Semen Padang vs Persebaya Surabaya

📍 Liga 1, Indonesia
🕒 Friday 15th May, 09:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Semen Padang sit 17th in the table after 28 games, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match this season. Persebaya Surabaya are 6th after 29 games, averaging 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Semen Padang have won 2/10 home games (20%) this season; Persebaya Surabaya have won 5/10 on the road (50%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Semen Padang have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games this season (3/10); Persebaya Surabaya in 60% away (6/10). Semen Padang average 0.6 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, Persebaya Surabaya 1.6 and 1.3 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Semen Padang have seen BTTS in only 20% of home games (2/10); Persebaya Surabaya in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Both teams see 9+ corners in the majority of their games — Semen Padang at 70% at home (7/10), Persebaya Surabaya at 70% away (7/10). Over 8.5 Corners is well supported by the data.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Semen Padang see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Persebaya Surabaya in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Liga 1 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Semen Padang (17th) and Persebaya Surabaya (6th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga 1 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Persib 32 23 6 3 57:21 +36 75
2 Borneo 31 23 3 5 64:28 +36 72
3 Persija 32 20 5 7 59:28 +31 65
4 Dewa United 32 16 5 11 44:35 +9 53
5 Persebaya Surabaya A 32 14 10 8 49:35 +14 52
6 Malut United 31 15 7 9 66:43 +23 52
7 Bhayangkara 31 14 5 12 42:40 +2 47
8 Bali United 31 12 9 10 50:44 +6 45
9 Persita 32 13 5 14 36:33 +3 44
10 Arema 32 11 9 12 45:44 +1 42
11 Persik Kediri 32 11 6 15 41:53 -12 39
12 PSIM Yogyakarta 31 9 12 10 38:40 -2 39
13 Persijap 32 9 7 16 31:45 -14 34
14 PSM 32 8 10 14 38:45 -7 34
15 Madura United 31 8 8 15 33:49 -16 32
16 Persis Solo 32 6 10 16 35:58 -23 28
17 Semen Padang H 32 5 5 22 22:55 -33 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 32 4 6 22 29:83 -54 18

Team Form

Semen Padang have lost 60% of their home matches this season, while Persebaya Surabaya have been more resilient on the road (30% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Semen Padang (Home Form) Persebaya Surabaya (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 6 (60%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Semen Padang (20% BTTS at home) and Persebaya Surabaya (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Semen Padang (Home Form) Persebaya Surabaya (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Semen Padang have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Persebaya Surabaya in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Semen Padang (Home Form) Persebaya Surabaya (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Semen Padang (Home Form) Persebaya Surabaya (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Semen Padang have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Persebaya Surabaya in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Semen Padang (Home Form) Persebaya Surabaya (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Semen Padang (Home Form) Persebaya Surabaya (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Semen Padang (Home Form) Persebaya Surabaya (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 6 (0.6 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Both Semen Padang (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Persebaya Surabaya (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Semen Padang (Home Form) Persebaya Surabaya (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Semen Padang have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Persebaya Surabaya have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Semen Padang (Home Form) Persebaya Surabaya (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Semen Padang (Home Form) Persebaya Surabaya (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Semen Padang vs Persebaya Surabaya across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Semen Padang 4.05
Draw 3.55
Persebaya Surabaya 1.78

Half Time Result

Semen Padang 4.66
Draw 2.2
Persebaya Surabaya 2.55

Double Chance

Semen Padang or Draw 1.64
Semen Padang or Persebaya Surabaya 1.23
Draw or Persebaya Surabaya 1.22

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.57
No 2.2

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.2
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 3.5 2.47
Under 1.5 3.85
Under 2.5 2.12
Under 3.5 1.47

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.31
Over 1.5 2.5

Semen Padang Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 3.08

Persebaya Surabaya Goals

Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.92

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • San Lorenzo Res. vs Olimpia Res. 11:30 BST | Division Profesional Reserva, Paraguay San Lorenzo Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Olimpia Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    72% combined
  • Sharjah U23 vs Al Bataeh U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Sharjah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Al Bataeh U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    71% combined
  • Ajman U23 vs Dibba Al Fujairah U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Ajman U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Dibba Al Fujairah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    71% combined
  • Śląsk Wrocław vs ŁKS Łódź 17:30 BST | 1. Liga, Poland Śląsk Wrocław have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/14 home matches this season · ŁKS Łódź have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.65
    68% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.77
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Semen Padang vs Persebaya Surabaya Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Semen Padang vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Over 8.5 Corners — Semen Padang see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Persebaya Surabaya in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Semen Padang or Persebaya Surabaya?

Persebaya Surabaya hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Semen Padang at home (20% wins) in Liga 1. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Semen Padang and Persebaya Surabaya?

Unlikely — Semen Padang (20% BTTS at home) and Persebaya Surabaya (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga 1. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Semen Padang and Persebaya Surabaya?

Uncertain — Semen Padang have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Persebaya Surabaya in 60% of away games in Liga 1. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Semen Padang or Persebaya Surabaya?

Persebaya Surabaya have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Semen Padang's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Semen Padang and Persebaya Surabaya?

Yes — both Semen Padang (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Persebaya Surabaya (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga 1. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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