Manchester United vs Aston Villa — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Sunday 15th March, 14:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Manchester United hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Aston Villa are less consistent on the road (5/10, 50%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Manchester United frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (90%), while Aston Villa are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Manchester United often see both teams score at home (70%), while Aston Villa are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Manchester United see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Aston Villa in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Manchester United (3rd) and Aston Villa (4th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 62:24 +38 70
2 Manchester City 31 19 7 5 63:28 +35 64
3 Manchester United H 32 15 10 7 57:45 +12 55
4 Aston Villa A 32 16 7 9 43:38 +5 55
5 Liverpool 32 15 7 10 52:42 +10 52
6 Chelsea 32 13 9 10 53:41 +12 48
7 Brentford 32 13 8 11 48:44 +4 47
8 Everton 32 13 8 11 39:37 +2 47
9 Sunderland 32 12 10 10 33:36 -3 46
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 32 12 10 10 43:37 +6 46
11 AFC Bournemouth 32 10 15 7 48:49 -1 45
12 Fulham 32 13 5 14 43:46 -3 44
13 Newcastle United 32 12 6 14 45:47 -2 42
14 Crystal Palace 31 11 9 11 35:36 -1 42
15 Leeds United 32 8 12 12 39:49 -10 36
16 Nottingham Forest 32 8 9 15 32:44 -12 33
17 West Ham United 32 8 8 16 40:57 -17 32
18 Tottenham Hotspur 32 7 9 16 40:51 -11 30
19 Burnley 32 4 8 20 33:63 -30 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 32 3 8 21 24:58 -34 17

Team Form

Manchester United hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Aston Villa have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Manchester United frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Aston Villa are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Manchester United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Aston Villa in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Manchester United have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Aston Villa in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 20 (2 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

Both Manchester United (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Aston Villa (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Manchester United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Aston Villa have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Manchester United (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Manchester United and Aston Villa. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Dec 2025
Aston Villa
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Manchester United
25 May 2025
Manchester United
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Aston Villa
06 Oct 2024
Aston Villa
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Manchester United
11 Feb 2024
Aston Villa
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Manchester United
26 Dec 2023
Manchester United
3 – 2 HT: 0-2
Aston Villa
30 Apr 2023
Manchester United
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Aston Villa
10 Nov 2022
Manchester United
4 – 2 HT: 0-0
Aston Villa
06 Nov 2022
Aston Villa
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Manchester United
23 Jul 2022
Manchester United
2 – 2 HT: 2-0
Aston Villa
15 Jan 2022
Aston Villa
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
Manchester United

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Manchester United vs Aston Villa across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Manchester United 1.75
Draw 4.1
Aston Villa 5.1

Half Time Result

Manchester United 2.2
Draw 2.4
Aston Villa 4.96

Double Chance

Manchester United or Draw 1.2
Manchester United or Aston Villa 1.24
Draw or Aston Villa 2.17

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.69
No 2.42

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.69
Over 3.5 2.74
Under 1.5 5.4
Under 2.5 2.42
Under 3.5 1.57

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.31
Over 1.5 2.43

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22
Over 9.5 1.4
Over 10.5 1.65
Over 11.5 2.04

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.66

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Alphense Boys U21 vs Roda JC U21 10:30 BST | U21 Divisie 4, Netherlands Alphense Boys U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Roda JC U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    91% combined
  • Zagłębie Lubin II vs Górnik Zabrze II 11:00 BST | 3. Liga - Group 3, Poland Zagłębie Lubin II have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Górnik Zabrze II have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Lausanne-Sport U19 vs Servette U19 13:00 BST | U19 Elite, Switzerland Lausanne-Sport U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Servette U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    86% combined
  • Mendrisio vs Widnau 15:00 BST | 1.Liga Classic, Switzerland Mendrisio have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Widnau have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.85
    85% combined

Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Manchester United vs Aston Villa?

Over 1.5 Goals — Manchester United see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Aston Villa in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Manchester United or Aston Villa?

Manchester United have a slight form edge at home (60% wins) over Aston Villa on the road (50% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Manchester United and Aston Villa?

Possibly — Manchester United frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Aston Villa are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Manchester United and Aston Villa?

Uncertain — Manchester United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Aston Villa in 30% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Manchester United or Aston Villa?

Manchester United have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Aston Villa's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Manchester United and Aston Villa?

Manchester United have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Aston Villa in 60% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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