Porto vs Nacional — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 14th September, 16:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Porto to Win

Porto have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Nacional have struggled on the road, winning only 0/10 away games (0%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Porto 80% at home, Nacional 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Nacional regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Porto are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Nacional often produce high corner totals away (70%), while Porto are lower at home (40%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Porto to Win — Porto have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Nacional have lost 8/10 away (80%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Porto (1st) and Nacional (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto H 28 23 4 1 56:13 +43 73
2 Sporting CP 28 22 5 1 73:17 +56 71
3 Benfica 29 20 9 0 61:18 +43 69
4 Sporting Braga 28 15 7 6 55:27 +28 52
5 Famalicão 29 13 8 8 36:25 +11 47
6 Gil Vicente 28 12 9 7 42:28 +14 45
7 Estoril 28 10 7 11 50:47 +3 37
8 Moreirense 29 10 6 13 32:41 -9 36
9 Vitória Guimarães 29 10 6 13 35:43 -8 36
10 Alverca 29 9 8 12 32:47 -15 35
11 Rio Ave 29 8 9 12 31:48 -17 33
12 Arouca 29 9 5 15 37:58 -21 32
13 Santa Clara 29 7 7 15 26:37 -11 28
14 Estrela Amadora 29 6 10 13 33:48 -15 28
15 Nacional A 29 6 7 16 31:41 -10 25
16 Casa Pia 28 5 10 13 28:52 -24 25
17 Tondela 27 4 8 15 19:44 -25 20
18 AVS 29 1 9 19 19:62 -43 12

Team Form

Porto have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Nacional's 0% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Porto (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 0 (0%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 0 (0%) 8 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nacional regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Porto are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Porto (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Porto 80% at home, Nacional 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Porto (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Porto (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Porto have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Nacional in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Porto (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Porto (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Porto (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 20 (2 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 20 (2 avg)

Match Corners

Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Porto are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Porto (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Porto have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Nacional have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

Porto (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Porto (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Porto and Nacional. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

17th May, 2025
Porto
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nacional
Corners 2–8 Cards 1–8 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12th Jan, 2025
Nacional
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Porto
Corners 1–10 Cards 3–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Jul, 2024
Porto
4 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Apr, 2021
Nacional
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Porto
Corners 2–2 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12th Jan, 2021
Nacional
2 – 4 HT: 1-1
Porto
Corners 5–16 Cards 6–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Dec, 2020
Porto
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Nacional
Corners 8–1 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12th May, 2019
Nacional
0 – 4 HT: 0-2
Porto
Corners 5–4 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Jan, 2019
Porto
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Nacional
Corners 6–6 Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Mar, 2017
Porto
7 – 0 HT: 2-0
Nacional
Corners 4–4 Cards 0–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Oct, 2016
Nacional
0 – 4 HT: 0-3
Porto
Corners 7–7 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Porto vs Nacional across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Porto 1.18
Draw 6
Nacional 17.83

Half Time Result

Porto 1.57
Draw 2.75
Nacional 11.33

Double Chance

Porto or Draw 1.02
Porto or Nacional 1.08
Draw or Nacional 4.5

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.36
No 1.59

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.64
Over 3.5 2.53
Under 1.5 4.69
Under 2.5 2.37
Under 3.5 1.54

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.28
Over 1.5 2.37

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.23
Over 9.5 1.45
Over 10.5 1.94
Over 11.5 1.92

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.09

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 2.24
Over 1.5 7.7
Over 2.5 26

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    76% combined
  • Alianza U20 vs FAS U20 02:00 BST | Reserve League, El Salvador Alianza U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 18/21 home matches this season · FAS U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/20 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    73% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Porto vs Nacional Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Porto vs Nacional?

Porto to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Nacional have lost 8/10 (80%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Porto or Nacional?

Porto hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga Portugal this season, while Nacional have won only 0% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Porto and Nacional?

Mixed — Porto have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Nacional in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Portugal fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Porto and Nacional?

Uncertain — Porto have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Nacional in 60% of away games in Liga Portugal. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Porto or Nacional?

Porto have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Nacional's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Porto and Nacional?

Possibly — Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Porto are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

Tondela vs Gil Vicente

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Monday 13th April, 20:15 BST

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Rio Ave vs AVS

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Friday 17th April, 20:45 BST

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Nacional vs Alverca

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 15:30 BST

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Casa Pia vs Santa Clara

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 18:00 BST

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Gil Vicente vs Vitória Guimarães

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 20:30 BST

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Arouca vs Estrela Amadora

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 15:30 BST

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Sporting CP vs Benfica

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 18:00 BST

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Porto vs Tondela

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 20:30 BST

Match Stats

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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