Lens vs Nantes — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Ligue 1, France
🕒 Friday 8th May, 19:45 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Lens to Win

Lens have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 9/10 home matches (90%). Nantes have struggled on the road, winning only 2/10 away games (20%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Lens consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Nantes are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Lens often see both teams score at home (60%), while Nantes are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Lens to Win — Lens have won 9/10 home games this season (90%), while Nantes have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Ligue 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Lens (2nd) and Nantes (17th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Ligue 1 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 31 22 4 5 70:27 +43 70
2 Lens H 31 20 4 7 61:33 +28 64
3 LOSC Lille 32 17 7 8 51:35 +16 58
4 Olympique Lyonnais 31 17 6 8 48:32 +16 57
5 Rennes 31 16 8 7 54:42 +12 56
6 Monaco 32 16 6 10 56:48 +8 54
7 Olympique Marseille 32 16 5 11 59:44 +15 53
8 Strasbourg 30 13 7 10 49:39 +10 46
9 Lorient 32 10 12 10 44:49 -5 42
10 Toulouse 31 10 8 13 43:44 -1 38
11 Paris 31 9 11 11 40:47 -7 38
12 Brest 30 10 8 12 41:47 -6 38
13 Angers SCO 31 9 7 15 26:43 -17 34
14 Le Havre 32 6 14 12 30:43 -13 32
15 Nice 32 7 10 15 36:58 -22 31
16 Auxerre 31 5 10 16 27:42 -15 25
17 Nantes A 32 5 8 19 29:51 -22 23
18 Metz 32 3 7 22 32:72 -40 16

Team Form

Lens have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 90% of their home matches compared to Nantes's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Lens (Home Form) Nantes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 9 (90%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lens frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Nantes are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Lens (Home Form) Nantes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Lens frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Nantes are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Lens (Home Form) Nantes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Lens (Home Form) Nantes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Lens have scored 2+ goals in 60% of home games this season, Nantes in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Lens (Home Form) Nantes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Lens (Home Form) Nantes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Lens (Home Form) Nantes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 27 (2.7 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Lens (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Nantes (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Lens (Home Form) Nantes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Lens have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Nantes have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Lens (Home Form) Nantes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Lens (Home Form) Nantes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Lens vs Nantes across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Lens 1.33
Draw 4.5
Nantes 8.5

Half Time Result

Lens 1.83
Draw 2.56
Nantes 7.1

Double Chance

Lens or Draw 1.05
Lens or Nantes 1.13
Draw or Nantes 3.1

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 1.95

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 3.5 2.16
Under 1.5 4.62
Under 2.5 2.44
Under 3.5 1.48

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.36

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.27
Over 9.5 1.47
Over 10.5 1.77
Over 11.5 2.2

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.35

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 1.69
Over 1.5 4.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Almería vs Mirandés 19:30 BST | La Liga 2, Spain Almería have seen over 2.5 goals in 16/18 home matches this season · Mirandés have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    75% combined
  • Spalding United vs Real Bedford 15:00 BST | Non League Premier: Southern Central, England Spalding United have seen over 2.5 goals in 18/22 home matches this season · Real Bedford have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/21 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    74% combined
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Young Lions 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Young Lions have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    72% combined
  • Brighton U21 vs West Ham United U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Brighton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/10 home matches this season · West Ham United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    70% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.02
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Lens vs Nantes Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lens vs Nantes?

Lens to Win — they've won 9/10 (90%) of their last 10 home games, while Nantes have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Lens or Nantes?

Lens hold a clear form advantage — they've won 90% of home games in Ligue 1 this season, while Nantes have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Lens and Nantes?

Mixed — Lens have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Nantes in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lens and Nantes?

Possibly — Lens frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Nantes are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lens or Nantes?

Lens have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 60% of home games compared to Nantes's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lens and Nantes?

Lens have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Nantes in 60% of away games in Ligue 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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