Metz vs Lorient — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Ligue 1, France
🕒 Sunday 10th May, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Lorient Over 1.5 Team Goals

Metz (0% home wins) hold a slight edge over Lorient on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Metz consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Lorient are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Metz often see both teams score at home (60%), while Lorient are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Lorient Over 1.5 Team Goals — the visitors have scored 2+ in 60% of away games, while Metz have conceded 2+ in 70% of home games. The stats back a productive away attacking display.

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League Table

The full Ligue 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Metz (th) and Lorient (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Ligue 1 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 31 22 4 5 70:27 +43 70
2 Lens 31 20 4 7 61:33 +28 64
3 LOSC Lille 32 17 7 8 51:35 +16 58
4 Olympique Lyonnais 31 17 6 8 48:32 +16 57
5 Rennes 31 16 8 7 54:42 +12 56
6 Monaco 32 16 6 10 56:48 +8 54
7 Olympique Marseille 32 16 5 11 59:44 +15 53
8 Strasbourg 30 13 7 10 49:39 +10 46
9 Lorient A 32 10 12 10 44:49 -5 42
10 Toulouse 31 10 8 13 43:44 -1 38
11 Paris 31 9 11 11 40:47 -7 38
12 Brest 30 10 8 12 41:47 -6 38
13 Angers SCO 31 9 7 15 26:43 -17 34
14 Le Havre 32 6 14 12 30:43 -13 32
15 Nice 32 7 10 15 36:58 -22 31
16 Auxerre 31 5 10 16 27:42 -15 25
17 Nantes 32 5 8 19 29:51 -22 23
18 Metz H 32 3 7 22 32:72 -40 16

Team Form

Metz have lost 80% of their home matches this season, while Lorient have been more resilient on the road (30% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Metz (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 8 (80%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Metz frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Lorient are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Metz (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Metz frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Lorient are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Metz (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Metz (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Metz have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Lorient in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Metz (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Metz (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Metz (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 21 (2.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 25 (2.5 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Both Metz (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Lorient (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Metz (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Metz have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Lorient have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Metz (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Metz (Home Form) Lorient (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Metz vs Lorient across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Metz 3
Draw 3.6
Lorient 2.15

Half Time Result

Metz 3.71
Draw 2.39
Lorient 2.72

Double Chance

Metz or Draw 1.62
Metz or Lorient 1.27
Draw or Lorient 1.36

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.62
No 2.2

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.19
Over 2.5 1.72
Over 3.5 2.42
Under 1.5 3.91
Under 2.5 2.19
Under 3.5 1.39

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.55

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.3
Over 9.5 1.52
Over 10.5 1.87
Over 11.5 2.38

Metz Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.55

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 1.18
Over 1.5 1.93

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Almería vs Mirandés 19:30 BST | La Liga 2, Spain Almería have seen over 2.5 goals in 16/18 home matches this season · Mirandés have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    75% combined
  • Spalding United vs Real Bedford 15:00 BST | Non League Premier: Southern Central, England Spalding United have seen over 2.5 goals in 18/22 home matches this season · Real Bedford have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/21 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    74% combined
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Young Lions 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Young Lions have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    72% combined
  • Brighton U21 vs West Ham United U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Brighton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/10 home matches this season · West Ham United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    70% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.02
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Metz vs Lorient Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Metz vs Lorient?

Lorient Over 1.5 Goals — the visitors have scored 2+ in 60% of away games, while Metz have conceded 2+ in 70% of home games. The stats back a productive away display.

Which team is likely to win, Metz or Lorient?

Lorient hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Metz at home (0% wins) in Ligue 1. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Metz and Lorient?

Mixed — Metz have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Lorient in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Metz and Lorient?

Possibly — Metz frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Lorient are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Metz or Lorient?

Lorient have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to Metz's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Metz and Lorient?

Metz have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Lorient in 60% of away games in Ligue 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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