Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 13:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Both teams are evenly matched — Homeboyz have won 50% of home games, Gor Mahia 50% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Homeboyz frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (90%), while Gor Mahia are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Gor Mahia regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Homeboyz are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 80%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Homeboyz see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Gor Mahia in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Homeboyz (4th) and Gor Mahia (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia A 29 18 7 4 45:19 +26 61
2 Leopards 29 16 7 6 36:22 +14 55
3 Police 29 12 12 5 26:17 +9 48
4 Homeboyz H 29 12 11 6 43:30 +13 47
5 Shabana 29 13 8 8 32:30 +2 47
6 Nairobi United 27 12 8 7 39:28 +11 44
7 Tusker 29 12 5 12 24:27 -3 41
8 KCB 29 11 8 10 30:31 -1 41
9 Mara Sugar 29 9 13 7 27:25 +2 40
10 Bandari 29 8 15 6 22:20 +2 39
11 Murang'a SEAL 29 10 8 11 35:36 -1 38
12 Mathare United 29 9 7 13 26:29 -3 34
13 Posta Rangers 29 7 11 11 24:36 -12 32
14 Ulinzi Stars 29 8 7 14 30:34 -4 31
15 Kariobangi Sharks 29 6 11 12 19:30 -11 29
16 APS Bomet 27 6 9 12 27:32 -5 27
17 Bidco United 29 4 11 14 17:34 -17 23
18 Sofapaka 29 3 8 18 15:37 -22 17

Team Form

Homeboyz (50% home wins) and Gor Mahia (50% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Homeboyz (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Lost 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Gor Mahia regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Homeboyz are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Homeboyz (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Homeboyz have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Gor Mahia in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Homeboyz (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Homeboyz (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Homeboyz have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Gor Mahia in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Homeboyz (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Homeboyz (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Homeboyz (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 20 (2 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Homeboyz regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Gor Mahia are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Homeboyz (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Homeboyz have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Gor Mahia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Homeboyz (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Homeboyz (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Tampines Rovers 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tampines Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Escola Varsovia U19 vs Lech Poznan U19 11:30 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Escola Varsovia U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Lech Poznan U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
  • Al Mesaimeer vs Al Mu'aidar 17:00 BST | Q League, Qatar Al Mesaimeer have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Al Mu'aidar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    83% combined
  • Wisla U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19 10:00 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Wisla U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Legia Warszawa U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    78% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia?

Over 8.5 Corners — Homeboyz see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Gor Mahia in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Homeboyz or Gor Mahia?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Homeboyz have won 50% of home games, Gor Mahia 50% away in Premier League. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Homeboyz and Gor Mahia?

Possibly — Gor Mahia regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Homeboyz are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Homeboyz and Gor Mahia?

Uncertain — Homeboyz have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Gor Mahia in 40% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Homeboyz or Gor Mahia?

Homeboyz have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Gor Mahia's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Homeboyz and Gor Mahia?

Possibly — Homeboyz regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Gor Mahia are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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