Lazio vs AC Milan — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Italy
🕒 Sunday 15th March, 19:45 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Lazio (30% home wins) hold a slight edge over AC Milan on the road (50% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Lazio frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while AC Milan are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Lazio 50% at home, AC Milan 40% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Lazio see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, AC Milan in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025/2026 season, with Lazio (10th) and AC Milan (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Inter 32 24 3 5 75:29 +46 75
2 Napoli 32 20 6 6 48:31 +17 66
3 AC Milan A 32 18 9 5 47:27 +20 63
4 Juventus 32 17 9 6 55:29 +26 60
5 Como 33 16 10 7 57:28 +29 58
6 Roma 32 18 3 11 45:28 +17 57
7 Atalanta 32 14 11 7 44:28 +16 53
8 Bologna 32 14 6 12 42:37 +5 48
9 Sassuolo 33 13 6 14 41:44 -3 45
10 Lazio H 32 11 11 10 32:30 +2 44
11 Udinese 32 12 7 13 38:42 -4 43
12 Torino 32 11 6 15 37:54 -17 39
13 Parma 32 8 12 12 23:40 -17 36
14 Genoa 32 9 9 14 38:45 -7 36
15 Fiorentina 32 8 11 13 37:44 -7 35
16 Cagliari 32 8 9 15 33:44 -11 33
17 Cremonese 32 6 9 17 26:47 -21 27
18 Lecce 32 7 6 19 21:45 -24 27
19 Hellas Verona 32 3 9 20 23:55 -32 18
20 Pisa 32 2 12 18 23:58 -35 18

Team Form

Lazio have won 30% of home games this season, AC Milan 50% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Lazio (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lazio have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, AC Milan in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Lazio (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Lazio have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, AC Milan in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Lazio (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Lazio (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Lazio have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, AC Milan in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Lazio (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Lazio (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Lazio (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Lazio (60% Over 7.5 at home) and AC Milan (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Lazio (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Lazio have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

AC Milan have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Lazio (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Lazio (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Lazio and AC Milan. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

04 Dec 2025
Lazio
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
AC Milan
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Nov 2025
AC Milan
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Lazio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Mar 2025
Milan
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Lazio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Aug 2024
Lazio
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
Milan
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Mar 2024
Lazio
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Milan
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Sep 2023
Milan
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Lazio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 May 2023
Milan
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Lazio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Jan 2023
Lazio
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Milan
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Apr 2022
Lazio
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Milan
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Feb 2022
Milan
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
Lazio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Lazio vs AC Milan across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Lazio 4.9
Draw 3.6
AC Milan 1.91

Half Time Result

Lazio 5.13
Draw 2.23
AC Milan 2.48

Double Chance

Lazio or Draw 2.01
Lazio or AC Milan 1.34
Draw or AC Milan 1.23

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.97
No 2

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.38
Over 2.5 2.16
Over 3.5 4
Under 1.5 3.6
Under 2.5 1.84
Under 3.5 1.32

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.4
Over 9.5 1.68
Over 10.5 2.29
Over 11.5 2.75

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 1.6
Over 1.5 3.75

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 2.04

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Alphense Boys U21 vs Roda JC U21 10:30 BST | U21 Divisie 4, Netherlands Alphense Boys U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Roda JC U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    91% combined
  • Zagłębie Lubin II vs Górnik Zabrze II 11:00 BST | 3. Liga - Group 3, Poland Zagłębie Lubin II have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Górnik Zabrze II have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Lausanne-Sport U19 vs Servette U19 13:00 BST | U19 Elite, Switzerland Lausanne-Sport U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Servette U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    86% combined
  • Mendrisio vs Widnau 15:00 BST | 1.Liga Classic, Switzerland Mendrisio have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Widnau have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.85
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lazio vs AC Milan?

Over 1.5 Goals — Lazio see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, AC Milan in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Lazio or AC Milan?

AC Milan hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Lazio at home (30% wins) in Serie A. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Lazio and AC Milan?

Mixed — Lazio have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, AC Milan in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lazio and AC Milan?

Uncertain — Lazio have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, AC Milan in 30% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lazio or AC Milan?

AC Milan have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Lazio's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lazio and AC Milan?

Lazio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, AC Milan in 60% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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