Ligue 1 · France 🕒 Sunday 10th May, 20:00 BST

Paris Saint Germain vs Brest Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Paris Saint Germain Home · 1st 6W 2D 2L last 10 home
VS
Brest Away · 12th 1W 4D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Paris Saint Germain 75% Draw 16% Brest 9%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Paris Saint Germain vs Brest Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Paris Saint Germain see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Brest in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
75% Paris Saint Germain win 16% Draw 9% Brest win 48% BTTS 64% Over 2.5 Goals 2-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
82% Over 1.5 Goals

Paris Saint Germain sit 1st in the table after 27 games, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match this season. Brest are 12th after 28 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. Paris Saint Germain have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Brest side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

Paris Saint Germain have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Brest are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home.

Paris Saint Germain frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Brest are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Brest are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 80% of away fixtures, 8/10). Paris Saint Germain are lower at home (60%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Paris Saint Germain (1st) and Brest (12th) sit in the Ligue 1 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain H 34 24 4 6 74:29 +45 76
12 Brest A 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
View the full Ligue 1 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain H 34 24 4 6 74:29 +45 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 +31 70
3 LOSC Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 +15 61
4 Olympique Lyonnais 34 18 6 10 53:40 +13 60
5 Olympique Marseille 34 18 5 11 63:45 +18 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 +9 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 +6 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 +11 53
9 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 47:46 +1 44
11 Paris 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
12 Brest A 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
13 Angers SCO 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17

Team Form

Paris Saint Germain hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Brest have been less consistent on the road (10%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Paris Saint Germain: last 10 home A Brest: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Paris Saint Germain frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Brest are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Paris Saint Germain: last 10 home A Brest: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 48% · BTTS No 52%

Match Goals

Paris Saint Germain frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Brest are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Paris Saint Germain: last 10 home A Brest: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Paris Saint Germain have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Brest in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Paris Saint Germain 2.4 scored · 1.5 conceded per home game Brest 0.7 scored · 1.7 conceded per away game
H Paris Saint Germain: last 10 home A Brest: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Paris Saint Germain 24 scored / 15 conceded at home · Brest 7 scored / 17 conceded away

Match Corners

Brest frequently reach high corner counts away from home (90%), while Paris Saint Germain are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Paris Saint Germain: last 10 home A Brest: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

Paris Saint Germain win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Brest have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches. The home side can expect some set-piece chances.

H Paris Saint Germain: last 10 home A Brest: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Paris Saint Germain and Brest. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

25 Oct 2025
Brest
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
Paris Saint Germain
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Feb 2025
Paris Saint Germain
7 – 0 HT: 2-0
Brest
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Feb 2025
Brest
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
Paris Saint Germain
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Feb 2025
Brest
2 – 5 HT: 0-1
Paris Saint Germain
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
14 Sep 2024
Paris Saint Germain
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Brest
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Feb 2024
Paris Saint Germain
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Brest
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Jan 2024
Paris Saint Germain
2 – 2 HT: 2-0
Brest
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Oct 2023
Brest
2 – 3 HT: 1-2
Paris Saint Germain
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Mar 2023
Brest
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Paris Saint Germain
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Sep 2022
Paris Saint Germain
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Brest
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Paris Saint Germain vs Brest across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Paris Saint Germain 1.16 Model: 75%
Draw 7 Model: 16%
Value Brest 14 Model: 9%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.84 Model: 48%
No 1.88 Model: 52%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.09 Model: 82%
Over 2.5 1.3 Model: 64%
Over 3.5 1.8 Model: 42%
Value Under 1.5 11.5 Model: 18%
Value Under 2.5 4.22 Model: 36%
Value Under 3.5 2 Model: 58%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.16 Model: 84%
Over 1.5 1.93

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22 Model: 67%
Over 9.5 1.5 Model: 55%
Over 10.5 1.93 Model: 44%
Over 11.5 2.15 Model: 33%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Paris Saint Germain 1.54 Model: 60%
Draw 3.48 Model: 30%
Brest 9.43 Model: 10%

Double Chance

Paris Saint Germain or Draw 1.05 Model: 91%
Paris Saint Germain or Brest 1.06 Model: 84%
Value Draw or Brest 4.56 Model: 25%

Paris Saint Germain Goals

Over 0.5 1.03 Model: 90%
Over 1.5 1.17 Model: 70%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 1.74 Model: 39%
Over 1.5 4.15 Model: 14%

Paris Saint Germain vs Brest Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Brest?

Over 8.5 Corners: Paris Saint Germain see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Brest in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Paris Saint Germain or Brest?

Paris Saint Germain hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in Ligue 1 this season, while Brest have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Paris Saint Germain and Brest?

Possibly. Paris Saint Germain frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Brest are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Paris Saint Germain and Brest?

Possibly. Paris Saint Germain frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Brest are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Paris Saint Germain or Brest?

Paris Saint Germain have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Brest's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Paris Saint Germain and Brest?

Possibly. Brest frequently reach high corner counts away (90%), while Paris Saint Germain are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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