32 13 8 11 39:37 +2 47
9 Sunderland 32 12 10 10 33:36 -3 46
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 32 12 10 10 43:37 +6 46
11 AFC Bournemouth 32 10 15 7 48:49 -1 45
12 Fulham 32 13 5 14 43:46 -3 44
13 Newcastle United A 32 12 6 14 45:47 -2 42
14 Crystal Palace 31 11 9 11 35:36 -1 42
15 Leeds United 32 8 12 12 39:49 -10 36
16 Nottingham Forest 32 8 9 15 32:44 -12 33
17 West Ham United 32 8 8 16 40:57 -17 32
18 Tottenham Hotspur 32 7 9 16 40:51 -11 30
19 Burnley 32 4 8 20 33:63 -30 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 32 3 8 21 24:58 -34 17

Team Form

Chelsea (40% home wins) and Newcastle United (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Lost 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Newcastle United regularly see both teams score in away matches (90%), while Chelsea are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 9 (90%)

Match Goals

Newcastle United regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Chelsea are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Chelsea have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Newcastle United in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 22 (2.2 avg)

Match Corners

Both Chelsea (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Newcastle United (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Chelsea win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Newcastle United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Chelsea and Newcastle United. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20 Dec 2025
Newcastle United
2 – 2 HT: 2-0
Chelsea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 May 2025
Newcastle United
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Chelsea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Oct 2024
Newcastle United
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Chelsea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Oct 2024
Chelsea
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Newcastle United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Mar 2024
Chelsea
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
Newcastle United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Dec 2023
Chelsea
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Newcastle United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Nov 2023
Newcastle United
4 – 1 HT: 1-1
Chelsea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Jul 2023
Newcastle United
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Chelsea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 May 2023
Chelsea
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Newcastle United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Nov 2022
Newcastle United
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Chelsea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Chelsea vs Newcastle United across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Chelsea 1.66
Draw 4.4
Newcastle United 4.33

Half Time Result

Chelsea 2.35
Draw 2.39
Newcastle United 4.1

Double Chance

Chelsea or Draw 1.29
Chelsea or Newcastle United 1.28
Draw or Newcastle United 2.01

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.57
No 2.68

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.53
Over 3.5 2.35
Under 1.5 6.4
Under 2.5 2.81
Under 3.5 1.72

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.24
Over 1.5 2.3

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.14
Over 9.5 1.26
Over 10.5 1.68
Over 11.5 1.92

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.68

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.62

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Alphense Boys U21 vs Roda JC U21 10:30 BST | U21 Divisie 4, Netherlands Alphense Boys U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Roda JC U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    91% combined
  • Zagłębie Lubin II vs Górnik Zabrze II 11:00 BST | 3. Liga - Group 3, Poland Zagłębie Lubin II have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Górnik Zabrze II have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Lausanne-Sport U19 vs Servette U19 13:00 BST | U19 Elite, Switzerland Lausanne-Sport U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Servette U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    86% combined
  • Mendrisio vs Widnau 15:00 BST | 1.Liga Classic, Switzerland Mendrisio have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Widnau have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.85
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Chelsea vs Newcastle United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Newcastle United?

Over 2.5 Goals — Chelsea have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Newcastle United in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Chelsea or Newcastle United?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Chelsea have won 40% of home games, Newcastle United 40% away in Premier League. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Chelsea and Newcastle United?

Possibly — Newcastle United regularly see both teams score away (90%), while Chelsea are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Chelsea and Newcastle United?

Possibly — Newcastle United regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Chelsea are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Chelsea or Newcastle United?

Newcastle United have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Chelsea's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Chelsea and Newcastle United?

Yes — both Chelsea (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Newcastle United (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Premier League. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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