Liga Portugal · Portugal 🕒 Sunday 17th May, 01:00 BST

Sporting Braga vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Sporting Braga Home · 4th 4W 5D 1L last 10 home
VS
Estrela Amadora Away · 15th 1W 3D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Sporting Braga 65% Draw 22% Estrela Amadora 13%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Sporting Braga vs Estrela Amadora Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

High confidence

Sporting Braga have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

What the model says
65% Sporting Braga win 22% Draw 13% Estrela Amadora win 42% BTTS 49% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
73% Over 1.5 Goals 73% Under 3.5 Goals

Sporting Braga sit 4th in the table after 31 games, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Estrela Amadora are 15th after 31 games, averaging 1 scored and 1.9 conceded on the road. Sporting Braga have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Estrela Amadora have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Sporting Braga have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Estrela Amadora are lower on the road (60%, 6/10), averaging 1 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season: Sporting Braga in 80% of home games (8/10), Estrela Amadora in 60% away (6/10). Sporting Braga have scored in 100% of home fixtures; Estrela Amadora in 60% of away games.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Sporting Braga see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 60% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Sporting Braga (4th) and Estrela Amadora (15th) sit in the Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
4 Sporting Braga H 34 16 11 7 64:36 +28 59
15 Estrela Amadora A 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
View the full Liga Portugal 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 34 28 4 2 66:18 +48 88
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89:24 +65 82
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 74:25 +49 80
4 Sporting Braga H 34 16 11 7 64:36 +28 59
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42:29 +13 56
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47:38 +9 50
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
8 Vitória Guimarães 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
9 Arouca 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
12 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
13 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
15 Estrela Amadora A 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21

Team Form

Estrela Amadora have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Sporting Braga have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Sporting Braga: last 10 home A Estrela Amadora: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Sporting Braga have seen both teams score in 80% of home games this season, Estrela Amadora in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net. The stats support a goal at each end.

H Sporting Braga: last 10 home A Estrela Amadora: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 42% · BTTS No 58%

Match Goals

Sporting Braga frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Estrela Amadora are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Sporting Braga: last 10 home A Estrela Amadora: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Sporting Braga have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Estrela Amadora in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Sporting Braga 1.9 scored · 1.3 conceded per home game Estrela Amadora 1 scored · 1.9 conceded per away game
H Sporting Braga: last 10 home A Estrela Amadora: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Sporting Braga 19 scored / 13 conceded at home · Estrela Amadora 10 scored / 19 conceded away

Match Corners

Sporting Braga have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Sporting Braga: last 10 home A Estrela Amadora: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

Sporting Braga have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Estrela Amadora have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches. The home side can expect some set-piece chances.

H Sporting Braga: last 10 home A Estrela Amadora: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Sporting Braga and Estrela Amadora. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

03 Jan 2026
Estrela Amadora
3 – 3 HT: 1-1
Sporting Braga
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Jan 2025
Estrela Amadora
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Sporting Braga
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Aug 2024
Sporting Braga
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Estrela Amadora
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Mar 2024
Sporting Braga
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
Estrela Amadora
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
28 Sep 2023
Estrela Amadora
2 – 4 HT: 0-1
Sporting Braga
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Jul 2021
Estrela Amadora
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Sporting Braga
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Mar 2009
Estrela Amadora
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Sporting Braga
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Oct 2008
Sporting Braga
5 – 0 HT: 2-0
Estrela Amadora
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Feb 2008
Estrela Amadora
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Sporting Braga
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Jan 2008
Estrela Amadora
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Sporting Braga
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Sporting Braga vs Estrela Amadora across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Sporting Braga 1.68 Model: 65%
Draw 3.75 Model: 22%
Estrela Amadora 4.8 Model: 13%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.7 Model: 42%
Value No 1.88 Model: 58%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28 Model: 73%
Over 2.5 1.82 Model: 49%
Over 3.5 3.15 Model: 27%
Value Under 1.5 4.5 Model: 27%
Under 2.5 1.86 Model: 51%
Under 3.5 1.32 Model: 73%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.33 Model: 80%
Over 1.5 2.57

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.38 Model: 48%
Over 9.5 1.7 Model: 36%
Over 10.5 2.4 Model: 26%
Over 11.5 3.12 Model: 17%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Sporting Braga 2.26 Model: 48%
Draw 2.44 Model: 38%
Estrela Amadora 5.2 Model: 14%

Double Chance

Value Sporting Braga or Draw 1.21 Model: 87%
Sporting Braga or Estrela Amadora 1.22 Model: 78%
Draw or Estrela Amadora 2.19 Model: 35%

Sporting Braga Goals

Over 0.5 1.1 Model: 85%
Over 1.5 1.74 Model: 56%

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 1.53 Model: 44%
Over 1.5 3.57 Model: 15%

Sporting Braga vs Estrela Amadora Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Sporting Braga vs Estrela Amadora?

Over 2.5 Goals: Sporting Braga have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Sporting Braga or Estrela Amadora?

Sporting Braga have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Estrela Amadora on the road (10% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Sporting Braga and Estrela Amadora?

Possibly. Sporting Braga frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Estrela Amadora are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Sporting Braga and Estrela Amadora?

Possibly. Sporting Braga frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Estrela Amadora are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Sporting Braga or Estrela Amadora?

Sporting Braga have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Estrela Amadora's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Sporting Braga and Estrela Amadora?

Sporting Braga have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Estrela Amadora in 60% of away games in Liga Portugal. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Midland vs Gimnasia Jujuy

📍 Primera B Nacional, Argentina

🕒 Sunday 5th July, 20:00 BST

Match Stats

Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia

📍 World Cup, World

🕒 Saturday 27th June, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Caboolture U23 vs SC Wanderers U23

📍 Queensland PL Youth, Australia

🕒 Friday 3rd July, 09:30 BST

Match Stats

Ilves vs SJK

📍 Veikkausliiga, Finland

🕒 Saturday 27th June, 12:00 BST

Match Stats

Skála vs B68

📍 Meistaradeildin, Faroe Islands

🕒 Saturday 4th July, 18:30 BST

Match Stats

Jaro vs Ilves

📍 Veikkausliiga, Finland

🕒 Saturday 4th July, 15:00 BST

Match Stats

Athletic Club Boise vs One Knoxville

📍 USL League One, United States

🕒 Friday 3rd July, 02:30 BST

Match Stats

Uruguay vs Spain

📍 World Cup, World

🕒 Saturday 27th June, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

Latest Blogs

View all posts →