Southampton vs Watford — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Championship, England
🕒 Saturday 7th February, 12:31 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Southampton hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Watford are less consistent on the road (2/10, 20%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Southampton 30% Over 2.5 at home, Watford 50% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

Watford regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Southampton are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

High corner counts are common for both teams (80% and 70%), making Over 9.5 Corners a strong choice. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Southampton see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Watford in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Championship table for the 2025/2026 season, with Southampton (14th) and Watford (8th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Championship 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Coventry City 39 24 8 7 81:40 +41 80
2 Millwall 40 21 9 10 55:45 +10 72
3 Middlesbrough 40 20 11 9 60:39 +21 71
4 Ipswich Town 38 19 12 7 67:39 +28 69
5 Hull City 40 20 7 13 63:58 +5 67
6 Wrexham 40 17 13 10 62:53 +9 64
7 Southampton H 39 17 12 10 63:48 +15 63
8 Derby County 39 17 9 13 56:48 +8 60
9 Queens Park Rangers 40 16 8 16 57:62 -5 56
10 Watford A 40 14 14 12 51:48 +3 56
11 Norwich City 40 16 7 17 53:47 +6 55
12 Bristol City 40 15 9 16 51:51 0 54
13 Stoke City 40 15 9 16 48:43 +5 54
14 Preston North End 40 13 14 13 47:51 -4 53
15 Birmingham City 40 14 11 15 48:50 -2 53
16 Swansea City 40 15 8 17 47:52 -5 53
17 Sheffield United 40 15 6 19 57:57 0 51
18 Charlton Athletic 40 12 12 16 37:48 -11 48
19 Leicester City 40 11 13 16 53:62 -9 46
20 Blackburn Rovers 40 12 10 18 37:49 -12 46
21 West Bromwich Albion 40 11 11 18 42:56 -14 44
22 Portsmouth 39 10 11 18 38:55 -17 41
23 Oxford United 40 9 13 18 37:52 -15 40
24 Sheffield Wednesday 40 1 9 30 24:81 -57 12

Team Form

Southampton hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Watford have been less consistent on the road (20%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Southampton (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Lost 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Watford regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Southampton are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Southampton (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Southampton have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Watford in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Southampton (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Southampton (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Southampton have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Watford in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Southampton (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Southampton (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Southampton (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Both Southampton (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Watford (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Southampton (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Southampton have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Watford have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Southampton (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Southampton (Home Form) Watford (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Southampton and Watford. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

30 Aug 2025
Watford
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
Southampton
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Apr 2024
Southampton
3 – 2 HT: 2-1
Watford
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Feb 2024
Southampton
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
Watford
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Jan 2024
Watford
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Southampton
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Dec 2023
Watford
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Southampton
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Jul 2022
Watford
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Southampton
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Mar 2022
Southampton
1 – 2 HT: 1-2
Watford
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Oct 2021
Watford
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Southampton
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Jun 2020
Watford
1 – 3 HT: 0-1
Southampton
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Nov 2019
Southampton
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Watford
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Southampton vs Watford across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Southampton 2
Draw 3.85
Watford 4.1

Half Time Result

Southampton 2.51
Draw 2.4
Watford 4

Double Chance

Southampton or Draw 1.28
Southampton or Watford 1.28
Draw or Watford 1.8

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.76
No 2.22

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.5 1.87
Over 3.5 3.2
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.12
Under 3.5 1.43

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.68

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22
Over 9.5 1.38
Over 10.5 1.65
Over 11.5 2.07

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 1.15
Over 1.5 1.88

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 2.91

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki vs MLKS Victoria Sulejówek 18:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · MLKS Victoria Sulejówek have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    90% combined
  • Tolka Rovers vs UCD II 19:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Tolka Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · UCD II have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    89% combined
  • Charlton Athletic U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 13:30 BST | Professional Development League, England Charlton Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · AFC Bournemouth U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    87% combined
  • Sparta Praha II W vs Pardubice W 17:00 BST | 2. Liga Women, Czech Republic Sparta Praha II W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Pardubice W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    87% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.87
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Southampton vs Watford Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Southampton vs Watford?

Over 8.5 Corners — Southampton see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Watford in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Southampton or Watford?

Southampton hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Championship this season, while Watford have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Southampton and Watford?

Possibly — Watford regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Southampton are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Southampton and Watford?

Uncertain — Southampton have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Watford in 50% of away games in Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Southampton or Watford?

Southampton have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Watford's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Southampton and Watford?

Yes — both Southampton (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Watford (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Championship. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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Match Stats

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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