Nacional vs Vitória Guimarães

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 17th May, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

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Nacional average 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Vitória Guimarães average 1.1 scored and 2.2 conceded in away fixtures. Nacional have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Vitória Guimarães have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Vitória Guimarães in 60% away (6/10). Nacional average 1.5 scored and 1 conceded at home, Vitória Guimarães 1.1 and 2.2 on the road.

Vitória Guimarães regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Nacional are lower at home (40%, 4/10) — they've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Nacional regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Vitória Guimarães are lower on the road (30%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Nacional (th) and Vitória Guimarães (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 33 27 4 2 65:18 +47 85
2 Benfica 32 22 10 0 69:22 +47 76
3 Sporting CP 32 23 7 2 82:23 +59 76
4 Sporting Braga 32 16 9 7 60:32 +28 57
5 Famalicão 32 14 10 8 41:29 +12 52
6 Gil Vicente 32 13 11 8 46:32 +14 50
7 Moreirense 32 12 6 14 37:47 -10 42
8 Vitória Guimarães A 32 12 6 14 39:48 -9 42
9 Estoril 33 10 9 14 53:54 -1 39
10 Alverca 33 10 9 14 35:51 -16 39
11 Arouca 32 10 6 16 41:62 -21 36
12 Rio Ave 32 8 11 13 33:52 -19 35
13 Santa Clara 32 8 9 15 30:40 -10 33
14 Nacional H 32 8 7 17 35:43 -8 31
15 Estrela Amadora 32 6 10 16 36:54 -18 28
16 Casa Pia 32 5 11 16 29:56 -27 26
17 Tondela 32 5 10 17 24:52 -28 25
18 AVS 33 3 11 19 27:67 -40 20

Team Form

Vitória Guimarães have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Nacional have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Nacional (Home Form) Vitória Guimarães (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Vitória Guimarães regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Nacional are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Nacional (Home Form) Vitória Guimarães (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Vitória Guimarães in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Vitória Guimarães (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Nacional (Home Form) Vitória Guimarães (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Vitória Guimarães in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nacional (Home Form) Vitória Guimarães (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Vitória Guimarães (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Nacional (Home Form) Vitória Guimarães (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 22 (2.2 avg)

Match Corners

Nacional regularly reach high corner counts at home (100%), while Vitória Guimarães are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Nacional (Home Form) Vitória Guimarães (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 10 (100%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Vitória Guimarães have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nacional (Home Form) Vitória Guimarães (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Nacional (Home Form) Vitória Guimarães (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • San Lorenzo Res. vs Olimpia Res. 11:30 BST | Division Profesional Reserva, Paraguay San Lorenzo Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Olimpia Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    72% combined
  • Ajman U23 vs Dibba Al Fujairah U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Ajman U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Dibba Al Fujairah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    71% combined
  • Sharjah U23 vs Al Bataeh U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Sharjah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Al Bataeh U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    71% combined
  • Neuchâtel Xamax vs Étoile Carouge 19:15 BST | Challenge League, Switzerland Neuchâtel Xamax have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/17 home matches this season · Étoile Carouge have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/17 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    68% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.5
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Nacional vs Vitória Guimarães Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Vitória Guimarães?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Vitória Guimarães?

Nacional have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Vitória Guimarães on the road (20% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Vitória Guimarães?

Mixed — Nacional have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Vitória Guimarães in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Portugal fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Vitória Guimarães?

Uncertain — Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Vitória Guimarães in 60% of away games in Liga Portugal. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Vitória Guimarães?

Nacional have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Vitória Guimarães's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Vitória Guimarães?

Possibly — Nacional regularly reach high corner counts at home (100%), while Vitória Guimarães are lower on the road (40%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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