Arouca vs Tondela

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 17th May, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Arouca sit 11th in the table after 31 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per home match this season. Tondela are 17th after 30 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Arouca have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Tondela have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Arouca have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their home fixtures (8/10). Tondela are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home.

Arouca frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Tondela are lower on the road (30%, 3/10) — they've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Arouca see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Tondela in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Arouca see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Tondela in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Arouca (11th) and Tondela (17th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 33 27 4 2 65:18 +47 85
2 Benfica 32 22 10 0 69:22 +47 76
3 Sporting CP 32 23 7 2 82:23 +59 76
4 Sporting Braga 32 16 9 7 60:32 +28 57
5 Famalicão 32 14 10 8 41:29 +12 52
6 Gil Vicente 32 13 11 8 46:32 +14 50
7 Moreirense 32 12 6 14 37:47 -10 42
8 Vitória Guimarães 32 12 6 14 39:48 -9 42
9 Estoril 33 10 9 14 53:54 -1 39
10 Alverca 33 10 9 14 35:51 -16 39
11 Arouca H 32 10 6 16 41:62 -21 36
12 Rio Ave 32 8 11 13 33:52 -19 35
13 Santa Clara 32 8 9 15 30:40 -10 33
14 Nacional 32 8 7 17 35:43 -8 31
15 Estrela Amadora 32 6 10 16 36:54 -18 28
16 Casa Pia 32 5 11 16 29:56 -27 26
17 Tondela A 32 5 10 17 24:52 -28 25
18 AVS 33 3 11 19 27:67 -40 20

Team Form

Tondela have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Arouca have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Arouca (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Arouca frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Tondela are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Arouca (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Arouca frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Tondela are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Arouca (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Arouca (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Arouca have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Tondela in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Arouca (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Arouca (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Arouca (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 16 (1.6 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Arouca have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Tondela in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Arouca (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Arouca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Tondela have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Arouca (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Arouca (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • San Lorenzo Res. vs Olimpia Res. 11:30 BST | Division Profesional Reserva, Paraguay San Lorenzo Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Olimpia Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    72% combined
  • Sharjah U23 vs Al Bataeh U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Sharjah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Al Bataeh U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    71% combined
  • Ajman U23 vs Dibba Al Fujairah U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Ajman U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Dibba Al Fujairah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    71% combined
  • Śląsk Wrocław vs ŁKS Łódź 17:30 BST | 1. Liga, Poland Śląsk Wrocław have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/14 home matches this season · ŁKS Łódź have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.65
    68% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.77
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Arouca vs Tondela Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Arouca vs Tondela?

Over 1.5 Goals — Arouca see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Tondela in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Arouca or Tondela?

Arouca have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Tondela on the road (30% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Arouca and Tondela?

Mixed — Arouca have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Tondela in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Portugal fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Arouca and Tondela?

Possibly — Arouca frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Tondela are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Arouca or Tondela?

Arouca have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Tondela's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Arouca and Tondela?

Arouca have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Tondela in 60% of away games in Liga Portugal. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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