Fiorentina vs Roma — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Italy
🕒 Sunday 5th October, 14:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

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Fiorentina (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Roma on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Roma tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (90%), while Fiorentina are lower (60%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Both Fiorentina and Roma frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025/2026 season, with Fiorentina (17th) and Roma (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Inter 34 25 4 5 80:31 +49 79
2 Napoli 34 21 6 7 52:33 +19 69
3 AC Milan 34 19 10 5 48:27 +21 67
4 Juventus 34 18 10 6 57:29 +28 64
5 Roma A 34 19 4 11 48:29 +19 61
6 Como 34 17 10 7 59:28 +31 61
7 Atalanta 34 14 12 8 47:32 +15 54
8 Lazio 34 12 12 10 37:33 +4 48
9 Bologna 34 14 6 14 42:41 +1 48
10 Sassuolo 34 13 7 14 41:44 -3 46
11 Udinese 34 12 8 14 41:46 -5 44
12 Parma 34 10 12 12 25:40 -15 42
13 Torino 34 11 8 15 39:56 -17 41
14 Genoa 34 10 9 15 40:48 -8 39
15 Fiorentina H 34 8 13 13 38:45 -7 37
16 Cagliari 34 9 9 16 36:49 -13 36
17 Lecce 34 7 8 19 22:46 -24 29
18 Cremonese 34 6 10 18 26:51 -25 28
19 Hellas Verona 34 3 10 21 23:56 -33 19
20 Pisa 34 2 12 20 24:61 -37 18

Team Form

Roma have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Fiorentina have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Fiorentina have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Roma in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Fiorentina have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Roma in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Fiorentina have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Roma in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Both Fiorentina (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Roma (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Fiorentina have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Roma have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Fiorentina and Roma. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

4th May, 2025
Roma
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Fiorentina
Corners 7–4 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Oct, 2024
Fiorentina
5 – 1 HT: 3-1
Roma
Corners 6–2 Cards 2–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th Mar, 2024
Fiorentina
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Roma
Corners 8–2 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th Dec, 2023
Roma
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Fiorentina
Corners 1–6 Cards 7–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th May, 2023
Fiorentina
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Roma
Corners 7–4 Cards 5–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Jan, 2023
Roma
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Fiorentina
Corners 5–9 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th May, 2022
Fiorentina
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Roma
Corners 5–3 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Aug, 2021
Roma
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Fiorentina
Corners 4–4 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Mar, 2021
Fiorentina
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Roma
Corners 2–3 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Nov, 2020
Roma
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Fiorentina
Corners 7–4 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Fiorentina vs Roma across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Fiorentina 3.11
Draw 3.15
Roma 2.57

Half Time Result

Fiorentina 3.81
Draw 2.16
Roma 3.23

Double Chance

Fiorentina or Draw 1.56
Fiorentina or Roma 1.38
Draw or Roma 1.41

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.9
No 1.9

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.3
Over 3.5 3.86
Under 1.5 3.2
Under 2.5 1.66
Under 3.5 1.21

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.25

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.49
Over 9.5 1.69
Over 10.5 2.38
Over 11.5 3.06

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 2.85
Over 2.5 9

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 1.34
Over 1.5 2.7
Over 2.5 5.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Tampines Rovers 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tampines Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Escola Varsovia U19 vs Lech Poznan U19 11:30 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Escola Varsovia U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Lech Poznan U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
  • Al Mesaimeer vs Al Mu'aidar 17:00 BST | Q League, Qatar Al Mesaimeer have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Al Mu'aidar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    83% combined
  • Wisla U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19 10:00 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Wisla U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Legia Warszawa U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    78% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Fiorentina vs Roma Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Roma?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Fiorentina or Roma?

Fiorentina have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Roma on the road (30% wins) in Serie A. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Fiorentina and Roma?

Mixed — Fiorentina have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Roma in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Fiorentina and Roma?

Uncertain — Fiorentina have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Roma in 40% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Fiorentina or Roma?

Roma have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Fiorentina's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Fiorentina and Roma?

Fiorentina have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Roma in 60% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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