Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atlético — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Peru
🕒 Monday 11th May, 19:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Deportivo Garcilaso (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Alianza Atlético on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Deportivo Garcilaso at 30% at home and Alianza Atlético at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Alianza Atlético regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Deportivo Garcilaso are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Deportivo Garcilaso have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Alianza Atlético in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Deportivo Garcilaso (th) and Alianza Atlético (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 12 9 2 1 22:5 +17 29
2 Los Chankas 12 9 2 1 21:14 +7 29
3 Cienciano 12 7 2 3 26:16 +10 23
4 Universitario 12 6 3 3 18:12 +6 21
5 Cusco FC 12 6 1 5 15:19 -4 19
6 Comerciantes Unidos 12 5 4 3 17:15 +2 19
7 Melgar 12 5 2 5 18:16 +2 17
8 UTC Cajamarca 12 4 4 4 18:18 0 16
9 UCV Moquegua 12 5 1 6 14:18 -4 16
10 ADC Juan Pablo II 12 4 3 5 18:27 -9 15
11 Sporting Cristal 12 4 2 6 20:20 0 14
12 Alianza Atlético A 12 3 5 4 11:11 0 14
13 ADT 12 3 4 5 15:15 0 13
14 Deportivo Garcilaso H 12 3 4 5 12:16 -4 13
15 Sport Boys 12 3 3 6 11:16 -5 12
16 Sport Huancayo 12 3 3 6 14:18 -4 12
17 Atlético Grau 12 2 4 6 9:14 -5 10
18 FC Cajamarca 12 1 3 8 13:22 -9 6

Team Form

Alianza Atlético have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Deportivo Garcilaso have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Deportivo Garcilaso (Home Form) Alianza Atlético (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Alianza Atlético regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Deportivo Garcilaso are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Deportivo Garcilaso (Home Form) Alianza Atlético (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Deportivo Garcilaso (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Alianza Atlético (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Deportivo Garcilaso (Home Form) Alianza Atlético (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Deportivo Garcilaso (Home Form) Alianza Atlético (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Deportivo Garcilaso have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Alianza Atlético in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Deportivo Garcilaso (Home Form) Alianza Atlético (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Deportivo Garcilaso (Home Form) Alianza Atlético (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Deportivo Garcilaso (Home Form) Alianza Atlético (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Deportivo Garcilaso have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Alianza Atlético in 10% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Deportivo Garcilaso (Home Form) Alianza Atlético (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Deportivo Garcilaso have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Alianza Atlético have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Deportivo Garcilaso (Home Form) Alianza Atlético (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Deportivo Garcilaso (Home Form) Alianza Atlético (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Dacia Unirea Brăila vs Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat 16:00 BST | 3. Liga: Series 2, Romania Dacia Unirea Brăila have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    92% combined
  • Mounties Wanderers vs Stanmore Hawks 11:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 3, Australia Mounties Wanderers have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Stanmore Hawks have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    83% combined
  • Prestice vs Petřín Plzeň II 15:00 BST | 4. Liga Division A, Czech Republic Prestice have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Petřín Plzeň II have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    82% combined
  • Louny vs Olympie Brezova 09:15 BST | 4. Liga Division B, Czech Republic Louny have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Olympie Brezova have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    82% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.47
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Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atlético Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atlético?

Under 2.5 Goals — Deportivo Garcilaso have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Alianza Atlético in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Deportivo Garcilaso or Alianza Atlético?

Deportivo Garcilaso have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Alianza Atlético on the road (20% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Deportivo Garcilaso and Alianza Atlético?

Mixed — Deportivo Garcilaso have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Alianza Atlético in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Deportivo Garcilaso and Alianza Atlético?

Unlikely — Deportivo Garcilaso (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Alianza Atlético (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Primera Division. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Deportivo Garcilaso or Alianza Atlético?

Deportivo Garcilaso have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Alianza Atlético's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Deportivo Garcilaso and Alianza Atlético?

Deportivo Garcilaso have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Alianza Atlético in 10% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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