Liga Portugal · Portugal 🕒 Sunday 17th May, 01:00 BST

Estoril vs Benfica Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Estoril Home · 10th 4W 2D 4L last 10 home
VS
Benfica Away · 3rd 5W 3D 2L last 10 away
Win Probability
Estoril 15% Draw 21% Benfica 64%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes See why ↓

Estoril vs Benfica Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

High confidence

Estoril see both teams score in 70% of home games, Benfica in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

What the model says
15% Estoril win 21% Draw 64% Benfica win 52% BTTS 55% Over 2.5 Goals 0-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
78% Over 1.5 Goals 71% Over 8.5 Corners 67% Under 3.5 Goals

Estoril sit 10th in the table after 31 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match this season. Benfica are 3rd after 31 games, averaging 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. Estoril have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Benfica have won 5/10 on the road (50%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Goals look likely from both ends. Estoril have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home fixtures this season (7/10), and Benfica in 70% of away games (7/10). Estoril average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded at home; Benfica 1.5 and 1.2 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season: Estoril in 70% of home games (7/10), Benfica in 80% away (8/10). Estoril have scored in 80% of home fixtures; Benfica in 80% of away games.

Benfica are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 80% of away fixtures, 8/10). Estoril are lower at home (50%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Estoril (10th) and Benfica (3rd) sit in the Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Benfica A 34 23 11 0 74:25 +49 80
10 Estoril H 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
View the full Liga Portugal 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 34 28 4 2 66:18 +48 88
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89:24 +65 82
3 Benfica A 34 23 11 0 74:25 +49 80
4 Sporting Braga 34 16 11 7 64:36 +28 59
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42:29 +13 56
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47:38 +9 50
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
8 Vitória Guimarães 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
9 Arouca 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
10 Estoril H 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
12 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
13 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
15 Estrela Amadora 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21

Team Form

Estoril have lost 40% of their home matches this season, while Benfica have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H Estoril: last 10 home A Benfica: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Estoril have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Benfica in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net. The stats support a goal at each end.

H Estoril: last 10 home A Benfica: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 52% · BTTS No 48%

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Estoril's home games and 70% of Benfica's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

H Estoril: last 10 home A Benfica: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Estoril have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Benfica in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Estoril 1.7 scored · 1.5 conceded per home game Benfica 1.5 scored · 1.2 conceded per away game
H Estoril: last 10 home A Benfica: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Estoril 17 scored / 15 conceded at home · Benfica 15 scored / 12 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Estoril (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Benfica (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Estoril: last 10 home A Benfica: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

Estoril have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Benfica win 6+ corners in 80% of away games, generating consistent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

H Estoril: last 10 home A Benfica: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Estoril and Benfica. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

03 Jan 2026
Benfica
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Estoril
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 May 2025
Estoril
1 – 2 HT: 0-2
Benfica
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Dec 2024
Benfica
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Estoril
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Mar 2024
Benfica
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Estoril
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
24 Jan 2024
Benfica
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Estoril
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Oct 2023
Estoril
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Benfica
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Apr 2023
Benfica
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Estoril
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Nov 2022
Estoril
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Benfica
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Nov 2022
Estoril
1 – 5 HT: 0-3
Benfica
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Mar 2022
Benfica
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Estoril
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Estoril vs Benfica across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Estoril 12.5 Model: 15%
Value Draw 6.25 Model: 21%
Benfica 1.25 Model: 64%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8 Model: 52%
Value No 2.2 Model: 48%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.12 Model: 78%
Over 2.5 1.37 Model: 55%
Over 3.5 1.83 Model: 33%
Value Under 1.5 8.8 Model: 22%
Value Under 2.5 3.6 Model: 45%
Value Under 3.5 1.83 Model: 67%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.22 Model: 83%
Over 1.5 1.97

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.25 Model: 71%
Over 9.5 1.42 Model: 59%
Over 10.5 1.71 Model: 46%
Over 11.5 2.1 Model: 35%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Estoril 8.65 Model: 16%
Value Draw 3.18 Model: 37%
Benfica 1.55 Model: 47%

Double Chance

Value Estoril or Draw 3.6 Model: 36%
Estoril or Benfica 1.09 Model: 79%
Draw or Benfica 1.03 Model: 85%

Estoril Goals

Over 0.5 1.66 Model: 50%
Over 1.5 4.34 Model: 19%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 1.04 Model: 86%
Over 1.5 1.2 Model: 59%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • GIF Sundsvall vs Öster 18:00 BST | Superettan, Sweden GIF Sundsvall have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Öster have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
    90% combined
  • Ranheim II vs Kvik Trondheim 18:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 2, Norway Ranheim II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Kvik Trondheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Staal Jørpeland vs Odd II 17:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 4, Norway Staal Jørpeland have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Odd II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    80% combined
  • Vänersborgs IF vs Herrestads 18:30 BST | Division 2: Norra Gotaland, Sweden Vänersborgs IF have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Herrestads have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    80% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.72
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Estoril vs Benfica Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Estoril vs Benfica?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes: Estoril see both teams score in 70% of home games, Benfica in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, Estoril or Benfica?

Benfica hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Estoril at home (40% wins) in Liga Portugal. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Estoril and Benfica?

Yes. Both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Estoril have seen BTTS in 70% of home games, Benfica in 80% of away games in Liga Portugal. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Estoril and Benfica?

Yes, likely. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Estoril's home games and 70% of Benfica's away games in Liga Portugal. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Estoril or Benfica?

Estoril have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Benfica's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Estoril and Benfica?

Yes. Both Estoril (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Benfica (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga Portugal. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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