Manchester United vs Aston Villa — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Sunday 15th March, 14:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Manchester United hold a clear edge at home this season (7/10, 70%), while Aston Villa are less consistent on the road (5/10, 50%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Manchester United frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (90%), while Aston Villa are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Manchester United often see both teams score at home (70%), while Aston Villa are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Manchester United see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Aston Villa in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Manchester United (3rd) and Aston Villa (4th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 34 22 7 5 64:26 +38 73
2 Manchester City 33 21 7 5 66:29 +37 70
3 Manchester United H 34 17 10 7 60:46 +14 61
4 Liverpool 34 17 7 10 57:44 +13 58
5 Aston Villa A 34 17 7 10 47:42 +5 58
6 Brighton & Hove Albion 34 13 11 10 48:39 +9 50
7 AFC Bournemouth 34 11 16 7 52:52 0 49
8 Brentford 34 13 9 12 49:46 +3 48
9 Fulham 34 14 6 14 44:46 -2 48
10 Chelsea 34 13 9 12 53:45 +8 48
11 Everton 34 13 8 13 41:41 0 47
12 Sunderland 34 12 10 12 36:45 -9 46
13 Crystal Palace 33 11 10 12 36:39 -3 43
14 Newcastle United 34 12 6 16 46:50 -4 42
15 Leeds United 34 9 13 12 44:51 -7 40
16 Nottingham Forest 34 10 9 15 41:45 -4 39
17 West Ham United 34 9 9 16 42:58 -16 36
18 Tottenham Hotspur 34 8 10 16 43:53 -10 34
19 Burnley 34 4 8 22 34:68 -34 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 34 3 8 23 24:62 -38 17

Team Form

Manchester United hold a clear edge in home form this season (70% wins), while Aston Villa have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Manchester United frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Aston Villa are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Manchester United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Aston Villa in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Manchester United have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Aston Villa in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Manchester United (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Aston Villa (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Manchester United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Aston Villa have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Manchester United and Aston Villa. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Dec 2025
Aston Villa
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Manchester United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 May 2025
Manchester United
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Aston Villa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Oct 2024
Aston Villa
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Manchester United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Feb 2024
Aston Villa
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Manchester United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Dec 2023
Manchester United
3 – 2 HT: 0-2
Aston Villa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Apr 2023
Manchester United
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Aston Villa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Nov 2022
Manchester United
4 – 2 HT: 0-0
Aston Villa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Nov 2022
Aston Villa
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Manchester United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Jul 2022
Manchester United
2 – 2 HT: 2-0
Aston Villa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Jan 2022
Aston Villa
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
Manchester United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Manchester United vs Aston Villa across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Manchester United 1.75
Draw 4.1
Aston Villa 5.1

Half Time Result

Manchester United 2.2
Draw 2.4
Aston Villa 4.96

Double Chance

Manchester United or Draw 1.2
Manchester United or Aston Villa 1.24
Draw or Aston Villa 2.17

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.69
No 2.42

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.69
Over 3.5 2.74
Under 1.5 5.4
Under 2.5 2.42
Under 3.5 1.57

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.31
Over 1.5 2.43

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22
Over 9.5 1.4
Over 10.5 1.65
Over 11.5 2.04

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.66

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Tampines Rovers 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tampines Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Escola Varsovia U19 vs Lech Poznan U19 11:30 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Escola Varsovia U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Lech Poznan U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
  • Al Mesaimeer vs Al Mu'aidar 17:00 BST | Q League, Qatar Al Mesaimeer have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Al Mu'aidar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    83% combined
  • Wisla U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19 10:00 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Wisla U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Legia Warszawa U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    78% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Manchester United vs Aston Villa?

Over 1.5 Goals — Manchester United see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Aston Villa in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Manchester United or Aston Villa?

Manchester United have a slight form edge at home (70% wins) over Aston Villa on the road (50% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Manchester United and Aston Villa?

Possibly — Manchester United frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Aston Villa are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Manchester United and Aston Villa?

Uncertain — Manchester United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Aston Villa in 30% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Manchester United or Aston Villa?

Manchester United have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Aston Villa's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Manchester United and Aston Villa?

Manchester United have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Aston Villa in 60% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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