Middlesbrough vs Southampton

📍 Championship, England
🕒 Sunday 4th January, 15:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Middlesbrough sit 3rd in the table after 21 games, averaging 1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Southampton are 15th after 21 games, averaging 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded on the road. Southampton carry the better away form into this fixture (7/10, 70%), while Middlesbrough have won 3/10 at home (30%).

Southampton have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Middlesbrough are lower at home (20%, 2/10), averaging 1 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Southampton regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (80%, 8/10). Middlesbrough are lower at home (40%, 4/10) — they've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

High corner counts are a feature of both teams' games this season — Middlesbrough have seen 10+ corners in 80% of home fixtures (8/10), Southampton in 80% away (8/10). Over 9.5 Corners looks well supported.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Middlesbrough see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Southampton in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Championship table for the 2025/2026 season, with Middlesbrough (3rd) and Southampton (15th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Championship 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Coventry City 46 28 11 7 97:45 +52 95
2 Ipswich Town 46 23 15 8 80:47 +33 84
3 Millwall 48 24 12 12 64:51 +13 84
4 Southampton A 48 23 15 10 84:57 +27 84
5 Middlesbrough H 48 22 15 11 73:49 +24 81
6 Hull City 48 22 11 15 72:66 +6 77
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 +4 71
8 Derby County 46 20 9 17 67:59 +8 69
9 Norwich City 46 19 8 19 63:56 +7 65
10 Birmingham City 46 17 13 16 57:56 +1 64
11 Swansea City 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
13 Sheffield United 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
14 Preston North End 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
15 Queens Park Rangers 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
17 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
18 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
19 Charlton Athletic 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
20 West Bromwich Albion 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 53
21 Leicester City 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 52
22 Blackburn Rovers 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
23 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 18

Team Form

Southampton have been outstanding on the road this season, winning 70% of away games compared to Middlesbrough's 30% at home. The visitors arrive as the stronger side on current form.

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Southampton regularly see both teams score in away matches (80%), while Middlesbrough are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 8 (80%)

Match Goals

Southampton regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Middlesbrough are lower at home (20%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Middlesbrough have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Southampton in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 22 (2.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Middlesbrough (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Southampton (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 11.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 12.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Team Corners

Middlesbrough win 7+ corners in 80% of home games, regularly creating set-piece pressure from wide areas, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Southampton have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Middlesbrough (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Middlesbrough vs Southampton across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Middlesbrough 2.36
Draw 3.75
Southampton 3.06

Half Time Result

Middlesbrough 2.75
Draw 2.4
Southampton 3.62

Double Chance

Middlesbrough or Draw 1.41
Middlesbrough or Southampton 1.25
Draw or Southampton 1.68

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.67
No 2.4

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 3
Under 1.5 4.39
Under 2.5 2.23
Under 3.5 1.44

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.26
Over 1.5 2.59

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.07
Over 9.5 1.23
Over 10.5 1.76
Over 11.5 1.97

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 1.18
Over 1.5 2.08

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 1.28
Over 1.5 2.51

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Ironi Ramat HaSharon W vs Maccabi Kishronot Hadera W 16:10 BST | Ligat Al Women, Israel Ironi Ramat HaSharon W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Maccabi Kishronot Hadera W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    86% combined
  • Deportivo Riestra Res. vs San Martín San Juan Res. 19:00 BST | Reserve League, Argentina Deportivo Riestra Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · San Martín San Juan Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    75% combined
  • Maccabi Holon W vs Hapoel Jerusalem W 16:10 BST | Ligat Al Women, Israel Maccabi Holon W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Hapoel Jerusalem W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    73% combined
  • Thun vs Young Boys 15:30 BST | Super League, Switzerland Thun have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/18 home matches this season · Young Boys have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.04
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Middlesbrough vs Southampton Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Southampton?

Over 8.5 Corners — Middlesbrough see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Southampton in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Middlesbrough or Southampton?

Southampton arrive in the better form — winning 70% of away games in Championship this season compared to Middlesbrough's 30% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Middlesbrough and Southampton?

Possibly — Southampton regularly see both teams score away (80%), while Middlesbrough are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Middlesbrough and Southampton?

Possibly — Southampton regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Middlesbrough are lower at home (20%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Middlesbrough or Southampton?

Southampton have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to Middlesbrough's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Middlesbrough and Southampton?

Yes — both Middlesbrough (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Southampton (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Championship. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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