Nacional vs Estoril — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 15th March, 00:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Nacional (30% home wins) hold a slight edge over Estoril on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Estoril have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Nacional are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Nacional at 40% at home and Estoril at 30% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Nacional regularly reach high corner totals at home (80%), while Estoril are lower on the road (40%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Nacional see 9+ corners in 100% of home games, Estoril in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Nacional (15th) and Estoril (8th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 29 24 4 1 59:14 +45 76
2 Sporting CP 28 22 5 1 73:17 +56 71
3 Benfica 29 20 9 0 61:18 +43 69
4 Sporting Braga 28 15 7 6 55:27 +28 52
5 Famalicão 29 13 8 8 36:25 +11 47
6 Gil Vicente 29 12 10 7 44:30 +14 46
7 Estoril A 29 10 7 12 51:50 +1 37
8 Moreirense 29 10 6 13 32:41 -9 36
9 Vitória Guimarães 29 10 6 13 35:43 -8 36
10 Alverca 29 9 8 12 32:47 -15 35
11 Rio Ave 29 8 9 12 31:48 -17 33
12 Arouca 29 9 5 15 37:58 -21 32
13 Santa Clara 29 7 7 15 26:37 -11 28
14 Estrela Amadora 29 6 10 13 33:48 -15 28
15 Nacional H 29 6 7 16 31:41 -10 25
16 Casa Pia 28 5 10 13 28:52 -24 25
17 Tondela 28 4 9 15 21:46 -25 21
18 AVS 29 1 9 19 19:62 -43 12

Team Form

Estoril have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Nacional have been more solid at home (50% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Nacional (Home Form) Estoril (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Lost 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nacional (40% BTTS at home) and Estoril (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Nacional (Home Form) Estoril (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Estoril regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Nacional are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Estoril (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Under Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Estoril (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Estoril in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nacional (Home Form) Estoril (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Goals Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Estoril (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Nacional (Home Form) Estoril (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)

Match Corners

Nacional regularly reach high corner counts at home (100%), while Estoril are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Nacional (Home Form) Estoril (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Estoril have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nacional (Home Form) Estoril (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Estoril (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nacional and Estoril. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

26 Oct 2025
Estoril
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Nacional
15 Feb 2025
Nacional
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Estoril
15 Sep 2024
Estoril
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nacional
25 Jul 2021
Nacional
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Estoril
14 Dec 2019
Estoril
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Nacional
14 Jul 2018
Estoril
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Nacional
09 Apr 2017
Estoril
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional
26 Nov 2016
Nacional
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Estoril
19 Jul 2016
Nacional
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Estoril
10 Apr 2016
Nacional
4 – 1 HT: 1-0
Estoril

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional vs Estoril across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nacional 2.5
Draw 3.65
Estoril 2.87

Half Time Result

Nacional 2.74
Draw 2.47
Estoril 3.59

Double Chance

Nacional or Draw 1.36
Nacional or Estoril 1.32
Draw or Estoril 1.66

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.59
No 2.6

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.61
Over 3.5 2.74
Under 1.5 5.2
Under 2.5 2.38
Under 3.5 1.56

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.36

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26
Over 9.5 1.46
Over 10.5 2.02
Over 11.5 2.25

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 1.95

Estoril Goals

Over 0.5 1.26
Over 1.5 2.43

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Santutxu U19 vs Real Sociedad U19 18:00 BST | División De Honor Juvenil - Group 2, Spain Santutxu U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 home matches this season · Real Sociedad U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.47
    80% combined
  • Sporting SM II vs Costa del Este 22:00 BST | Liga Prom, Panama Sporting SM II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Costa del Este have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.62
    75% combined
  • Al-Najma vs Al Budaiya 17:00 BST | Premier League, Bahrain Al-Najma have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/8 home matches this season · Al Budaiya have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 away matches this season · Odds: 2.05
    75% combined
  • Al Jazeera vs Al Buqa'a 16:00 BST | Premier League, Jordan Al Jazeera have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/11 home matches this season · Al Buqa'a have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 2
    73% combined

Nacional vs Estoril Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Estoril?

Over 8.5 Corners — Nacional see 9+ corners in 100% of home games, Estoril in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Estoril?

Estoril hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Nacional at home (30% wins) in Liga Portugal. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Estoril?

Unlikely — Nacional (40% BTTS at home) and Estoril (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Portugal. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Estoril?

Possibly — Estoril regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Nacional are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Estoril?

Estoril have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Nacional's 30% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Estoril?

Possibly — Nacional regularly reach high corner counts at home (100%), while Estoril are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

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📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

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