Chelsea vs Newcastle United — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Saturday 14th March, 17:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Both teams are evenly matched — Chelsea have won 40% of home games, Newcastle United 40% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Newcastle United have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Chelsea are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Newcastle United regularly see both teams score in away matches (80%), while Chelsea are lower at home (30%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Chelsea regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Newcastle United are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Chelsea see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Newcastle United in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Chelsea (5th) and Newcastle United (13th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 34 22 7 5 64:26 +38 73
2 Manchester City 33 21 7 5 66:29 +37 70
3 Manchester United 34 17 10 7 60:46 +14 61
4 Liverpool 34 17 7 10 57:44 +13 58
5 Aston Villa 34 17 7 10 47:42 +5 58
6 Brighton & Hove Albion 34 13 11 10 48:39 +9 50
7 AFC Bournemouth 34 11 16 7 52:52 0 49
8 Brentford 34 13 9 12 49:46 +3 48
9 Fulham 34 14 6 14 44:46 -2 48
10 Chelsea H 34 13 9 12 53:45 +8 48
11 Everton 34 13 8 13 41:41 0 47
12 Sunderland 34 12 10 12 36:45 -9 46
13 Crystal Palace 33 11 10 12 36:39 -3 43
14 Newcastle United A 34 12 6 16 46:50 -4 42
15 Leeds United 34 9 13 12 44:51 -7 40
16 Nottingham Forest 34 10 9 15 41:45 -4 39
17 West Ham United 34 9 9 16 42:58 -16 36
18 Tottenham Hotspur 34 8 10 16 43:53 -10 34
19 Burnley 34 4 8 22 34:68 -34 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 34 3 8 23 24:62 -38 17

Team Form

Chelsea (40% home wins) and Newcastle United (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Lost 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Newcastle United regularly see both teams score in away matches (80%), while Chelsea are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 8 (80%)

Match Goals

Newcastle United regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Chelsea are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Chelsea have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Newcastle United in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 22 (2.2 avg)

Match Corners

Both Chelsea (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Newcastle United (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Chelsea win 6+ corners in 70% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Newcastle United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Chelsea (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Chelsea and Newcastle United. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20 Dec 2025
Newcastle United
2 – 2 HT: 2-0
Chelsea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 May 2025
Newcastle United
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Chelsea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Oct 2024
Newcastle United
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Chelsea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Oct 2024
Chelsea
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Newcastle United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Mar 2024
Chelsea
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
Newcastle United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Dec 2023
Chelsea
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Newcastle United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Nov 2023
Newcastle United
4 – 1 HT: 1-1
Chelsea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Jul 2023
Newcastle United
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Chelsea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 May 2023
Chelsea
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Newcastle United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Nov 2022
Newcastle United
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Chelsea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Chelsea vs Newcastle United across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Chelsea 1.66
Draw 4.4
Newcastle United 4.33

Half Time Result

Chelsea 2.35
Draw 2.39
Newcastle United 4.1

Double Chance

Chelsea or Draw 1.29
Chelsea or Newcastle United 1.28
Draw or Newcastle United 2.01

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.57
No 2.68

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.53
Over 3.5 2.35
Under 1.5 6.4
Under 2.5 2.81
Under 3.5 1.72

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.24
Over 1.5 2.3

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.14
Over 9.5 1.26
Over 10.5 1.68
Over 11.5 1.92

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.68

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.62

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Dacia Unirea Brăila vs Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat 16:00 BST | 3. Liga: Series 2, Romania Dacia Unirea Brăila have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    92% combined
  • Mounties Wanderers vs Stanmore Hawks 11:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 3, Australia Mounties Wanderers have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Stanmore Hawks have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    83% combined
  • Prestice vs Petřín Plzeň II 15:00 BST | 4. Liga Division A, Czech Republic Prestice have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Petřín Plzeň II have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    82% combined
  • Louny vs Olympie Brezova 09:15 BST | 4. Liga Division B, Czech Republic Louny have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Olympie Brezova have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    82% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.47
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Chelsea vs Newcastle United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Newcastle United?

Over 8.5 Corners — Chelsea see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Newcastle United in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Chelsea or Newcastle United?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Chelsea have won 40% of home games, Newcastle United 40% away in Premier League. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Chelsea and Newcastle United?

Possibly — Newcastle United regularly see both teams score away (80%), while Chelsea are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Chelsea and Newcastle United?

Possibly — Newcastle United regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Chelsea are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Chelsea or Newcastle United?

Newcastle United have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Chelsea's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Chelsea and Newcastle United?

Yes — both Chelsea (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Newcastle United (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Premier League. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

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