Fiorentina vs Roma — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Italy
🕒 Sunday 5th October, 14:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Fiorentina (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Roma on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Roma tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (80%), while Fiorentina are lower (70%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Both Fiorentina and Roma frequently see both teams scoring (70% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Fiorentina see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Roma in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025/2026 season, with Fiorentina (17th) and Roma (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Inter 33 25 3 5 78:29 +49 78
2 AC Milan 33 19 9 5 48:27 +21 66
3 Napoli 33 20 6 7 48:33 +15 66
4 Juventus 33 18 9 6 57:29 +28 63
5 Roma A 33 18 4 11 46:29 +17 58
6 Como 33 16 10 7 57:28 +29 58
7 Atalanta 33 14 12 7 45:29 +16 54
8 Bologna 33 14 6 13 42:39 +3 48
9 Lazio 33 12 11 10 34:30 +4 47
10 Sassuolo 33 13 6 14 41:44 -3 45
11 Udinese 33 12 7 14 38:43 -5 43
12 Torino 33 11 7 15 37:54 -17 40
13 Parma 33 9 12 12 24:40 -16 39
14 Genoa 33 10 9 14 40:46 -6 39
15 Fiorentina H 32 8 11 13 37:44 -7 35
16 Cagliari 33 8 9 16 33:47 -14 33
17 Cremonese 33 6 10 17 26:47 -21 28
18 Lecce 32 7 6 19 21:45 -24 27
19 Hellas Verona 33 3 9 21 23:56 -33 18
20 Pisa 33 2 12 19 24:60 -36 18

Team Form

Roma have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Fiorentina have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Fiorentina have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Roma in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Fiorentina have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Roma in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Fiorentina have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Roma in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 13 (1.3 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Both Fiorentina (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Roma (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Fiorentina have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Roma have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Fiorentina (Home Form) Roma (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Fiorentina and Roma. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

4th May, 2025
Roma
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Fiorentina
27th Oct, 2024
Fiorentina
5 – 1 HT: 3-1
Roma
10th Mar, 2024
Fiorentina
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Roma
10th Dec, 2023
Roma
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Fiorentina
27th May, 2023
Fiorentina
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Roma
15th Jan, 2023
Roma
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Fiorentina
9th May, 2022
Fiorentina
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Roma
22nd Aug, 2021
Roma
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Fiorentina
3rd Mar, 2021
Fiorentina
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Roma
1st Nov, 2020
Roma
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Fiorentina

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Fiorentina vs Roma across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Fiorentina 3.11
Draw 3.15
Roma 2.57

Half Time Result

Fiorentina 3.81
Draw 2.16
Roma 3.23

Double Chance

Fiorentina or Draw 1.56
Fiorentina or Roma 1.38
Draw or Roma 1.41

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.9
No 1.9

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.3
Over 3.5 3.86
Under 1.5 3.2
Under 2.5 1.66
Under 3.5 1.21

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.25

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.49
Over 9.5 1.69
Over 10.5 2.38
Over 11.5 3.06

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 2.85
Over 2.5 9

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 1.34
Over 1.5 2.7
Over 2.5 5.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23 15:00 BST | Liga Revelacao U23, Portugal Rio Ave U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/14 home matches this season · Portimonense U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    79% combined
  • Schwechat vs Red Star Penzing 18:00 BST | Landesliga: Wien, Austria Schwechat have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Red Star Penzing have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    74% combined
  • Dergview vs Strabane Athletic 19:45 BST | Premier Intermediate League, Northern Ireland Dergview have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Strabane Athletic have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    74% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Swansea City U21 14:30 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 home matches this season · Swansea City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    69% combined

Fiorentina vs Roma Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Roma?

Over 1.5 Goals — Fiorentina see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Roma in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Fiorentina or Roma?

Fiorentina have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Roma on the road (20% wins) in Serie A. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Fiorentina and Roma?

Possibly — Fiorentina frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Roma are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Fiorentina and Roma?

Uncertain — Fiorentina have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Roma in 40% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Fiorentina or Roma?

Roma have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Fiorentina's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Fiorentina and Roma?

Fiorentina have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Roma in 60% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Napoli vs Cremonese

📍 Serie A, Italy

🕒 Friday 24th April, 19:45 BST

Parma vs Pisa

📍 Serie A, Italy

🕒 Saturday 25th April, 14:00 BST

Bologna vs Roma

📍 Serie A, Italy

🕒 Saturday 25th April, 17:00 BST

Hellas Verona vs Lecce

📍 Serie A, Italy

🕒 Saturday 25th April, 19:45 BST

Fiorentina vs Sassuolo

📍 Serie A, Italy

🕒 Sunday 26th April, 11:30 BST

Genoa vs Como

📍 Serie A, Italy

🕒 Sunday 26th April, 14:00 BST

Torino vs Inter

📍 Serie A, Italy

🕒 Sunday 26th April, 17:00 BST

AC Milan vs Juventus

📍 Serie A, Italy

🕒 Sunday 26th April, 19:45 BST

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